Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor: match statistics
Keçiörengücü shows significantly better home form with a 43% home win rate and an impressive +14 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.93 goals per home game while conceding just 0.93 goals, giving them a solid defensive edge. Sakaryaspor is in a difficult league situation in 17th position, winning only 14% of their away matches and conceding an average of 2.14 goals per away game. The difference in away goal difference (-10 for Sakaryaspor) and the hosts' higher xG efficiency (1.44 vs 1.14) further support the prediction of a Keçiörengücü victory. The form over the last five matches of both teams (1.4 PPG for the hosts vs 1.0 PPG for the visitors) confirms the home team's advantage, although a draw should not be ruled out due to Keçiörengücü's relatively high number of home draws (36%).
Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Keçiörengücü played against Sakaryaspor in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The game was played on March 11, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Keçiörengücü has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Sakaryaspor has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Keçiörengücü scores 1.86 goals per game and allows 1.24. Sakaryaspor scores 1.31 and allows 1.79. Games in this league average 2.97 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of Keçiörengücü's games and 55% of Sakaryaspor's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 52%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Keçiörengücü has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.23 per game. Keçiörengücü takes 12.3 shots per game, while Sakaryaspor takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Keçiörengücü leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Sakaryaspor leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Keçiörengücü's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (14 goals). For Sakaryaspor, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Lig games average 2.97 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Keçiörengücü shows significantly better home form with a 43% home win rate and an impressive +14 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.93 goals per home game while conceding just 0.93 goals, giving them a solid defensive edge. Sakaryaspor is in a difficult league situation in 17th position, winning only 14% of their away matches and conceding an average of 2.14 goals per away game. The difference in away goal difference (-10 for Sakaryaspor) and the hosts' higher xG efficiency (1.44 vs 1.14) further support the prediction of a Keçiörengücü victory. The form over the last five matches of both teams (1.4 PPG for the hosts vs 1.0 PPG for the visitors) confirms the home team's advantage, although a draw should not be ruled out due to Keçiörengücü's relatively high number of home draws (36%).
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Keçiörengücü | Sakaryaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Keçiörengücü is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Keçiörengücü · 1 pts / game - Sakaryaspor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Keçiörengücü is 42% better for: goals scored per game.
1.86 goals / game - Keçiörengücü · 1.31 goals / game - Sakaryaspor
Keçiörengücü is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.24 goals / game - Keçiörengücü · 1.79 goals / game - Sakaryaspor
Keçiörengücü scores in 83% of games (24 of 29 meczów), while Sakaryaspor keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 meczów).
Sakaryaspor scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 meczów), while Keçiörengücü keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Keçiörengücü
Over / Under - Sakaryaspor
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Keçiörengücü is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.69 pts / game - Keçiörengücü · 1.03 pts / game - Sakaryaspor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Keçiörengücü - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 38%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sakaryaspor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Keçiörengücü
Sakaryaspor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).
Teams vs league
| Keçiörengücü | Liga | Sakaryaspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.10 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 82% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Keçiörengücü's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Sakaryaspor. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor?
The 1. Lig match finished Keçiörengücü 1:1 Sakaryaspor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor?
Keçiörengücü score 1.86 goals per game on average and Sakaryaspor 1.31. The 1. Lig average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Keçiörengücü's matches and 55% of Sakaryaspor's.
What form are Keçiörengücü and Sakaryaspor in?
Over the last 5 games Keçiörengücü have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sakaryaspor 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.