KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden: match statistics
KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
KV Mechelen played against Sint-Truiden in Pro League (Belgium). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne. Final score: 4:3.
Recent form
KV Mechelen has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Sint-Truiden has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
KV Mechelen scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 2.00. Sint-Truiden scores 1.71 and allows 1.71. Games in this league average 2.97 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of KV Mechelen's games and 43% of Sint-Truiden's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 57%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sint-Truiden has the higher season xG average, 1.79 to 1.37 per game. KV Mechelen takes 11.9 shots per game, while Sint-Truiden takes 17.3.
First-half and second-half trends
KV Mechelen leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Sint-Truiden leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.14 after halftime.
When the teams score
KV Mechelen's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Sint-Truiden, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Pro League games average 2.97 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 4 away wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sint-Truiden have a clear edge in the results so far: they have won 2 of 7 matches, while KV Mechelen have yet to win and sit in 17th place. In their last five games, the visitors have scored 8 goals and recorded 2 wins, while the hosts have managed just 2 goals and have not won once. Sint-Truiden average 2.33 goals away from home, while Mechelen concede 2.67 per game at home, strengthening the case for an away win. However, the hosts could still pose a threat, with a home xG of 1.48, while the visitors allow opponents chances worth an average of 2.03 xG away from home. Despite this defensive vulnerability, Sint-Truiden are more clinical on the road—converting 16% of their shots into goals compared with the hosts' 7% at home—and remain favorites.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in only 20% of games, a stronger signal against goals at both ends than Mechelen’s season rate of 25% and Sint-Truiden’s 67%. The main risk to the BTTS scenario comes from the home side’s attack: they have scored an average of just 0.4 goals per match recently and failed to score in 50% of their matches over the season. The visitors are more likely to find the net, having averaged 1.6 goals in their last 5 appearances, while Mechelen conceded 1.8 goals per match over that span. However, the case for BTTS - Yes is supported by the hosts’ xG of 1.98, compared with the visitors’ 2.03 xG conceded. This makes the edge for BTTS - No moderate, with the main risk being that Mechelen fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: all matches played by both teams so far have gone over this line. Sint-Truiden average 2.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded, while KV Mechelen create chances worth 1.98 xG against 2.03 xG conceded by the visitors. The case for goals is further strengthened by the fact that the visitors have conceded in every match, and both teams’ fixtures have averaged at least one second-half goal. The higher line is less certain: Over 2.5 goals has landed in 50% of the hosts’ matches and 67% of the visitors’ matches, while Mechelen have scored just 0.4 goals per game across their last five fixtures. Therefore, the 3.25-goal forecast supports backing at least two goals, but offers a weaker basis for selecting the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal concerns the first half: KV Mechelen were trailing at the break in 3 of the 4 matches analyzed, while Sint-Truiden led in 2 of 3. The visitors average 1.0 goal before half-time, compared with 0.25 for the hosts, pointing to an early lead for Sint-Truiden. Holding that advantage is the most likely single scenario, as Mechelen lost 50% of the matches analyzed at home and have averaged just 0.4 goals per game across their last five, compared with Sint-Truiden’s 1.6. However, the risk of a turnaround remains significant: the hosts average 1.0 goal after the break, while the visitors concede 1.67 goals in the second half. Therefore, the 2/2 pick ranks ahead of draw or home-win scenarios, although the small sample of matches analyzed limits confidence in the forecast.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| KV Mechelen | Sint-Truiden | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sint-Truiden is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - KV Mechelen · 1.2 pts / game - Sint-Truiden
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sint-Truiden is 141% better for: goals scored per game.
0.71 goals / game - KV Mechelen · 1.71 goals / game - Sint-Truiden
Sint-Truiden is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - KV Mechelen · 1.71 goals / game - Sint-Truiden
KV Mechelen scores in 29% of games (2 of 7 games), while Sint-Truiden keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
Sint-Truiden scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KV Mechelen
Over / Under - Sint-Truiden
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sint-Truiden is 921% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.14 pts / game - KV Mechelen · 1.43 pts / game - Sint-Truiden
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sint-Truiden - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
KV Mechelen
Sint-Truiden
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KV Mechelen | Liga | Sint-Truiden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.71 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 42% | • 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 31% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from KV Mechelen's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses against Sint-Truiden. Games average 3.25 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
The Pro League match finished KV Mechelen 4:3 Sint-Truiden. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KV Mechelen and Sint-Truiden?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches KV Mechelen won 0, Sint-Truiden won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
KV Mechelen score 0.71 goals per game on average and Sint-Truiden 1.71. The Pro League average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 29% of KV Mechelen's matches and 43% of Sint-Truiden's.
What form are KV Mechelen and Sint-Truiden in?
Over the last 5 games KV Mechelen have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Sint-Truiden 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
The statistical background for KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.