Scotland - League OneData current as of September 12, 2026

Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical: match statistics

115%(3.30)
X20%(3.40)
265%(2.00)

Hamilton Academical are in 3rd place in the table and are showing significantly better form than Kelty Hearts (10th position). The hosts have catastrophic home statistics – 0% wins, 82% losses, and a goal difference of -22, without keeping a single clean sheet. Hamilton demonstrates solid effectiveness in away matches (36% wins, averaging 1.82 goals per game) as well as better shot conversion (18% vs 7%). Kelty Hearts have failed to score in 64% of their home matches, which, coupled with a defense conceding an average of 2.45 goals per game, makes them a very weak opponent. All key indicators, including xG (1.3 vs 0.92) and form from the last five matches (1.8 vs 1.0 PPG), decisively favor an away win.

Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kelty Hearts played against Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 0:0.

Recent form

Kelty Hearts has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Hamilton Academical has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Kelty Hearts scores 0.91 goals per game and allows 2.18. Hamilton Academical scores 1.76 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 55% of Kelty Hearts's games and 43% of Hamilton Academical's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 62%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Hamilton Academical has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 0.93 per game. Kelty Hearts takes 6.5 shots per game, while Hamilton Academical takes 9.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.36 goals per game after halftime. Hamilton Academical leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.95 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kelty Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Hamilton Academical, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Hamilton Academical are in 3rd place in the table and are showing significantly better form than Kelty Hearts (10th position). The hosts have catastrophic home statistics – 0% wins, 82% losses, and a goal difference of -22, without keeping a single clean sheet. Hamilton demonstrates solid effectiveness in away matches (36% wins, averaging 1.82 goals per game) as well as better shot conversion (18% vs 7%). Kelty Hearts have failed to score in 64% of their home matches, which, coupled with a defense conceding an average of 2.45 goals per game, makes them a very weak opponent. All key indicators, including xG (1.3 vs 0.92) and form from the last five matches (1.8 vs 1.0 PPG), decisively favor an away win.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

49Possession (%)51
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
13Shots9
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
8Shots on target4
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
1.81xG1.35
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
3Corners9
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
59Dangerous attacks68
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
5Fouls13
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
1Cards3
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
0.91Goals scored / game1.76
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
2.18Goals allowed / game1.14
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
49%Average possession47%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
3.18Shots on target / game4.95
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.55Shots per game9.86
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
3.18Shots on target4.95
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
13.9%Shot conversion17.9%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
49%Possession47%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
0.93xG for1.32
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
1.61xG against1.26
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical

Shooting quality

Kelty Hearts: Efficient finishingHamilton Academical: Counter-attacking
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
Accuracy (shots on target)49%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Hamilton Academical is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.8 pts / game - Hamilton Academical

Kelty Hearts
LWDLL
Season result split
14% W18% D68% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-15
0.59 pts / game · goal difference -28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-9
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
DLLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.94Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Hamilton Academical
LWLWW
Season result split
52% W19% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-4-6
1.76 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.88Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hamilton Academical is 93% better for: goals scored per game.

0.91 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.76 goals / game - Hamilton Academical

Hamilton Academical is 91% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.18 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.14 goals / game - Hamilton Academical

Kelty Hearts scoring profile: mixed

Kelty Hearts scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 meczów).

Hamilton Academical scoring profile: very strong

Hamilton Academical scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 meczów).

20Goals scored (season)37
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
48Goals conceded (season)24
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
3.09Average goals per game2.9
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
11Goals conceded (last 5)10
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal76%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
27%2 goals52%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
0%3 goals33%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
0%4 goals14%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal57%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
73%2 goals33%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
41%3 goals14%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
9%4 goals10%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

43%
Hamilton Academical - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 21 meczów
42%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time19%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
14%Scored in both halves48%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
23%Min. 3 goals without BTTS24%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
60%BTTS - last 540%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

91%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hamilton Academical is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.09 pts / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.67 pts / game - Hamilton Academical

Kelty Hearts - half-time state
27% leading27% draw45% trailing
Hamilton Academical - half-time state
43% leading38% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.09Points per game (1st half)1.67
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.81
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
1.55Average goals (1st half)1.29
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
27%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
55%No goal before half-time38%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical

After half-time (2nd half)

0.59Points per game (2nd half)1.71
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.95
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
1.18Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.62
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
23%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical
68%No goal after half-time38%
Kelty HeartsHamilton Academical

Kelty Hearts - second-half results

9% W32% D59% L
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Hamilton Academical - second-half results

48% W29% D24% L
35
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kelty Hearts - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.60
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game0.61.6
Average goals per game1.41.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-7
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Hamilton Academical - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kelty Hearts
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
6
6
16-30
3
8
31-45
3
11
46-60
2
5
61-75
3
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Hamilton Academical
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
7
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
7
7
46-60
7
5
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+34%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kelty Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
179%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Hamilton Academical

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Kelty HeartsLigaHamilton Academical
Average goals per game 3.092.62 2.90
Both teams scored 55%42% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%52% 62%
Clean sheets 9%32% 43%
Goal before half-time 91%72% 76%
Goal after half-time 86%80% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per game
42%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+16%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Kelty HeartsYellow cardCraig William Clay
  2. Kelty HeartsSubstitutionOn: James GrahamOff: Cameron Cooper
  3. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Oliver ShawOff: Ewan Simpson
  4. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardKyle MacDonald
  5. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardCian Newbury
  6. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Campbell ForrestOff: Cian Newbury
  7. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardAlexander Hutton
  8. Kelty HeartsSubstitutionOn: Aaron ArnottOff: Alexander Ferguson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Kelty Hearts's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Hamilton Academical. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Hamilton Academical FC
3 : 1
Kelty Hearts FC
Kelty Hearts FC
0 : 4
Hamilton Academical FC

FAQ

What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical?

The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 0:0 Hamilton Academical. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Hamilton Academical?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 0, Hamilton Academical won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical?

Kelty Hearts score 0.91 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 1.76. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 43% of Hamilton Academical's.

What form are Kelty Hearts and Hamilton Academical in?

Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.