Kedus Giorgis vs Negele Arsi Ketema: match statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema presents significantly better form and statistics than Kedus Giorgis. The hosts occupy only 13th place in the table and have not secured a single victory in their last 5 matches, earning just 0.4 points per match. The visitors, from 3rd place in the league, have an impressive streak - 3 wins in the last 5 meetings and 2 points per match. Negele Arsi Ketema shows a 50% win rate away from home and 50% clean sheets, which, given the hosts' weak offense (only 1 goal in the last 5 matches), constitutes a huge advantage. Higher shot conversion (15% vs 11%) and better offensive form (5 goals in the last 5 matches vs 1) further speak in favor of the visitors. Taking all these factors into account, a victory for Negele Arsi Ketema is the most likely scenario.
Kedus Giorgis vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kedus Giorgis played against Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on March 3, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Kedus Giorgis has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Negele Arsi Ketema has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Kedus Giorgis scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 0.85. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.05 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 1.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 30% of Kedus Giorgis's games and 33% of Negele Arsi Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 15% and 24%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kedus Giorgis has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.16 per game. Kedus Giorgis takes 9.3 shots per game, while Negele Arsi Ketema takes 7.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Kedus Giorgis leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.30 goals per game after halftime. Negele Arsi Ketema leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kedus Giorgis's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Negele Arsi Ketema, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.74 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Negele Arsi Ketema presents significantly better form and statistics than Kedus Giorgis. The hosts occupy only 13th place in the table and have not secured a single victory in their last 5 matches, earning just 0.4 points per match. The visitors, from 3rd place in the league, have an impressive streak - 3 wins in the last 5 meetings and 2 points per match. Negele Arsi Ketema shows a 50% win rate away from home and 50% clean sheets, which, given the hosts' weak offense (only 1 goal in the last 5 matches), constitutes a huge advantage. Higher shot conversion (15% vs 11%) and better offensive form (5 goals in the last 5 matches vs 1) further speak in favor of the visitors. Taking all these factors into account, a victory for Negele Arsi Ketema is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kedus Giorgis | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Kedus Giorgis · 2 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
0.8 goals / game - Kedus Giorgis · 1.05 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema
Negele Arsi Ketema is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.85 goals / game - Kedus Giorgis · 0.67 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema
Kedus Giorgis scores in 55% of games (11 of 20 games), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 games).
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 games), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kedus Giorgis
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - Kedus Giorgis · 1.62 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kedus Giorgis
Negele Arsi Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kedus Giorgis | Liga | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.65 | 1.74 | • 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 15% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 41% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Kedus Giorgis's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Negele Arsi Ketema. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kedus Giorgis vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Kedus Giorgis 0:0 Negele Arsi Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kedus Giorgis vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Kedus Giorgis score 0.80 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 1.05. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Kedus Giorgis's matches and 33% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.
What form are Kedus Giorgis and Negele Arsi Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Kedus Giorgis have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kedus Giorgis vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kedus Giorgis vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.