Kedus Giorgis vs Bahardar: match statistics
The analysis points to a draw as the most probable outcome of this match. Kedus Giorgis is displaying poor form with just 0.4 points per game in their last five matches and not a single victory, although they maintain defensive solidity at home with a 50% clean sheet rate. Bahardar is characterized by a high percentage of draws (55% in away matches), confirming their tendency to share points; however, their offense is limited, averaging only 0.55 goals per away game. Both teams have similar xG metrics (1.3 vs 1.15), suggesting an even quality in chance creation. Considering the poor form of the hosts, the defensive mindset of the visitors, and the statistical prevalence of draws in Bahardar's matches, sharing the points in a low-scoring game is the most likely scenario.
Kedus Giorgis vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kedus Giorgis play Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 13 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Kedus Giorgis: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kedus Giorgis scores 0.89 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kedus Giorgis 32%, Bahardar 32%. Over 2.5: Kedus Giorgis 24%, Bahardar 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Bahardar has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.22. Kedus Giorgis: 8.0 shots per match, Bahardar: 8.3.
Match halves
Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.35. Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (9 goals). Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The analysis points to a draw as the most probable outcome of this match. Kedus Giorgis is displaying poor form with just 0.4 points per game in their last five matches and not a single victory, although they maintain defensive solidity at home with a 50% clean sheet rate. Bahardar is characterized by a high percentage of draws (55% in away matches), confirming their tendency to share points; however, their offense is limited, averaging only 0.55 goals per away game. Both teams have similar xG metrics (1.3 vs 1.15), suggesting an even quality in chance creation. Considering the poor form of the hosts, the defensive mindset of the visitors, and the statistical prevalence of draws in Bahardar's matches, sharing the points in a low-scoring game is the most likely scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kedus Giorgis | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kedus Giorgis is 333% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.6 pts / match - Bahardar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kedus Giorgis is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar
Bahardar is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar
Kedus Giorgis scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kedus Giorgis
Over / Under — Bahardar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kedus Giorgis is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1 pts / match - Bahardar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kedus Giorgis
Bahardar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kedus Giorgis | Liga | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.73 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 40% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kedus Giorgis 1 - 0 - 0 Bahardar. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kedus Giorgis vs Bahardar?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Kedus Giorgis 0:2 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kedus Giorgis vs Bahardar?
Kedus Giorgis score 0.89 goals per game on average and Bahardar 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Kedus Giorgis's matches and 32% of Bahardar's.
What form are Kedus Giorgis and Bahardar in?
Over the last 5 games Kedus Giorgis have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bahardar 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kedus Giorgis vs Bahardar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kedus Giorgis vs Bahardar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.