Chile - Primera DivisiónEstadio La Portada de La SerenaData current as of October 20, 2026

La Serena vs Concepción: match statistics

Reasoning:

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La Serena vs Concepción: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

La Serena plays Concepción in Primera División (Chile). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Estadio La Portada de La Serena.

Recent form

La Serena has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Concepción has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

La Serena scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.71. Concepción scores 1.08 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.89 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 58% of La Serena's games and 38% of Concepción's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 29%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Concepción has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.32 per game. La Serena takes 12.0 shots per game, while Concepción takes 13.8.

First-half and second-half trends

La Serena leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Concepción leads at halftime in 46% and scores 0.54 after halftime.

When the teams score

La Serena's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Concepción, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.89 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.25)
(3.40)
(2.95)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

La SerenaConcepción
1.5Goals scored / game1.08
La SerenaConcepción
1.71Goals allowed / game1.13
La SerenaConcepción
47%Average possession47%
La SerenaConcepción
4.54Shots on target / game3.79
La SerenaConcepción

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12Shots per game13.83
La SerenaConcepción
4.54Shots on target3.79
La SerenaConcepción
12.5%Shot conversion7.8%
La SerenaConcepción
47%Possession47%
La SerenaConcepción
1.32xG for1.39
La SerenaConcepción
1.54xG against1.46
La SerenaConcepción

Shooting quality

La Serena: Counter-attackingConcepción: Balanced
La SerenaConcepción
Accuracy (shots on target)38%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

La Serena is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - La Serena · 1.2 pts / game - Concepción

La Serena
DWWLL
Season result split
29% W38% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-9-8
1.25 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-4
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Concepción
DWLDD
Season result split
38% W21% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-10
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-6
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WLWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

La Serena is 39% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - La Serena · 1.08 goals / game - Concepción

Concepción is 51% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.71 goals / game - La Serena · 1.13 goals / game - Concepción

La Serena scoring profile: very strong

La Serena scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 games), while Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 games).

Concepción scoring profile: very strong

Concepción scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 games), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 games).

36Goals scored (season)26
La SerenaConcepción
41Goals conceded (season)27
La SerenaConcepción
3.21Average goals per game2.21
La SerenaConcepción
8Goals scored (last 5)4
La SerenaConcepción
10Goals conceded (last 5)4
La SerenaConcepción

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal71%
La SerenaConcepción
46%2 goals25%
La SerenaConcepción
21%3 goals13%
La SerenaConcepción
4%4 goals0%
La SerenaConcepción

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal67%
La SerenaConcepción
46%2 goals38%
La SerenaConcepción
33%3 goals8%
La SerenaConcepción
13%4 goals0%
La SerenaConcepción

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time4%
La SerenaConcepción
13%BTTS in both halves0%
La SerenaConcepción
29%Scored in both halves25%
La SerenaConcepción

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
La SerenaConcepción
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
La SerenaConcepción
60%BTTS - last 560%
La SerenaConcepción

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
La SerenaConcepción
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
La SerenaConcepción
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
La SerenaConcepción

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
La SerenaConcepción
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
La SerenaConcepción
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
La SerenaConcepción

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

La Serena - half-time state
38% leading50% draw13% trailing
Concepción - half-time state
46% leading25% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per game (1st half)1.63
La SerenaConcepción
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.54
La SerenaConcepción
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
La SerenaConcepción
1.29Average goals (1st half)1
La SerenaConcepción
58%Clean sheet before half-time71%
La SerenaConcepción
42%No goal before half-time50%
La SerenaConcepción

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per game (2nd half)1.21
La SerenaConcepción
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.54
La SerenaConcepción
1.17Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
La SerenaConcepción
1.92Average goals (2nd half)1.21
La SerenaConcepción
33%Clean sheet after half-time50%
La SerenaConcepción
50%No goal after half-time54%
La SerenaConcepción

La Serena - second-half results

25% W33% D42% L
39
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Concepción - second-half results

25% W46% D29% L
39
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 38%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

La Serena - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.00
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.4
Average goals per game1.42.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Concepción - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.20
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.80.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

La Serena
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
5
4
16-30
9
7
31-45
7
7
46-60
5
5
61-75
6
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

Concepción
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
3
5
16-30
5
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
5
3
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+121%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

La Serena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Concepción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

La SerenaLigaConcepción
Average goals per game▲ 3.212.89▼ 2.21
Both teams scored▲ 58%53%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 58%55%▼ 29%
Clean sheets• 25%26%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 71%74%• 75%
Goal after half-time• 79%78%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.89
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from La Serena's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Concepción. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do La Serena and Concepción play?

La Serena face Concepción on October 24, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio La Portada de La Serena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before La Serena vs Concepción?

La Serena score 1.50 goals per game on average and Concepción 1.08. The Primera División average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 58% of La Serena's matches and 38% of Concepción's.

What form are La Serena and Concepción in?

Over the last 5 games La Serena have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Concepción 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Serena vs Concepción?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for La Serena vs Concepción: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.