Larne vs Cliftonville: match statistics
Larne are the clear favorites for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 22 wins this season. The hosts boast excellent home form with 65% wins at home and only 6% losses, confirmed by a run of five consecutive victories at their own stadium. Cliftonville have been considerably weaker on the road, winning only 31% of matches with 44% losses and a negative goal difference (-4). Larne also dominate in offensive aspects, scoring an average of 1.88 goals per home game while conceding only 0.59, whereas Cliftonville concede an average of 1.44 goals away. The advantage in possession (56% vs 53%), shot accuracy, and clean sheets in 59% of home games further support a confident home win. The recent form of both teams (Larne: 2.2 pts/game vs Cliftonville: 1.4 pts/game) confirms the clear advantage of the league leaders.
Larne vs Cliftonville: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Larne played against Cliftonville in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on March 28, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Larne has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Cliftonville has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Larne scores 1.82 goals per game and allows 0.67. Cliftonville scores 1.48 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Larne's games and 58% of Cliftonville's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 58%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Larne has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.45 per game. Larne takes 12.6 shots per game, while Cliftonville takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Larne leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Cliftonville leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Larne's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (18 goals). For Cliftonville, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.84 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne are the clear favorites for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 22 wins this season. The hosts boast excellent home form with 65% wins at home and only 6% losses, confirmed by a run of five consecutive victories at their own stadium. Cliftonville have been considerably weaker on the road, winning only 31% of matches with 44% losses and a negative goal difference (-4). Larne also dominate in offensive aspects, scoring an average of 1.88 goals per home game while conceding only 0.59, whereas Cliftonville concede an average of 1.44 goals away. The advantage in possession (56% vs 53%), shot accuracy, and clean sheets in 59% of home games further support a confident home win. The recent form of both teams (Larne: 2.2 pts/game vs Cliftonville: 1.4 pts/game) confirms the clear advantage of the league leaders.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data supports BTTS: Larne have BTTS in 59% of matches, and Cliftonville 56%, which is above the league average of 50%. Both teams have relatively low clean sheet rates (Larne 29%, Cliftonville 25%) and a similar level of goals conceded per season (1.47 vs 1.44), which favors each side scoring. Offensive potential is also steady in quality metrics: xG for is 1.55 (Larne) and 1.36 (Cliftonville), and xG against 1.44 and 1.53, so goal-scoring opportunities should arise for both sides. A downside for BTTS is Cliftonville's form in the last 5 matches (BTTS only 20%) and Larne's improved defense (0.6 goals conceded/match), which increases the risk of a home clean sheet scenario. Despite this, given the seasonal consistency in scoring and conceding along with solid shot parameters (SOT 4.82 vs 4.13), the BTTS: Yes outcome remains slightly more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal projection model indicates approximately 2.80 goals for the match (Larne 1.58, Cliftonville 1.22), supporting the scenario of at least 2 goals. Larne has a high scoring average (1.76 goals scored) while also conceding plenty of chances (1.47 goals conceded; xGA 1.44), and Cliftonville concedes an average of 1.44 goals (xGA 1.53). The seasonal data for Over 1.5 is very strong for both sides (Larne 82%, Cliftonville 69%), and additionally, both teams often both score and concede simultaneously (BTTS: 59% and 56%; conceded over 0.5: 71% and 75%). The higher lines are less certain because, despite the high league average (2.84), Larne has significantly improved its defense in the last 5 matches (0.6 goals conceded per game), limiting the risk of a very high score. Therefore, the strongest statistical signal is for Over 1.5 as the most probable and stable choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Larne's superiority after the break: they have clearly better second-half statistics (ppg_2hg 1.71 vs 1.13, wins_2hg 47% vs 25%, gd_2hg +5 vs -3). At the same time, first halves are often more balanced, as Cliftonville frequently draws at half-time (drawingAtHT 44%), and average goals at HT are low (AVGHT 1.29 and 1.19) with very low BTTS at HT (18% and 25%, and 0% in the last 5 matches for both teams). Overall, Larne is stronger this season (PPG 1.65 vs 1.19, win% 47% vs 31%) and generates higher quality in attack (xG_for 1.55 vs 1.36, more shots and shots on target). Cliftonville also has a high loss percentage (44%), reinforcing the scenario that if the score is level at the break, the hosts 'deliver' the victory after the sides change. Therefore, the most probable Half-Time/Full-Time outcome is a draw at half-time and a Larne win at full-time (X/1), with the 1/1 alternative should the hosts score before the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Cliftonville | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Larne is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Larne · 1.4 pts / game - Cliftonville
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
1.82 goals / game - Larne · 1.48 goals / game - Cliftonville
Larne is 116% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Larne · 1.45 goals / game - Cliftonville
Larne scores in 85% of games (28 of 33 meczów), while Cliftonville keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 meczów).
Cliftonville scores in 76% of games (25 of 33 meczów), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 52% (17 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larne
Over / Under - Cliftonville
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / game - Larne · 1.3 pts / game - Cliftonville
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Cliftonville - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Larne
Cliftonville
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Cliftonville | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.48 | 2.84 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Larne's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Cliftonville. Games average 1.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Cliftonville?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 2:0 Cliftonville. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Cliftonville?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Larne won 1, Cliftonville won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Cliftonville?
Larne score 1.82 goals per game on average and Cliftonville 1.48. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Larne's matches and 58% of Cliftonville's.
What form are Larne and Cliftonville in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cliftonville 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Cliftonville?
The statistical background for Larne vs Cliftonville — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.