Nigeria - NPFLIlorin Township StadiumData current as of October 14, 2026

Kwara United vs Abia Warriors: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kwara United vs Abia Warriors: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kwara United plays Abia Warriors in NPFL (Nigeria). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium.

Recent form

Kwara United has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Abia Warriors has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Kwara United scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.13. Abia Warriors scores 1.00 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.41 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 38% of Kwara United's games and 25% of Abia Warriors's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Abia Warriors has the higher season xG average, 1.17 to 0.68 per game. Kwara United takes 0.3 shots per game, while Abia Warriors takes 3.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Kwara United leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Abia Warriors leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kwara United's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Abia Warriors, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NPFL games average 2.41 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
1.13Goals scored / game1
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
1.13Goals allowed / game1.38
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
14%Average possession21%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
-0.25Shots on target / game2
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

0.25Shots per game3.88
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
-0.25Shots on target2
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
450%Shot conversion25.8%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
14%Possession21%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
0.68xG for1.17
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
1.71xG against1.42
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors

Shooting quality

Kwara United: Counter-attackingAbia Warriors: Counter-attacking
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
Accuracy (shots on target)-100%52%
Chance quality (xG per shot)2.720.30
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.000.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Abia Warriors is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Kwara United · 1.4 pts / game - Abia Warriors

Kwara United
LWLWL
Season result split
38% W13% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-4
1.25 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 at home
3-1-0
DWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.79Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Abia Warriors
WLWLD
Season result split
25% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-3
1.13 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 away
1-0-3
LWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kwara United is 13% better for: goals scored per game.

1.13 goals / game - Kwara United · 1 goals / game - Abia Warriors

Kwara United is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.13 goals / game - Kwara United · 1.38 goals / game - Abia Warriors

Kwara United scoring profile: mixed

Kwara United scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 games), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 games).

Abia Warriors scoring profile: strong

Abia Warriors scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 games), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).

9Goals scored (season)8
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
9Goals conceded (season)11
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
2.25Average goals per game2.38
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
4Goals scored (last 5)6
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
50%2 goals38%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
13%3 goals13%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
0%4 goals0%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal50%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
25%2 goals50%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
0%3 goals25%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
0%4 goals13%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time13%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
25%Scored in both halves13%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
40%BTTS - last 520%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Abia Warriors is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.63 pts / game - Kwara United · 0.75 pts / game - Abia Warriors

Kwara United - half-time state
13% leading25% draw63% trailing
Abia Warriors - half-time state
13% leading38% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.63Points per game (1st half)0.75
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.25
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
25%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
75%No goal before half-time75%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors

After half-time (2nd half)

1.88Points per game (2nd half)1.13
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
0.13Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
1Average goals (2nd half)1.13
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
88%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors
50%No goal after half-time63%
Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors

Kwara United - second-half results

50% W38% D13% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding292%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.9

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Abia Warriors - second-half results

25% W38% D38% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding192%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kwara United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.60
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game1.00.2
Average goals per game1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Abia Warriors - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kwara United
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
0
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
3
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Abia Warriors
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.32
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kwara United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
159%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Abia Warriors

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Kwara UnitedLigaAbia Warriors
Average goals per game▼ 2.252.41• 2.38
Both teams scored▼ 38%44%▼ 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%42%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 13%35%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 88%71%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▼ 63%68%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.41
Average goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / game
0.71
Away goals / game
+139%
Home attack advantage
+58%
Home defensive advantage
+53%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Kwara United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Abia Warriors. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Abia Warriors
1 : 0
Kwara United
Kwara United
0 : 1
Abia Warriors

FAQ

When do Kwara United and Abia Warriors play?

Kwara United face Abia Warriors on October 18, 2026 in NPFL at Ilorin Township Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kwara United and Abia Warriors?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kwara United won 0, Abia Warriors won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kwara United vs Abia Warriors?

Kwara United score 1.13 goals per game on average and Abia Warriors 1.00. The NPFL average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Kwara United's matches and 25% of Abia Warriors's.

What form are Kwara United and Abia Warriors in?

Over the last 5 games Kwara United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Abia Warriors 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kwara United vs Abia Warriors?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.