Estonia - MeistriliigaKuressaare linnastaadionData current as of September 06, 2026

Kuressaare vs Vaprus: match statistics

Kuressaare crest
Kuressaare
2 : 2half-time 1:1
Vaprus crest
Vaprus

Kuressaare vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kuressaare played against Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on August 29, 2026. Venue: Kuressaare linnastaadion. Final score: 2:2.

Recent form

Kuressaare has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Vaprus has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Kuressaare scores 1.04 goals per game and allows 1.63. Vaprus scores 1.35 and allows 1.91. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Kuressaare's games and 70% of Vaprus's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 65%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Kuressaare has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.12 per game. Kuressaare takes 11.7 shots per game, while Vaprus takes 8.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Kuressaare leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Vaprus leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.65 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kuressaare's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Vaprus, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Kuressaare head into the match in clearly better form, having collected 9 points from their last 5 games, with 3 wins and 14 goals scored during that period, while Vaprus have accumulated 7 points and 12 goals. The key factor, however, is the visitors’ weakness away from home, where they lose 64% of their matches, concede an average of 2.18 goals and allow opponents an average xG of as much as 2.05. At home, the hosts create more chances, averaging 1.40 xG and 4.18 shots on target per match, compared with Vaprus’ 1.07 xG and 3.09 shots on target away from home. Kuressaare are not entirely consistent, as they fail to score in 55% of their home fixtures, but the visitors’ defensive weaknesses should increase their chances of ending that run. Vaprus sit higher in the table, yet their away record, featuring a -13 goal difference, supports a moderate lean towards the hosts.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The seasonal BTTS rate stands at 67% for Kuressaare and as high as 73% for Vaprus, well above the league average of 57%. Both defenses allow opponents plenty of chances: the hosts concede an average of 1.67 goals with an xG against of 1.90, while the visitors concede 2.18 goals with an xG against of 2.05. Kuressaare score an average of 1.67 goals, compared with 1.00 for Vaprus, but over their last five matches, their scoring averages have risen to 2.8 and 2.4 respectively. Vaprus recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five games, while neither team keeps clean sheets consistently, with clean-sheet rates of just 25% and 18%. The weaker factor for this pick is Kuressaare’s 40% BTTS rate across their last five appearances; however, the high defensive vulnerability of both sides and their current attacking efficiency provide stronger support for BTTS - Yes.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Kuressaare score an average of 1.67 goals per match, while Vaprus concede as many as 2.18, significantly strengthening the outlook for home-team goals. Vaprus average 1.00 goal scored, but Kuressaare’s defense allows opponents an xG of 1.90, so the visitors should also create chances. In their last five matches, both teams have been more effective than their season averages: Kuressaare scored 14 goals and Vaprus 12, averaging 2.8 and 2.4 goals per game, respectively. The 1.5-goal line was surpassed in 83% of Kuressaare’s matches and 82% of Vaprus’ games, while the league average stands at a high 3.09 goals. Over 1.5 goals therefore has the strongest backing, both in terms of result consistency and the current attacking form of both teams.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Kuressaare have a clear advantage in the first halves: they have led at the break in 42% of matches, compared with just 9% for Vaprus, while the visitors have been trailing at half-time in as many as 45% of games. The hosts score an average of 0.83 goals before the break and concede 0.75, whereas Vaprus score 0.55 and allow opponents an average of 1.00. In their last five matches, Kuressaare have been ahead after 45 minutes in 60% of cases, scoring an average of 1.6 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.4. Over the full match, the hosts win 42% of their games compared with 27% for Vaprus, while their average goals scored stands at 1.67 versus 1.00 for the visitors. The 1/1 scenario is also supported by Vaprus’ weak defensive record: they concede an average of 2.18 goals per match and allow opponents an average xG of 2.05.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

42Possession (%)58
KuressaareVaprus
24Shots13
KuressaareVaprus
9Shots on target4
KuressaareVaprus
2.65xG1.45
KuressaareVaprus
4Corners6
KuressaareVaprus
72Dangerous attacks47
KuressaareVaprus
13Fouls12
KuressaareVaprus
2Cards1
KuressaareVaprus

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.04Goals scored / game1.35
KuressaareVaprus
1.63Goals allowed / game1.91
KuressaareVaprus
41%Average possession45%
KuressaareVaprus
4.17Shots on target / game3.43
KuressaareVaprus

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.71Shots per game8.3
KuressaareVaprus
4.17Shots on target3.43
KuressaareVaprus
8.9%Shot conversion16.2%
KuressaareVaprus
41%Possession45%
KuressaareVaprus
1.46xG for1.12
KuressaareVaprus
2.03xG against1.97
KuressaareVaprus

Shooting quality

Kuressaare: BalancedVaprus: Counter-attacking
KuressaareVaprus
Accuracy (shots on target)36%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Kuressaare is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Kuressaare · 0.8 pts / game - Vaprus

Kuressaare
DLWWL
Season result split
29% W13% R58% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-14
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-5
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 2.07BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Vaprus
WLDLL
Season result split
35% W13% R52% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-12
1.17 pts / game · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WDLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 2.36BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vaprus is 30% better for: goals scored per game.

