Kheybar Khorramabad vs Fajr Sepasi: match statistics

Kheybar Khorramabad have a slight edge in terms of form: they have collected 7 points from their last five matches, thanks to 2 wins and a draw, while Fajr Sepasi have picked up 6 points. Both teams have scored 5 goals and conceded 6 during this period, indicating very similar attacking potential, as well as defensive issues. However, the hosts have lost only 2 of their last five matches, whereas the visitors have suffered 3 defeats and recorded no draws. Fajr Sepasi sit higher in the table, in fifth place compared with Kheybar’s eighth, but the current trend and home advantage give the hosts a slight edge. A narrow Kheybar Khorramabad victory appears the most likely outcome, although the similar number of goals scored and conceded also increases the likelihood of a draw.

Data from the last 5 matches indicates moderate goal-scoring potential: Kheybar and Fajr Sepasi have each scored 1.0 goal per match. Both teams have conceded an average of 1.2 goals during this period, but BTTS occurred in only 40% of Kheybar’s recent matches and 60% of Fajr Sepasi’s. An average of exactly 5 goals scored and 6 conceded across five appearances for each side points more towards a tight, low-scoring game than an open exchange of attacks. The lack of complete season data and xG indicators reduces confidence in the prediction, but the hosts’ lower BTTS rate and both teams’ limited attacking efficiency provide a slight edge to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

The available data from the last 5 matches shows a very similar profile for both teams: each averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match. This translates to an average of 2.2 goals in matches involving both Kheybar Khorramabad and Fajr Sepasi, pointing to a moderate rather than open contest. The 2.5 line was exceeded in 40% of the hosts’ last matches and in 60% of the visitors’ games, but there remains a clear margin to the 4-goal mark. Both teams scored 5 and conceded 6 goals in their last five appearances, so the 1.10:1.10 projection does not support a high-scoring game. The strongest selection is Under 3.5, as with 2.20 expected goals, a result featuring at least 4 goals would require a significant deviation from both teams’ recent scoring efficiency.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Fajr Sepasi win, as the visitors were level after 45 minutes in 80% of their last five matches, compared with just 20% for Kheybar. Both teams averaged 0.4 goals scored before the break, but Fajr conceded 0.8 goals per match during that period, compared with 0.4 for the hosts, which points to a cautious, evenly balanced opening. After the break, Fajr averaged 0.6 goals and posted the better second-half record, at +1, while Kheybar had a record of 0 and conceded 0.8 goals. The visitors won the second half in 60% of their recent matches, compared with just 20% for Kheybar, so following a draw at half-time, the result is more likely to turn in Fajr’s favor.