Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers: match statistics
Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kelty Hearts played against Cove Rangers in League One (Scotland). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Kelty Hearts has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Cove Rangers has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Kelty Hearts scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.76. Cove Rangers scores 1.15 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Kelty Hearts's games and 44% of Cove Rangers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 44%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cove Rangers has the higher season xG average, 1.17 to 1.00 per game. Kelty Hearts takes 7.3 shots per game, while Cove Rangers takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.47 goals per game after halftime. Cove Rangers leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kelty Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). For Cove Rangers, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win (Cove Rangers). Kelty Hearts average only 0.65 goals per home match and have failed to score in 53% of their home games, whereas Cove average 1.29 goals away with FTS at 41%. In the last 5 matches Kelty have scored 6 and conceded 6, while Cove have scored 7 and conceded 7, both averaging 1.4 points per game in that period. The decisive advantage for the visitors is efficiency — Cove have a conversion rate of 17% versus Kelty’s 8% — and better defense (Kelty concede 1.82 goals at home vs. 1.47 conceded by Cove away). xG confirms Kelty generate about 1.05 xG at home but only convert 0.65 goals, whereas Cove have 1.11 xG and convert it to a greater extent (1.29 goals), which supports an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because both teams show defensive vulnerabilities: Kelty Hearts have conceded 60 goals this season (avg 1.12 per game) and Cove Rangers 44 goals (avg 1.47 per game). Seasonal BTTS rates are 41% for Kelty and 47% for Cove (avg 44%), and in the last 5 matches Kelty had BTTS in 60% of games, Cove in 40% — short-form average is 50% BTTS. xG metrics show Kelty creates 1.24 xG with 1.22 xG against, while Cove posts 1.11 xG with 1.43 xG against, indicating both sides generate chances and Cove is defensively exposed. Additionally, clean sheet rates are only 24% for Kelty and 18% for Cove, so in the majority of matches (76% and 82%) they concede, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering recent 5-game goal averages (Kelty 1.2 scored/1.2 conceded, Cove 1.4 scored/1.4 conceded) and low clean sheet percentages, I assign 62% probability to Yes and 38% to No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG is 2.35 (Kelty 1.24 vs Cove 1.11), suggesting around 2–3 goals — below 2.5 but clearly above 1.5. Season stats show Kelty had Over 1.5 in 59% of matches and Cove in 76% — average 67.5% (~68%), which is a strong signal for Over 1.5. The 2.5 line has less support: Kelty Over 2.5 in 35% of matches, Cove in 53% (average 44%), and in the last 5 matches both teams produced Over 2.5 in only 40% of cases, so Under 2.5 has the edge. Over 3.5 looks unlikely (seasonal 18% for Kelty and 29% for Cove; Kelty scored 4+ goals in 0% of matches), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most probable scenario is a half-time draw and an away win (X/2): the hosts were level at the break in 9 home matches (53%), and in Kelty Hearts’ last 5 fixtures a half-time draw occurred 4 times (80%). Cove Rangers are stronger after the break — they average 0.94 goals in the second half versus 0.47 for the hosts, have a positive second-half goal difference of +4 (vs -2 for Kelty) and win second halves in 38% of cases (vs 28% for the hosts). Although xG favors the home side 1.24 to 1.11, the visitors convert chances better (shot conversion 17% vs 11%), which increases their likelihood of scoring after the break. Considering a 53% chance of a half-time draw for Kelty and Cove’s second-half advantage, I assign X/2 the highest probability (28%), with the remaining risk distributed across draws and smaller chances for home wins.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kelty Hearts | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cove Rangers is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.15 goals / game - Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.76 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.29 goals / game - Cove Rangers
Kelty Hearts scores in 62% of games (21 of 34 meczów), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 meczów).
Cove Rangers scores in 56% of games (19 of 34 meczów), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
Over / Under - Cove Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cove Rangers is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.18 pts / game - Cove Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cove Rangers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kelty Hearts
Cove Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Kelty Hearts | Liga | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.65 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 28% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Kelty Hearts's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Cove Rangers. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers?
The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 0:2 Cove Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Cove Rangers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 1, Cove Rangers won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers?
Kelty Hearts score 0.88 goals per game on average and Cove Rangers 1.15. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 44% of Cove Rangers's.
What form are Kelty Hearts and Cove Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cove Rangers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers?
The statistical background for Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.