Kongsvinger vs Moss: match statistics
Kongsvinger vs Moss: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kongsvinger played against Moss in First Division (Norway). The game was played on April 18, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Kongsvinger has 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Moss has 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Kongsvinger scores 3.00 goals per game and allows 0.50. Moss scores 2.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 4.00 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Kongsvinger's games and 50% of Moss's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 50%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 93% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Moss has the higher season xG average, 1.95 to 1.54 per game. Kongsvinger takes 10.5 shots per game, while Moss takes 17.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Kongsvinger leads at halftime in 100% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Moss leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kongsvinger's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Moss, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 4.00 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 93% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kongsvinger has a clear home advantage: won 100% of home matches (2/2), averaging 3.0 goals per home game and has not conceded yet (0.0 goals conceded per game) with 100% clean sheets. Moss, however, shows a strong away attack — averaging 16 shots and 8 shots on target per away game and away xG 2.05 versus hosts’ 1.62, indicating the visitors generate more high-quality chances. Kongsvinger’s home finishing is more efficient (27% conversion vs 19% for Moss), but in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 10 and conceded 8 (record 2-1-2), while Moss scored 8 and conceded 6 (record 3-1-1) and averages 2.0 points per game in their last 5. Defensively the hosts hold the edge at their stadium (0.0 goals conceded per home game vs Moss’s 2.0 goals conceded away) and enjoy higher possession (59% vs 51%), so given the moderate strength of the visitors’ attack I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data show clear contrasts: the home side has a seasonal average goals scored of 1.0 and seasonal average goals conceded of 0.0 with 100% clean sheets, while the visitors have a seasonal average goals scored of 3.0 and conceded of 2.0 and a seasonal BTTS of 100%. Over the last 5 matches the visitors have 80% BTTS and concede on average 1.2 goals per match, whereas the hosts have 40% BTTS and concede on average 1.6 goals; this indicates that in recent form both teams are more prone to goal exchanges. Offensive metrics favor the visitors: xG is 2.05 vs 1.85 for the hosts, shots on target 8 vs 4 and conversion rate 19% vs 6%, meaning the visitors are more clinical and have a higher likelihood of scoring. Considering the league average BTTS of 56% and that the visitors have a seasonal BTTS of 100% and 80% recently, while the home team — despite seasonal 100% clean sheets — has conceded 1.6 goals on average in the last 5, the 'both teams to score' scenario looks stronger. I assess BTTS probability at 70% for 'Yes' and 30% for 'No', therefore I recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet as the most justified signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.51 xG for Kongsvinger and 1.58 xG for Moss, a total of 3.09 goals; under a Poisson model this implies roughly an 81% chance of Over 1.5, ~60% for Over 2.5 and ~37% for Over 3.5. Season xG figures are 1.85 (Kongsvinger) and 2.05 (Moss), and after adjusting for opponents’ defensive xG against (1.11 and 1.16) I derived the above expected values of 1.51/1.58. Moss averages 8 on-target shots versus Kongsvinger’s 4 and posts a conversion rate of 19% vs 6%, while the league average is 3.86 goals per game — factors that increase the probability of a higher-scoring game. Season-long indicators are mixed: Moss have 100% of away matches Over 2.5, Kongsvinger have 0% at home, but the last 5 matches for both teams show 60% Over 2.5, which together with xG supports the Over. As a result I recommend backing the Over at the 1.5 line as the strongest signal (≈81%), while the 2.5 line also holds an edge (~60%) for players seeking bigger odds.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kongsvinger has led at the break in 100% of its matches so far, averaging 1.0 goals by half-time and conceding 0.0, while Moss averages 0.0 goals at half-time and concedes 1.0. Moss has a higher xG (2.05 vs 1.85 for Kongsvinger), a markedly better shot conversion rate (19% vs 6%) and on average more shots on target (8.0 vs 4.0), indicating higher-quality chances created. Second-half statistics heavily favor the visitors: Moss averages 3.0 goals in second halves and has scored after the break in 100% of matches, whereas Kongsvinger averages 0.0 second-half goals. For these reasons the most likely scenario is the home side leading at half-time and a draw after 90 minutes, hence a 35% probability for 1/X (selected pick), 30% for 1/1 and 5% for 1/2, which yields a 70% probability that Kongsvinger will have the lead at the break. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Moss has won 60% of games versus 40% for Kongsvinger, confirming the visitors’ tendency to produce a turnaround in the closing stages.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kongsvinger | Moss | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 62% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kongsvinger is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
3 goals / game - Kongsvinger · 2 goals / game - Moss
Kongsvinger is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - Kongsvinger · 1 goals / game - Moss
Kongsvinger scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Moss keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).
Moss scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Kongsvinger keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kongsvinger
Over / Under - Moss
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kongsvinger is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
3 pts / game - Kongsvinger · 1.5 pts / game - Moss
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kongsvinger - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Moss - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kongsvinger
Moss
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Kongsvinger | Liga | Moss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.50 | 4.00 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 93% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 20% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Kongsvinger's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Moss. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kongsvinger vs Moss?
The First Division match finished Kongsvinger 2:1 Moss. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kongsvinger and Moss?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kongsvinger won 2, Moss won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kongsvinger vs Moss?
Kongsvinger score 3.00 goals per game on average and Moss 2.00. The First Division average is 4.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 93% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kongsvinger's matches and 50% of Moss's.
What form are Kongsvinger and Moss in?
Over the last 5 games Kongsvinger have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Moss 2-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kongsvinger vs Moss?
The statistical background for Kongsvinger vs Moss — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.