Kelty Hearts vs Montrose: match statistics
Kelty Hearts vs Montrose: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kelty Hearts play Montrose in League One (Scotland). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Kelty Hearts: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Montrose: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kelty Hearts scores 0.89 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Montrose scores 1.31 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kelty Hearts 53%, Montrose 61%. Over 2.5: Kelty Hearts 50%, Montrose 56%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Montrose has higher xG: 1.11 vs 1.01. Kelty Hearts: 7.5 shots per match, Montrose: 8.6.
Match halves
Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.50. Montrose: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Kelty Hearts: 76-90+ (8 goals). Montrose: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Montrose appear to be the favorites: the visitors have 10 wins this season versus the hosts' 4 and sit 7th while Kelty are 10th. Offensively the gap is clear — Kelty at home average 0.5 goals per match (27 goals this season) with xG 1.05 and a conversion rate of ~7%, whereas Montrose away average 1.25 goals (44 this season) with xG 1.14 and a 15% conversion. Both teams concede heavily: Kelty concede 1.88 goals per home match and have a home goal difference of -22, Montrose concede 1.75 away and have -8; season totals are 58 and 57 goals conceded respectively. In the last 5 matches Montrose scored 10 goals (2.0 per match) and average 1.4 points per match, Kelty 5 goals (1.0 per match) and 1.0 point per match; additionally Kelty have recorded no home wins (0% win rate) and failed to score in 56% of home games, which raises the draw risk. Considering Montrose’s superior finishing (15% vs 7%), lower share of scoreless matches (19% vs 56%), higher average shots (8.5 vs 7.56) and stronger form, I predict an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kelty Hearts | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kelty Hearts is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 0.2 pts / match - Montrose
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Montrose is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.31 goals / match - Montrose
Kelty Hearts is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.83 goals / match - Montrose
Kelty Hearts scores in 61% of matches (22 of 36 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).
Montrose scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kelty Hearts
Over / Under — Montrose
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Montrose is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.14 pts / match - Montrose
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Montrose - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Kelty Hearts | Liga | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.61 | 2.62 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 28% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Kelty Hearts 1 - 1 - 1 Montrose. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Montrose?
The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 3:1 Montrose. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Montrose?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 1, Montrose won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Montrose?
Kelty Hearts score 0.89 goals per game on average and Montrose 1.31. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 61% of Montrose's.
What form are Kelty Hearts and Montrose in?
Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Montrose 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Montrose?
The statistical background for Kelty Hearts vs Montrose — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.