1.04 goals / game - Kuressaare · 1.35 goals / game - Vaprus

Kuressaare is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.63 goals / game - Kuressaare · 1.91 goals / game - Vaprus

Kuressaare scoring profile: strong

Kuressaare scores in 50% of games (12 of 24 meczów), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).

Vaprus scoring profile: very strong

Vaprus scores in 83% of games (19 of 23 meczów), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 meczów).

25Goals scored (season)31
KuressaareVaprus
39Goals conceded (season)44
KuressaareVaprus
2.67Average goals per game3.26
KuressaareVaprus
6Goals scored (last 5)9
KuressaareVaprus
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
KuressaareVaprus

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal83%
KuressaareVaprus
33%2 goals30%
KuressaareVaprus
21%3 goals13%
KuressaareVaprus
0%4 goals4%
KuressaareVaprus

How often they concede at least...

92%1 goal78%
KuressaareVaprus
54%2 goals57%
KuressaareVaprus
13%3 goals26%
KuressaareVaprus
4%4 goals9%
KuressaareVaprus

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time35%
KuressaareVaprus
0%BTTS in both halves4%
KuressaareVaprus
21%Scored in both halves22%
KuressaareVaprus

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS65%
KuressaareVaprus
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
KuressaareVaprus
40%BTTS - last 5100%
KuressaareVaprus

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
KuressaareVaprus
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time52%
KuressaareVaprus
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
KuressaareVaprus

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
KuressaareVaprus
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
KuressaareVaprus
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
KuressaareVaprus

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vaprus is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / game - Kuressaare · 1.22 pts / game - Vaprus

Kuressaare - half-time state
25% leading33% draw42% trailing
Vaprus - half-time state
26% leading43% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per game (1st half)1.22
KuressaareVaprus
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.7
KuressaareVaprus
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.87
KuressaareVaprus
1.04Average goals (1st half)1.57
KuressaareVaprus
50%Clean sheet before half-time48%
KuressaareVaprus
67%No goal before half-time43%
KuressaareVaprus

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per game (2nd half)1.17
KuressaareVaprus
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
KuressaareVaprus
1.04Goals conceded (2nd half)1.04
KuressaareVaprus
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.7
KuressaareVaprus
29%Clean sheet after half-time35%
KuressaareVaprus
63%No goal after half-time52%
KuressaareVaprus

Kuressaare - second-half results

17% W33% R50% P
26
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Vaprus - second-half results

30% W26% R43% P
28
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kuressaare - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.60
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Vaprus - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.60
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game1.40.6
Average goals per game2.21.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kuressaare
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
4
7
16-30
4
5
31-45
1
8
46-60
5
7
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Vaprus
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
7
5
16-30
5
7
31-45
6
10
46-60
3
9
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.96
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kuressaare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Vaprus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.85
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

KuressaareLigaVaprus
Average goals per game 2.673.10 3.26
Both teams scored 50%58% 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%65% 65%
Clean sheets 8%22% 22%
Goal before half-time 71%75% 74%
Goal after half-time 83%89% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / game
1.31
Away goals / game
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. VaprusYellow cardMatthias Limberg
  2. KuressaareYellow cardMarco Lukka
  3. KuressaareGoalJevgeni Demidov
  4. VaprusSubstitutionOn: Joosep PõderOff: Sten Jakob Viidas
  5. KuressaareGoalAston Visse
  6. KuressaareYellow cardJevgeni Demidov
  7. KuressaareSubstitutionOn: Andero KiviOff: Aston Visse

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Kuressaare's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Vaprus. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Vaprus
1 : 0
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
0 : 1
Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
0 : 1
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
2 : 1
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
2 : 1
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
1 : 0
Pärnu JK Vaprus

FAQ

What was the result of Kuressaare vs Vaprus?

The Meistriliiga match finished Kuressaare 2:2 Vaprus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Vaprus?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 3, Vaprus won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kuressaare vs Vaprus?

Kuressaare score 1.04 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.35. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kuressaare's matches and 70% of Vaprus's.

What form are Kuressaare and Vaprus in?

Over the last 5 games Kuressaare have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Vaprus 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kuressaare vs Vaprus?

The statistical background for Kuressaare vs Vaprus — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.