Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very even meeting between two teams from the bottom half of the table. Kilmarnock presents poor home form with just 17% wins and a goal difference of -8, however, St. Mirren is unable to win away (only 9% victories) and hasn't recorded a single clean sheet in away matches. The form of the last five matches favors the guests (1.8 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), who are unbeaten in their last five games (2W-3D). Both teams have identical shot efficiency (7%) and similar xG indicators, suggesting similar offensive potential. Considering Kilmarnock's weakness at home and St. Mirren's better current form, but simultaneously the guests' fatal away record, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for one of the sides.
Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kilmarnock played against St. Mirren in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on February 11, 2026. Final score: 4:3.
Recent form
Kilmarnock has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. St. Mirren has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Kilmarnock scores 0.96 goals per game and allows 1.92. St. Mirren scores 0.75 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Kilmarnock's games and 38% of St. Mirren's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 29%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
St. Mirren has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.23 per game. Kilmarnock takes 10.6 shots per game, while St. Mirren takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. St. Mirren leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kilmarnock's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For St. Mirren, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very even meeting between two teams from the bottom half of the table. Kilmarnock presents poor home form with just 17% wins and a goal difference of -8, however, St. Mirren is unable to win away (only 9% victories) and hasn't recorded a single clean sheet in away matches. The form of the last five matches favors the guests (1.8 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), who are unbeaten in their last five games (2W-3D). Both teams have identical shot efficiency (7%) and similar xG indicators, suggesting similar offensive potential. Considering Kilmarnock's weakness at home and St. Mirren's better current form, but simultaneously the guests' fatal away record, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for one of the sides.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kilmarnock | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
St. Mirren is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 1 pts / game - St. Mirren
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kilmarnock is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
0.96 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 0.75 goals / game - St. Mirren
St. Mirren is 49% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.92 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 1.29 goals / game - St. Mirren
Kilmarnock scores in 68% of games (17 of 25 meczów), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).
St. Mirren scores in 54% of games (13 of 24 meczów), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
Over / Under - St. Mirren
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kilmarnock is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 1.04 pts / game - St. Mirren
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 12%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kilmarnock
St. Mirren
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Kilmarnock | Liga | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.88 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 49% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 30% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▼ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Kilmarnock's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against St. Mirren. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren?
The Premiership match finished Kilmarnock 4:3 St. Mirren. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and St. Mirren?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 1, St. Mirren won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren?
Kilmarnock score 0.96 goals per game on average and St. Mirren 0.75. The Premiership average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Kilmarnock's matches and 38% of St. Mirren's.
What form are Kilmarnock and St. Mirren in?
Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and St. Mirren 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.