Kuressaare vs Nõmme United: match statistics
Kuressaare vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kuressaare play Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 20 May 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Kuressaare linnastaadion. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Kuressaare: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Nõmme United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kuressaare scores 1.00 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Nõmme United scores 1.95 and concedes 2.37. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kuressaare 53%, Nõmme United 89%. Over 2.5: Kuressaare 58%, Nõmme United 95%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Nõmme United has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.43. Kuressaare: 11.3 shots per match, Nõmme United: 12.0.
Match halves
Kuressaare: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.63. Nõmme United: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.26.
Goals by minute
Kuressaare: 76-90+ (6 goals). Nõmme United: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back an away win (Nõmme United). The visitors have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, while Kuressaare managed just 2 goals over the same period and collected 0 points (5 losses). The hosts generate slightly better chances: Kuressaare’s average home xG is 1.37 with 4.5 shots on target per game, versus Nõmme’s xG of 1.23 and 3.5 shots on target. The visitors’ main weakness is defence — Nõmme concedes on average 3.17 goals away and shipped 16 goals in their last five matches, whereas Kuressaare concede 1.67 goals per game at home; nevertheless, given the visitors’ superior recent goal and points form, I favour a Nõmme win, although I expect an open, high-scoring game.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kuressaare | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nõmme United is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Kuressaare · 1.8 pts / match - Nõmme United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme United is 95% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Kuressaare · 1.95 goals / match - Nõmme United
Kuressaare is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Kuressaare · 2.37 goals / match - Nõmme United
Kuressaare scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 19 matches).
Nõmme United scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kuressaare
Over / Under — Nõmme United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kuressaare is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Kuressaare · 0.89 pts / match - Nõmme United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Kuressaare | Liga | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.74 | 3.10 | ▲ 4.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 57% | ▲ 89% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▲ 95% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | • 89% | 88% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kuressaare 0 - 0 - 2 Nõmme United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
The Meistriliiga match finished Kuressaare 2:1 Nõmme United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Nõmme United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 0, Nõmme United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
Kuressaare score 1.00 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.95. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Kuressaare's matches and 89% of Nõmme United's.
What form are Kuressaare and Nõmme United in?
Over the last 5 games Kuressaare have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Nõmme United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.