Lahti vs HJK: match statistics
Lahti vs HJK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lahti play HJK in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 11 July 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Lahti: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. HJK: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lahti scores 1.25 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. HJK scores 1.69 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lahti 44%, HJK 44%. Over 2.5: Lahti 31%, HJK 56%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
HJK has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.43. Lahti: 12.5 shots per match, HJK: 13.0.
Match halves
Lahti: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50. HJK: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Lahti: 0-15 (4 goals). HJK: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the away win (HJK) because their offensive metrics and recent form are clearly superior: HJK have scored 25 goals this season versus Lahti’s 16 and have 14 goals in the last 5 matches compared to 4 for the hosts. The visitors average 2 points in their last 5 games, while Lahti average 1 point with a 1-2-2 record in that period. HJK show higher shooting efficiency at 16% versus Lahti’s 11% and score 2.14 goals per away match compared to Lahti’s 1.5 at home; xG are similar (1.58 for HJK vs 1.54 for Lahti), suggesting an edge for the visitors in finishing. Lahti, however, defend solidly at home — average xG against 1.07, only 1 goal conceded per game and 38% clean sheets, but HJK are less likely to be shut out (14% matches without scoring for HJK vs 25% for Lahti). Given the clearer goal production and superior recent form, I assign HJK a 58% chance to win, 22% for a draw and 20% for a Lahti win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lahti | HJK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lahti is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Lahti · 1.4 pts / match - HJK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HJK is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Lahti · 1.69 goals / match - HJK
Lahti is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Lahti · 1.25 goals / match - HJK
Lahti scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
HJK scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Lahti keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lahti
Over / Under — HJK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lahti is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Lahti · 1.38 pts / match - HJK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lahti - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
HJK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lahti
HJK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Lahti | Liga | HJK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.19 | 2.67 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lahti 0 - 0 - 1 HJK. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lahti vs HJK?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Lahti 2:0 HJK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lahti vs HJK?
Lahti score 1.25 goals per game on average and HJK 1.69. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Lahti's matches and 44% of HJK's.
What form are Lahti and HJK in?
Over the last 5 games Lahti have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and HJK 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lahti vs HJK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lahti vs HJK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.