Kitara vs URA: match statistics
Kitara is in outstanding form, having won all of their last five matches and occupying second place in the table with 11 wins this season. The hosts are exceptionally effective at home, winning 86% of their home matches while conceding only 0.57 goals per game on average and boasting an impressive goal difference of 22:10. URA is in a dire situation, occupying 14th place with just two wins this season and a disastrous away form – zero away wins, failing to score in 86% of their away matches, and averaging only 0.14 goals per away game. The disparity in form, offensive efficiency, and defensive stability is vast, which, combined with the home advantage, gives Kitara a decisive edge. Considering all statistics, a home win appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
Kitara vs URA: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kitara played against URA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on February 19, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Kitara has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. URA has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Kitara scores 1.47 goals per game and allows 0.67. URA scores 0.81 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 2.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Kitara's games and 31% of URA's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 25%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kitara has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.63 per game. Kitara takes 10.9 shots per game, while URA takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Kitara leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. URA leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kitara's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). For URA, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.16 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kitara is in outstanding form, having won all of their last five matches and occupying second place in the table with 11 wins this season. The hosts are exceptionally effective at home, winning 86% of their home matches while conceding only 0.57 goals per game on average and boasting an impressive goal difference of 22:10. URA is in a dire situation, occupying 14th place with just two wins this season and a disastrous away form – zero away wins, failing to score in 86% of their away matches, and averaging only 0.14 goals per away game. The disparity in form, offensive efficiency, and defensive stability is vast, which, combined with the home advantage, gives Kitara a decisive edge. Considering all statistics, a home win appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kitara | URA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kitara is 400% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Kitara · 0.6 pts / game - URA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitara is 81% better for: goals scored per game.
1.47 goals / game - Kitara · 0.81 goals / game - URA
Kitara is 58% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Kitara · 1.06 goals / game - URA
Kitara scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while URA keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 meczów).
URA scores in 31% of games (5 of 16 meczów), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kitara
Over / Under - URA
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kitara is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.2 pts / game - Kitara · 1.06 pts / game - URA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kitara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 73%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
URA - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kitara
URA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kitara | Liga | URA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.13 | 2.16 | ▼ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 42% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 36% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 60% | 59% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Kitara's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against URA. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kitara vs URA?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Kitara 1:1 URA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kitara vs URA?
Kitara score 1.47 goals per game on average and URA 0.81. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Kitara's matches and 31% of URA's.
What form are Kitara and URA in?
Over the last 5 games Kitara have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and URA 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitara vs URA?
The statistical background for Kitara vs URA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.