Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Nemesio Camacho El CampínData current as of September 13, 2026

La Equidad vs Atlético Nacional: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

La Equidad vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

La Equidad plays Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game is scheduled for September 17, 2026. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín.

Recent form

La Equidad has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Atlético Nacional has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

La Equidad scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.57. Atlético Nacional scores 2.03 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of La Equidad's games and 43% of Atlético Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 67%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Atlético Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.41 per game. La Equidad takes 13.3 shots per game, while Atlético Nacional takes 16.8.

First-half and second-half trends

La Equidad leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Nacional leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.30 after halftime.

When the teams score

La Equidad's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). For Atlético Nacional, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Categoria Primera A games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 5 away wins. Those games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

La EquidadAtlético Nacional
1.3Goals scored / game2.03
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
1.57Goals allowed / game0.83
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
46%Average possession57%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
4.83Shots on target / game6.43
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.3Shots per game16.77
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
4.83Shots on target6.43
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
9.8%Shot conversion12.1%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
46%Possession57%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
1.41xG for1.77
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
1.39xG against1.26
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

Shooting quality

La Equidad: BalancedAtlético Nacional: Dominant
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
Accuracy (shots on target)36%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Atlético Nacional is 71% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - La Equidad · 2.4 pts / game - Atlético Nacional

La Equidad
DDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
30% W40% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-12-9
1.30 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LWDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Atlético Nacional
WLWWW
Season result split
73% W3% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
22-1-7
2.23 pts / game · goal difference +36
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
10-0-7
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Nacional is 56% better for: goals scored per game.

1.3 goals / game - La Equidad · 2.03 goals / game - Atlético Nacional

Atlético Nacional is 89% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.57 goals / game - La Equidad · 0.83 goals / game - Atlético Nacional

La Equidad scoring profile: strong

La Equidad scores in 73% of games (22 of 30 meczów), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 meczów).

Atlético Nacional scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Nacional scores in 73% of games (22 of 30 meczów), while La Equidad keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 meczów).

39Goals scored (season)61
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
47Goals conceded (season)25
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
2.87Average goals per game2.87
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
8Goals scored (last 5)12
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal73%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
37%2 goals67%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
17%3 goals33%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
3%4 goals17%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal67%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
50%2 goals10%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
13%3 goals7%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
3%4 goals0%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

43%
Atlético Nacional - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 30 meczów
55%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time23%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
7%BTTS in both halves0%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
23%Scored in both halves47%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS23%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
80%BTTS - last 560%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Nacional is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.93 pts / game - La Equidad · 1.47 pts / game - Atlético Nacional

La Equidad - half-time state
10% leading63% draw27% trailing
Atlético Nacional - half-time state
33% leading47% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.93Points per game (1st half)1.47
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.73
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.23
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
47%Clean sheet before half-time57%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
57%No goal before half-time50%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per game (2nd half)2.13
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)1.3
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
1.6Average goals (2nd half)1.63
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
43%Clean sheet after half-time70%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
47%No goal after half-time30%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

La Equidad - second-half results

30% W40% D30% L
28
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlético Nacional - second-half results

67% W13% D20% L
44
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
64
Second-half points
+29
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding221%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 73%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

La Equidad - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.80
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game1.20.2
Average goals per game2.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 5
Atlético Nacional - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.60
Goals scored / game1.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+5+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

La Equidad
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
6
2
16-30
7
11
31-45
10
7
46-60
6
11
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Atlético Nacional
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
6
3
16-30
9
5
31-45
11
6
46-60
12
2
61-75
16
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.86
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+32%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

La Equidad

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
152%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Atlético Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
197%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

La EquidadLigaAtlético Nacional
Average goals per game 2.872.55 2.87
Both teams scored 67%55% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%47% 67%
Clean sheets 20%26% 33%
Goal before half-time 63%67% 70%
Goal after half-time 77%79% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / game
1.03
Away goals / game
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from La Equidad's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses against Atlético Nacional. Games average 3.80 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.

Atlético Nacional
7 : 1
La Equidad
La Equidad
1 : 2
Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional
3 : 0
La Equidad
Club Atlético Nacional SA
3 : 1
CD La Equidad Seguros SA
CD La Equidad Seguros SA
0 : 1
Club Atlético Nacional SA

FAQ

When do La Equidad and Atlético Nacional play?

La Equidad face Atlético Nacional on September 17, 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between La Equidad and Atlético Nacional?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 0, Atlético Nacional won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before La Equidad vs Atlético Nacional?

La Equidad score 1.30 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 2.03. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 67% of La Equidad's matches and 43% of Atlético Nacional's.

What form are La Equidad and Atlético Nacional in?

Over the last 5 games La Equidad have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Equidad vs Atlético Nacional?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for La Equidad vs Atlético Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.