Larne vs Glentoran: match statistics
Larne displays impressive home form with 77% wins and just 23% draws, remaining undefeated at home this season. The hosts boast a phenomenal home defense, conceding an average of only 0.23 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 77% of fixtures. Glentoran, despite solid away form (69% wins), concedes an average of 0.92 goals per away match, which poses a serious challenge against such an effective Larne defense. Both teams have an identical average of scored goals (1.92), but Larne's possession advantage (57% vs 50%) and higher average xG (1.82 vs 1.58) tip the scales in the hosts' favor. Given Larne's streak of five consecutive home wins and their unbeaten run at their own stadium, we expect a home victory, though Glentoran's quality means a draw cannot be ruled out.
Larne vs Glentoran: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larne play Glentoran in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 10 February 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Larne: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Glentoran: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larne scores 1.92 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Glentoran scores 1.92 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larne 39%, Glentoran 53%. Over 2.5: Larne 47%, Glentoran 53%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Glentoran has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.56. Larne: 12.4 shots per match, Glentoran: 13.3.
Match halves
Larne: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.05. Glentoran: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Larne: 76-90+ (20 goals). Glentoran: 31-45+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Larne displays impressive home form with 77% wins and just 23% draws, remaining undefeated at home this season. The hosts boast a phenomenal home defense, conceding an average of only 0.23 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 77% of fixtures. Glentoran, despite solid away form (69% wins), concedes an average of 0.92 goals per away match, which poses a serious challenge against such an effective Larne defense. Both teams have an identical average of scored goals (1.92), but Larne's possession advantage (57% vs 50%) and higher average xG (1.82 vs 1.58) tip the scales in the hosts' favor. Given Larne's streak of five consecutive home wins and their unbeaten run at their own stadium, we expect a home victory, though Glentoran's quality means a draw cannot be ruled out.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Glentoran | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larne is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Larne · 1.6 pts / match - Glentoran
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Larne · 1 goals / match - Glentoran
Larne scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Glentoran keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
Glentoran scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Larne
Over / Under — Glentoran
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Glentoran - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larne
Glentoran
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Glentoran | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.94 | • 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 26% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Larne 2 - 1 - 0 Glentoran. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Glentoran?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 2:2 Glentoran. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Glentoran?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Larne won 2, Glentoran won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Glentoran?
Larne score 1.92 goals per game on average and Glentoran 1.92. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Larne's matches and 53% of Glentoran's.
What form are Larne and Glentoran in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Glentoran 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Glentoran?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.