Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield: match statistics
Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lanús played against Vélez Sarsfield in Primera División (Argentina). The game was played on October 12, 2026. Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Lanús has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Vélez Sarsfield has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Lanús scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 0.93. Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.25 and allows 0.86. Games in this league average 2.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 36% of Lanús's games and 57% of Vélez Sarsfield's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 29%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lanús has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.41 per game. Lanús takes 12.6 shots per game, while Vélez Sarsfield takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Lanús leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Vélez Sarsfield leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lanús's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Vélez Sarsfield, it is minutes 0-15 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.16 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
A draw appears to be the most likely outcome, as Vélez Sarsfield have drawn 62% of their away matches, while Lanús have drawn 36% of their home games. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded just 2 goals in that run; at home, they concede an average of 0.79 goals and keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches. Lanús also have the edge in chance creation: their home xG is 1.64, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.20. However, Vélez are unbeaten in 5 matches, have lost only 8% of their away games and average 1.31 goals on the road, compared with Lanús’ 1.07 goals per home match. The hosts’ solid defense and the difficulty of beating the visitors point to a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A scenario in which at least one team fails to score appears more likely. Lanús kept a clean sheet in 40% of its matches and conceded an average of just 0.4 goals over its last five fixtures; during the same period, both teams scored in only 20% of its matches. Vélez average 1.31 goals per match and have a season BTTS rate of 69%, so they have a realistic chance of scoring. The hosts also have attacking arguments in their favor, including an average xG of 1.6 against 1.6 xG conceded by the visitors, but their season rate of matches in which both teams scored is only 47%. Lanús’ recent defensive strength and the league average of 2.15 goals per match slightly outweigh the indicators pointing towards both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 80% of Lanús matches and 77% of Vélez Sarsfield matches. Both teams concede fewer than one goal per game on average — 0.80 and 0.92, respectively — limiting the chances of a high-scoring game. Although their average attacking xG is 1.60 for the hosts and 1.20 for the visitors, their actual goals-per-game averages are 1.20 and 1.31, putting the projected total at 2.30 goals. The last five matches also support a more cautious assessment: Lanús conceded just 2 goals in total, while Over 2.5 goals landed in only 40% of matches involving the two teams. Under 3.5 therefore offers a clearer edge than the lower lines, even though both teams could still find the net.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Lanús leading at the break and holding on to the advantage: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 47% of matches, compared with just 23% for Vélez. Lanús concede an average of 0.27 goals before half-time, versus 0.62 for the visitors, further supporting the case for a stronger start from the hosts. Across full matches, Lanús won 53% of the time compared with Vélez’s 31%, and their average xG is 1.60 versus their opponents’ 1.20, indicating greater potential to create chances. However, the 1/1 pick is not a certainty: Vélez drew 62% of their matches and scored an average of 0.77 goals after half-time, so a draw at half-time or at full-time remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lanús | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lanús is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Lanús · 1.8 pts / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vélez Sarsfield is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Lanús · 1.25 goals / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Vélez Sarsfield is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.93 goals / game - Lanús · 0.86 goals / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Lanús scores in 64% of games (18 of 28 games), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 games).
Vélez Sarsfield scores in 86% of games (24 of 28 games), while Lanús keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lanús
Over / Under - Vélez Sarsfield
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vélez Sarsfield is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / game - Lanús · 1.54 pts / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lanús - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lanús
Vélez Sarsfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Lanús | Liga | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.04 | 2.16 | • 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 47% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 39% | 38% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 33% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 36% | 61% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Lanús's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Vélez Sarsfield. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield?
The Primera División match finished Lanús 2:0 Vélez Sarsfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lanús and Vélez Sarsfield?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Lanús won 2, Vélez Sarsfield won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Lanús score 1.11 goals per game on average and Vélez Sarsfield 1.25. The Primera División average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Lanús's matches and 57% of Vélez Sarsfield's.
What form are Lanús and Vélez Sarsfield in?
Over the last 5 games Lanús have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Vélez Sarsfield 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


