Katsina United vs Nasarawa United: match statistics
Katsina United displays impressive home form with a 58% win rate and a +8 goal difference, which provides a solid basis for predicting their success. The hosts stand out with their offensive efficiency at home, scoring an average of 1.25 goals per match with a 50% clean sheet rate, indicating defensive stability. Nasarawa United, despite their higher league position (3rd place), shows poor away form with only a 25% win rate on the road and a -4 goal difference, as well as a high rate of 58% matches without scoring away from home. The recent form of both teams favors the visitors (5 matches undefeated), however, their efficiency issues in away matches and Katsina United's home dominance tip the scales. Taking all factors into account, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to Nasarawa United's solid defense.
Katsina United vs Nasarawa United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Katsina United played against Nasarawa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Katsina United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Nasarawa United has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Katsina United scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 0.83. Nasarawa United scores 0.96 and allows 0.76. Games in this league average 1.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Katsina United's games and 40% of Nasarawa United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 13% and 28%, compared with league averages of 35% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nasarawa United has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.12 per game. Katsina United takes 3.9 shots per game, while Nasarawa United takes 9.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Katsina United leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. Nasarawa United leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Katsina United's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Nasarawa United, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.82 goals. Both teams score in 35% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Katsina United displays impressive home form with a 58% win rate and a +8 goal difference, which provides a solid basis for predicting their success. The hosts stand out with their offensive efficiency at home, scoring an average of 1.25 goals per match with a 50% clean sheet rate, indicating defensive stability. Nasarawa United, despite their higher league position (3rd place), shows poor away form with only a 25% win rate on the road and a -4 goal difference, as well as a high rate of 58% matches without scoring away from home. The recent form of both teams favors the visitors (5 matches undefeated), however, their efficiency issues in away matches and Katsina United's home dominance tip the scales. Taking all factors into account, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to Nasarawa United's solid defense.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Katsina United | Nasarawa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.71 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nasarawa United is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Katsina United · 1.8 pts / game - Nasarawa United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nasarawa United is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Katsina United · 0.96 goals / game - Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.83 goals / game - Katsina United · 0.76 goals / game - Nasarawa United
Katsina United scores in 54% of games (13 of 24 meczów), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 meczów).
Nasarawa United scores in 64% of games (16 of 25 meczów), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Katsina United
Over / Under - Nasarawa United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Katsina United is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Katsina United · 1.24 pts / game - Nasarawa United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Katsina United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nasarawa United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Katsina United
Nasarawa United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Katsina United | Liga | Nasarawa United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.67 | 1.82 | ▼ 1.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 35% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Head-to-head
Record from Katsina United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Nasarawa United. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?
The NPFL match finished Katsina United 1:0 Nasarawa United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?
Katsina United score 0.83 goals per game on average and Nasarawa United 0.96. The NPFL average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Katsina United's matches and 40% of Nasarawa United's.
What form are Katsina United and Nasarawa United in?
Over the last 5 games Katsina United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nasarawa United 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?
The statistical background for Katsina United vs Nasarawa United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.