Scotland - League OneData current as of September 12, 2026

Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT: match statistics

Kelty Hearts crest
Kelty Hearts
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Inverness CT crest
Inverness CT
115%(7.60)
X20%(4.50)
265%(1.34)

Inverness CT is the decisive favorite for this meeting, occupying 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The visiting team presents excellent away form with 54% of away matches won and an astounding 62% clean sheets. In their last 5 matches, they earned 2.2 points per match, scoring 9 goals and conceding only 4. Kelty Hearts sits in 10th place with disastrous home form – 0% wins at home, 69% losses, and a goal difference of -22 in home matches. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 encounters and fail to score in 62% of home matches. xG statistics also speak in favor of the visitors (1.4 vs 1.02), and their shot conversion rate (13%) is more than double that of Kelty Hearts (6%). All indicators point to a certain victory for Inverness CT.

Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kelty Hearts played against Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 0:0.

Recent form

Kelty Hearts has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Inverness CT has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Kelty Hearts scores 0.84 goals per game and allows 2.00. Inverness CT scores 1.76 and allows 0.64. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 52% of Kelty Hearts's games and 36% of Inverness CT's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 44%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inverness CT has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 0.97 per game. Kelty Hearts takes 6.9 shots per game, while Inverness CT takes 13.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.36 goals per game after halftime. Inverness CT leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.96 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kelty Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Inverness CT, it is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Inverness CT is the decisive favorite for this meeting, occupying 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The visiting team presents excellent away form with 54% of away matches won and an astounding 62% clean sheets. In their last 5 matches, they earned 2.2 points per match, scoring 9 goals and conceding only 4. Kelty Hearts sits in 10th place with disastrous home form – 0% wins at home, 69% losses, and a goal difference of -22 in home matches. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 encounters and fail to score in 62% of home matches. xG statistics also speak in favor of the visitors (1.4 vs 1.02), and their shot conversion rate (13%) is more than double that of Kelty Hearts (6%). All indicators point to a certain victory for Inverness CT.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

35Possession (%)65
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
6Shots13
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
1Shots on target4
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0.66xG1.62
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0Corners4
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
28Dangerous attacks73
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
8Fouls10
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
2Cards2
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0.84Goals scored / game1.76
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
2Goals allowed / game0.64
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
49%Average possession55%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
3.4Shots on target / game5.8
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.88Shots per game13.64
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
3.4Shots on target5.8
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
12.2%Shot conversion12.9%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
49%Possession55%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0.97xG for1.7
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
1.55xG against0.78
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

Shooting quality

Kelty Hearts: BalancedInverness CT: Balanced
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)49%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Inverness CT is 450% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / game - Kelty Hearts · 2.2 pts / game - Inverness CT

Kelty Hearts
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
12% W24% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-6-16
0.60 pts / game · goal difference -29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-4-9
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
LDLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Inverness CT
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
64% W20% D16% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-5-4
2.12 pts / game · goal difference +28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
7-3-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 0.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 110% better for: goals scored per game.

0.84 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.76 goals / game - Inverness CT

Inverness CT is 213% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 0.64 goals / game - Inverness CT

Kelty Hearts scoring profile: mixed

Kelty Hearts scores in 60% of games (15 of 25 meczów), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 60% (15 of 25 meczów).

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 92% of games (23 of 25 meczów), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 meczów).

21Goals scored (season)44
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
50Goals conceded (season)16
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
2.84Average goals per game2.4
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
2Goals scored (last 5)10
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal92%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
24%2 goals48%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0%3 goals24%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0%4 goals12%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal40%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
64%2 goals20%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
36%3 goals4%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
8%4 goals0%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time20%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
12%Scored in both halves36%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
40%BTTS - last 560%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

84%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.76 pts / game - Inverness CT

Kelty Hearts - half-time state
24% leading32% draw44% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
44% leading44% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per game (1st half)1.76
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0.48Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0.92Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.12
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
32%Clean sheet before half-time72%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
60%No goal before half-time36%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

0.68Points per game (2nd half)1.92
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
1.08Goals conceded (2nd half)0.32
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.28
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
28%Clean sheet after half-time76%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
68%No goal after half-time36%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

Kelty Hearts - second-half results

12% W32% D56% L
26
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 12%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Inverness CT - second-half results

56% W24% D20% L
44
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kelty Hearts - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.20.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Inverness CT - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.80
Goals scored / game0.81.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kelty Hearts
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
6
7
16-30
3
8
31-45
3
12
46-60
2
5
61-75
4
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
4
4
16-30
8
2
31-45
8
1
46-60
11
4
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.62
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.7 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+34%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kelty Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
165%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.92
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Kelty HeartsLigaInverness CT
Average goals per game 2.842.66 2.40
Both teams scored 52%47% 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%53% 44%
Clean sheets 12%30% 60%
Goal before half-time 84%74% 72%
Goal after half-time 84%80% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / game
1.21
Away goals / game
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Inverness CTYellow cardRemmi Savage
  2. Kelty HeartsYellow cardLuke McCarvel
  3. Kelty HeartsYellow cardDylan Corr
  4. Inverness CTYellow cardChanka Zimba
  5. Kelty HeartsSubstitutionOn: Cameron CooperOff: Lewis Moore
  6. Kelty HeartsSubstitutionOn: Aaron ArnottOff: Alexander Ferguson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Kelty Hearts's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Inverness CT. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
2 : 2
Kelty Hearts FC
Kelty Hearts FC
0 : 3
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC

FAQ

What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT?

The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 0:0 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Inverness CT?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 0, Inverness CT won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT?

Kelty Hearts score 0.84 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.76. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 36% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Kelty Hearts and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Inverness CT 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT?

The statistical background for Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.