Kwara United vs Abia Warriors: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Kwara United vs Abia Warriors: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kwara United plays Abia Warriors in NPFL (Nigeria). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium.
Recent form
Kwara United has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Abia Warriors has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Kwara United scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.13. Abia Warriors scores 1.00 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.41 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Kwara United's games and 25% of Abia Warriors's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Abia Warriors has the higher season xG average, 1.17 to 0.68 per game. Kwara United takes 0.3 shots per game, while Abia Warriors takes 3.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Kwara United leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Abia Warriors leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kwara United's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Abia Warriors, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 2.41 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kwara United | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -100% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 2.72 | 0.30 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Abia Warriors is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Kwara United · 1.4 pts / game - Abia Warriors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kwara United is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Kwara United · 1 goals / game - Abia Warriors
Kwara United is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Kwara United · 1.38 goals / game - Abia Warriors
Kwara United scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 games), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 games).
Abia Warriors scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 games), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kwara United
Over / Under - Abia Warriors
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Abia Warriors is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / game - Kwara United · 0.75 pts / game - Abia Warriors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Abia Warriors - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kwara United
Abia Warriors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Kwara United | Liga | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.25 | 2.41 | • 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Kwara United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Abia Warriors. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
When do Kwara United and Abia Warriors play?
Kwara United face Abia Warriors on October 18, 2026 in NPFL at Ilorin Township Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kwara United and Abia Warriors?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kwara United won 0, Abia Warriors won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kwara United vs Abia Warriors?
Kwara United score 1.13 goals per game on average and Abia Warriors 1.00. The NPFL average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Kwara United's matches and 25% of Abia Warriors's.
What form are Kwara United and Abia Warriors in?
Over the last 5 games Kwara United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Abia Warriors 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kwara United vs Abia Warriors?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


