Kilmarnock vs Hibernian: match statistics
Hibernian is displaying significantly better form than Kilmarnock, confirmed by their record over the last five matches—the visitors have averaged 2.0 points per game compared to a mere 0.2 for the hosts. Kilmarnock is in dismal shape with a five-game losing streak, remaining winless in their last five outings, while Hibernian has won three of their last five fixtures. The hosts' home statistics are alarming, showing a 60% loss rate, only 10% wins, and failure to score in 50% of matches. Hibernian boasts superior finishing efficiency (11% shot conversion vs 6% for the hosts) and a positive away goal difference (+1) compared to Kilmarnock's home deficit (-9). The disparity in quality and form clearly favors the visitors, though the difficulty of away fixtures and Hibernian's 40% away draw rate mean a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
Kilmarnock vs Hibernian: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kilmarnock played against Hibernian in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Kilmarnock has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Hibernian has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Kilmarnock scores 0.90 goals per game and allows 1.75. Hibernian scores 1.65 and allows 1.10. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Kilmarnock's games and 50% of Hibernian's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 55%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hibernian has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.23 per game. Kilmarnock takes 10.7 shots per game, while Hibernian takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Hibernian leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kilmarnock's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Hibernian, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hibernian is displaying significantly better form than Kilmarnock, confirmed by their record over the last five matches—the visitors have averaged 2.0 points per game compared to a mere 0.2 for the hosts. Kilmarnock is in dismal shape with a five-game losing streak, remaining winless in their last five outings, while Hibernian has won three of their last five fixtures. The hosts' home statistics are alarming, showing a 60% loss rate, only 10% wins, and failure to score in 50% of matches. Hibernian boasts superior finishing efficiency (11% shot conversion vs 6% for the hosts) and a positive away goal difference (+1) compared to Kilmarnock's home deficit (-9). The disparity in quality and form clearly favors the visitors, though the difficulty of away fixtures and Hibernian's 40% away draw rate mean a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kilmarnock | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hibernian is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 2 pts / game - Hibernian
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hibernian is 83% better for: goals scored per game.
0.9 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 1.65 goals / game - Hibernian
Hibernian is 59% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.75 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 1.1 goals / game - Hibernian
Kilmarnock scores in 65% of games (13 of 20 meczów), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 meczów).
Hibernian scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
Over / Under - Hibernian
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hibernian is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 1.65 pts / game - Hibernian
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Hibernian - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 40%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Kilmarnock | Liga | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.65 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 79% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Kilmarnock's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Hibernian. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kilmarnock vs Hibernian?
The Premiership match finished Kilmarnock 1:3 Hibernian. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs Hibernian?
Kilmarnock score 0.90 goals per game on average and Hibernian 1.65. The Premiership average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Kilmarnock's matches and 50% of Hibernian's.
What form are Kilmarnock and Hibernian in?
Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Hibernian 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs Hibernian?
The statistical background for Kilmarnock vs Hibernian — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.