Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipInver ParkData current as of October 21, 2026

Larne vs Bangor: match statistics

Larne crest
Larne
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Bangor crest
Bangor

Larne vs Bangor: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Larne played against Bangor in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on September 8, 2026. Venue: Inver Park. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Larne has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Bangor has 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.25 points per game.

Scoring records

Larne scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.50. Bangor scores 0.50 and allows 2.75. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Larne's games and 25% of Bangor's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 75%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Larne has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.06 per game. Larne takes 9.0 shots per game, while Bangor takes 7.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Larne leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Bangor leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Larne's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). For Bangor, it is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NIFL Premiership games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Larne have not been particularly clinical lately, scoring just 3 goals in their previous five matches, yet they still managed to collect 5 points from a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Bangor are in a far worse run of form, having lost all of their last 5 fixtures, scoring 2 goals and conceding as many as 16. Away from home, the visitors have lost 100% of their matches, failed to score a single goal and conceded an average of 2 goals per game. Larne also have attacking issues, but Bangor’s defense, which has conceded 9 goals in three league matches, should give the hosts their best opportunity to end their scoring drought. Home advantage and the visitors’ significantly weaker form point towards a Larne win, although the hosts’ limited goal output increases the risk of a draw.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as neither team has scored a goal in the current season data, while the rate of matches featuring goals from both sides stands at 0% for each team. In their last 5 matches, Larne averaged 0.6 goals, while Bangor managed just 0.4, with only 20% of matches ending in BTTS - Yes for both sides. Bangor have lost their last five matches and conceded 16 goals in the process, but their attack generated just 0.78 xG per match, limiting their chances of exploiting Larne’s defensive weaknesses. Larne have the higher recent xG, at 1.23 compared with the opponent’s 0.78, making a one-sided home win more likely than a Bangor goal. Additionally, the league-average BTTS rate is only 33%, reinforcing the prediction that at least one team will fail to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Both teams have produced very limited attacking output in their last five matches: Larne average 0.6 goals, while Bangor manage just 0.4. At the same time, Bangor concede as many as 3.2 goals per game, which clearly boosts the projection for the hosts. However, Larne have averaged only 1.23 xG, making a high-scoring game difficult to expect. The visitors’ xG across their last five appearances stands at just 0.78, and both teams have recorded matches with goals scored by both sides in only 20% of those fixtures. Even with Bangor’s defensive weakness, a result around 2 total goals is more likely than four, making Under 3.5 goals the safest pick.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Larne win at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 100% of their last five matches, scoring and conceding no goals before half-time. Bangor, meanwhile, were trailing at half-time in each of their last five games, conceding an average of 1.6 goals and scoring just 0.2 during this phase. After the break, Larne score an average of 0.6 goals, while Bangor allow their opponents 1.6, supporting a shift in the hosts’ advantage towards the full-time result. The overall form also clearly favors Larne: the hosts averaged 1.0 point per match across their last five games, whereas Bangor lost all five and conceded an average of 3.2 goals.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

55Possession (%)45
LarneBangor
19Shots4
LarneBangor
7Shots on target1
LarneBangor
2.16xG0.53
LarneBangor
5Corners1
LarneBangor
67Dangerous attacks29
LarneBangor
12Fouls9
LarneBangor
1Cards2
LarneBangor

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Goals scored / game0.5
LarneBangor
0.5Goals allowed / game2.75
LarneBangor
53%Average possession49%
LarneBangor
2.5Shots on target / game2.5
LarneBangor

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9Shots per game7.25
LarneBangor
2.5Shots on target2.5
LarneBangor
11.1%Shot conversion6.9%
LarneBangor
53%Possession49%
LarneBangor
1.37xG for1.06
LarneBangor
0.9xG against1.73
LarneBangor

Shooting quality

Larne: BalancedBangor: Balanced
LarneBangor
Accuracy (shots on target)28%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Larne is 700% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Larne · 0.25 pts / game - Bangor

Larne
DW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 0.90BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Bangor
LLLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W25% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-3
0.25 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-3
0.25 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 25%Over 2.5: 75%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 100% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Larne · 0.5 goals / game - Bangor

Larne is 450% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.5 goals / game - Larne · 2.75 goals / game - Bangor

Larne scoring profile: very strong

Larne scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Bangor keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 games).

Bangor scoring profile: more difficult

Bangor scores in 25% of games (1 of 4 games), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

2Goals scored (season)2
LarneBangor
1Goals conceded (season)11
LarneBangor
1.5Average goals per game3.25
LarneBangor
2Goals scored (last 5)2
LarneBangor
1Goals conceded (last 5)11
LarneBangor

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal25%
LarneBangor
50%2 goals25%
LarneBangor
0%3 goals0%
LarneBangor
0%4 goals0%
LarneBangor

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal100%
LarneBangor
0%2 goals100%
LarneBangor
0%3 goals50%
LarneBangor
0%4 goals25%
LarneBangor

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
LarneBangor
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LarneBangor
0%Scored in both halves0%
LarneBangor

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
LarneBangor
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS50%
LarneBangor
50%BTTS - last 525%
LarneBangor

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

0%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
LarneBangor
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
LarneBangor
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LarneBangor

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
LarneBangor
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
LarneBangor
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
LarneBangor

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Bangor - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)0
LarneBangor
0Goals scored (1st half)0
LarneBangor
0Goals conceded (1st half)1.5
LarneBangor
0Average goals (1st half)1.5
LarneBangor
100%Clean sheet before half-time0%
LarneBangor
100%No goal before half-time100%
LarneBangor

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)0.75
LarneBangor
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
LarneBangor
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1.25
LarneBangor
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.75
LarneBangor
50%Clean sheet after half-time25%
LarneBangor
50%No goal after half-time75%
LarneBangor

Larne - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bangor - second-half results

25% W0% D75% L
0
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Larne - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game0.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.5
Average goals per game0.01.5
1 goal0%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Bangor - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.000.75
Goals scored / game0.00.5
Goals allowed / game1.51.3
Average goals per game1.51.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet0%25%
No goal100%75%
Goal difference-6-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 0% draw - 75% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Larne
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Bangor
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
13%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
38%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
33%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Bangor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.67
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
33%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
248%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LarneLigaBangor
Average goals per game▼ 1.502.63▲ 3.25
Both teams scored▲ 50%41%▼ 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%56%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▲ 50%31%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 0%67%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%89%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per game
41%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.11
Home goals / game
1.52
Away goals / game
+-27%
Home attack advantage
+-37%
Home defensive advantage
+-4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. BangorYellow cardAlfie Mitchell
  2. BangorYellow cardLewis Harrison
  3. LarneYellow cardPaul O'Neill
  4. LarneGoalDylan Sloan

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Larne's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Bangor. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Larne FC
2 : 1
Bangor FC
Larne FC
1 : 1
Bangor FC
Bangor FC
0 : 2
Larne FC

FAQ

What was the result of Larne vs Bangor?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 1:0 Bangor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Bangor?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Larne won 2, Bangor won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Bangor?

Larne score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bangor 0.50. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Larne's matches and 25% of Bangor's.

What form are Larne and Bangor in?

Over the last 5 games Larne have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Bangor 0-1-3 (0.25 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Bangor?

The statistical background for Larne vs Bangor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.