Larissa vs Panathinaikos: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Larissa play Panathinaikos in Super League (Greece). The match date is 7 December 2025 at 16:30. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Larissa: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Panathinaikos: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Larissa scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Panathinaikos scores 1.47 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Larissa 61%, Panathinaikos 50%. Over 2.5: Larissa 39%, Panathinaikos 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Panathinaikos has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.25. Larissa: 11.4 shots per match, Panathinaikos: 12.6.

Match halves

Larissa: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.58. Panathinaikos: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Larissa: 46-60 (11 goals). Panathinaikos: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Super League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

31Possession (%)69
LarissaPanathinaikos
10Shots14
LarissaPanathinaikos
4Shots on target8
LarissaPanathinaikos
1.07xG1.84
LarissaPanathinaikos
4Corners5
LarissaPanathinaikos
20Dangerous attacks54
LarissaPanathinaikos
11Fouls10
LarissaPanathinaikos
4Cards4
LarissaPanathinaikos

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

LarissaPanathinaikos
0.94Goals scored / match1.47
LarissaPanathinaikos
1.56Goals conceded / match1.03
LarissaPanathinaikos
46%Average possession53%
LarissaPanathinaikos
3.81Shots on target / match4.69
LarissaPanathinaikos

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.36Shots per match12.59
LarissaPanathinaikos
3.81Shots on target4.69
LarissaPanathinaikos
8.3%Shot conversion11.7%
LarissaPanathinaikos
46%Possession53%
LarissaPanathinaikos
1.25xG for1.51
LarissaPanathinaikos
1.52xG against1.1
LarissaPanathinaikos

Shooting quality

Larissa: BalancedPanathinaikos: Balanced
LarissaPanathinaikos
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larissa is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Larissa · 0.4 pts / match - Panathinaikos

Larissa
DDDWL
Season result split
14% W42% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-15-16
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-8-7
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 40%
Panathinaikos
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
44% W31% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-10-8
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-4-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Panathinaikos is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

0.94 goals / match - Larissa · 1.47 goals / match - Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Larissa · 1.03 goals / match - Panathinaikos

Larissa scoring profile: strong

Larissa scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Panathinaikos keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).

Panathinaikos scoring profile: very strong

Panathinaikos scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).

34Goals scored (season)47
LarissaPanathinaikos
56Goals conceded (season)33
LarissaPanathinaikos
2.5Average goals in match2.5
LarissaPanathinaikos
7Goals scored (last 5)3
LarissaPanathinaikos
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
LarissaPanathinaikos

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal72%
LarissaPanathinaikos
22%2 goals50%
LarissaPanathinaikos
0%3 goals19%
LarissaPanathinaikos
0%4 goals6%
LarissaPanathinaikos

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal66%
LarissaPanathinaikos
42%2 goals25%
LarissaPanathinaikos
22%3 goals9%
LarissaPanathinaikos
6%4 goals3%
LarissaPanathinaikos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time13%
LarissaPanathinaikos
8%BTTS in both halves6%
LarissaPanathinaikos
8%Scored in both halves28%
LarissaPanathinaikos

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
LarissaPanathinaikos
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
LarissaPanathinaikos
100%BTTS - last 540%
LarissaPanathinaikos

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
LarissaPanathinaikos
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time34%
LarissaPanathinaikos
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
LarissaPanathinaikos

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
LarissaPanathinaikos
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
LarissaPanathinaikos
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
LarissaPanathinaikos

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Panathinaikos is 136% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.69 pts / match - Larissa · 1.63 pts / match - Panathinaikos

Larissa - half-time state
11% leading36% draw53% trailing
Panathinaikos - half-time state
44% leading31% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.69Points per match (1st half)1.63
LarissaPanathinaikos
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.72
LarissaPanathinaikos
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
LarissaPanathinaikos
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.19
LarissaPanathinaikos
42%Clean sheet before half-time63%
LarissaPanathinaikos
72%No goal before half-time50%
LarissaPanathinaikos

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.44
LarissaPanathinaikos
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
LarissaPanathinaikos
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
LarissaPanathinaikos
1.28Average goals (2nd half)1.31
LarissaPanathinaikos
44%Clean sheet after half-time56%
LarissaPanathinaikos
47%No goal after half-time50%
LarissaPanathinaikos

Larissa - second-half results

19% W53% R28% P
25
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-18
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Panathinaikos - second-half results

34% W41% R25% P
52
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Larissa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Panathinaikos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-5+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Larissa
ScoredConceded
4
11
0-15
1
11
16-30
8
9
31-45
11
8
46-60
3
7
61-75
7
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Panathinaikos
ScoredConceded
11
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
9
9
31-45
7
3
46-60
9
6
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Larissa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Panathinaikos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

LarissaLigaPanathinaikos
Average goals in match 2.502.57 2.50
Both teams scored 61%49% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%50% 50%
Clean sheets 17%30% 34%
Goal before half-time 69%71% 75%
Goal after half-time 75%75% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Larissa 0 - 1 - 0 Panathinaikos. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Larissa vs Panathinaikos?

The Super League match finished Larissa 2:2 Panathinaikos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Larissa vs Panathinaikos?

Larissa score 0.94 goals per game on average and Panathinaikos 1.47. The Super League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Larissa's matches and 50% of Panathinaikos's.

What form are Larissa and Panathinaikos in?

Over the last 5 games Larissa have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Panathinaikos 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larissa vs Panathinaikos?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Larissa vs Panathinaikos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.