Kilmarnock vs Hearts: match statistics
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Kilmarnock vs Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kilmarnock plays Hearts in Premiership (Scotland). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026. Venue: Rugby Park.
Recent form
Kilmarnock has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Hearts has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Kilmarnock scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 2.33. Hearts scores 2.17 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Kilmarnock's games and 83% of Hearts's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 100%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hearts has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.30 per game. Kilmarnock takes 10.8 shots per game, while Hearts takes 15.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Hearts leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kilmarnock's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Hearts, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kilmarnock | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hearts is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 2.4 pts / game - Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hearts is 161% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 2.17 goals / game - Hearts
Hearts is 99% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.33 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 1.17 goals / game - Hearts
Kilmarnock scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 games), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).
Hearts scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
Over / Under - Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hearts is 161% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 2.17 pts / game - Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kilmarnock
Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Kilmarnock | Liga | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.17 | 2.61 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Kilmarnock's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Hearts. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
When do Kilmarnock and Hearts play?
Kilmarnock face Hearts on September 19, 2026 in Premiership at Rugby Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Hearts?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 1, Hearts won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs Hearts?
Kilmarnock score 0.83 goals per game on average and Hearts 2.17. The Premiership average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Kilmarnock's matches and 83% of Hearts's.
What form are Kilmarnock and Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Hearts 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs Hearts?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kilmarnock vs Hearts: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.