Kozármisleny vs Ajka: match statistics
Kozármisleny vs Ajka: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kozármisleny played against Ajka in NB II (Hungary). The game was played on April 19, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Kozármisleny has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Ajka has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Kozármisleny scores 1.16 goals per game and allows 1.44. Ajka scores 0.76 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Kozármisleny's games and 32% of Ajka's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 32%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ajka has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.17 per game. Kozármisleny takes 9.4 shots per game, while Ajka takes 8.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Kozármisleny leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Ajka leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kozármisleny's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Ajka, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB II games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kozármisleny has a clear advantage in chance creation at home: on average 11.33 shots and 3.83 shots on target per match and 1.25 goals scored with xG 1.33 and a conversion rate of 11%, while Ajka away records 9.36 shots, 3.18 shots on target, 0.64 goals with xG 1.27 and a conversion of 7%. In the last five matches Ajka has 3 wins and averages 1.8 points per match, and Kozármisleny has 2 wins and 1.4 points per match; however the hosts conceded 11 goals in those five fixtures versus 6 goals conceded by Ajka, which indicates greater defensive instability for Kozármisleny. Additionally Kozármisleny has a lower share of matches without scoring at home (33%) than Ajka away (45%), which increases the hosts' chances to break down the visitors, even though Ajka more often keeps clean sheets on the road (45% vs 33%). Considering the higher number of shots (11.33 vs 9.36), more shots on target (3.83 vs 3.18) and better efficiency (11% vs 7%) for the hosts, I predict a Kozármisleny victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against BTTS is Ajka's away form: only 9% of their matches end in both teams scoring. Ajka has kept a clean sheet in 45% of games and failed to score in 45% of matches. Kozármisleny has BTTS in 50% of home games, scores on average 0.86 goals at home and concedes 1.43 goals per match, so the hosts can be defensively vulnerable. From a chance-creation perspective xG looks different — Kozármisleny 1.34 xG, Ajka 1.27 xG, and xG against 1.60 and 1.72 — which suggests scoring opportunities exist for both sides. In the last 5 matches both teams have 40% BTTS, Ajka scores on average 1.0 goal, and Kozármisleny concedes 2.2 goals (11 conceded in 5), which signals Ajka may score, but this is a short-term trend. Considering Ajka's extremely low seasonal BTTS rate (9%), high clean sheet rate 45% and low away goals average (0.64), I favor 'No' with an estimated probability of 65% versus 35% for BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I look at both teams' xG: Kozármisleny has xG_for 1.34, Ajka 1.27 (attack sum 2.61), but actual season goals per game are only 0.86 (Kozármisleny) and 0.64 (Ajka). Combined with low shot conversion rates of 8% and 7% and average shots of 10.0 and 9.36, I adopt adjusted expected goals as the average of xG and actual goals — 1.10 for the home side and 0.96 for the visitors, total 2.06. A Poisson model with total 2.06 yields roughly 61% probability for Over 1.5, 34% for Over 2.5 and 15% for Over 3.5. Historical rates support a low risk of high-scoring games: Kozármisleny has Over 3.5 in 14% of matches, Ajka in 9%, and Over 2.5 occurs in 43% and 18% of their matches respectively. Given these figures the strongest signal is Under 3.5 (about 85% probability).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kozármisleny led at the break in 6 matches, representing 43% of half-time leads, with an average of 0.57 goals at half-time versus Ajka's 0.09 (GoalsHT: 16 vs 5). Ajka is markedly stronger after the break: they score an average of 0.55 goals in the second half and record 36% wins in second halves, while Kozármisleny average 0.29 goals and only 7% second-half wins. Over full matches Ajka have a higher season win rate (45% vs 36% for Kozármisleny) with similar xG (1.27 for Ajka vs 1.34 for the home side), indicating the visitors’ efficiency late in games. Based on this, the most likely scenario is Kozármisleny leading at half-time and Ajka turning the match around to win; HT/FT recommendation: 1/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kozármisleny | Ajka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ajka is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Kozármisleny · 1.8 pts / game - Ajka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kozármisleny is 53% better for: goals scored per game.
1.16 goals / game - Kozármisleny · 0.76 goals / game - Ajka
Ajka is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.44 goals / game - Kozármisleny · 1.2 goals / game - Ajka
Kozármisleny scores in 68% of games (17 of 25 meczów), while Ajka keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).
Ajka scores in 64% of games (16 of 25 meczów), while Kozármisleny keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kozármisleny
Over / Under - Ajka
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kozármisleny - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ajka - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kozármisleny
Ajka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB II).
Teams vs league
| Kozármisleny | Liga | Ajka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.60 | 2.54 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 48% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 44% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Kozármisleny's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Ajka. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kozármisleny vs Ajka?
The NB II match finished Kozármisleny 1:1 Ajka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kozármisleny vs Ajka?
Kozármisleny score 1.16 goals per game on average and Ajka 0.76. The NB II average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Kozármisleny's matches and 32% of Ajka's.
What form are Kozármisleny and Ajka in?
Over the last 5 games Kozármisleny have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ajka 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kozármisleny vs Ajka?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kozármisleny vs Ajka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.