Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay: match statistics
Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Las Vegas Lights played against Monterey Bay in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on March 29, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Las Vegas Lights has 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.33 points per game. Monterey Bay has 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 0.33 points per game.
Scoring records
Las Vegas Lights scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 2.33. Monterey Bay scores 0.33 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Las Vegas Lights's games and 33% of Monterey Bay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 33%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Monterey Bay has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.18 per game. Las Vegas Lights takes 8.3 shots per game, while Monterey Bay takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Las Vegas Lights leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. Monterey Bay leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Las Vegas Lights's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). For Monterey Bay, it is minutes 76-90+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both sides are at the bottom with nearly identical records (0–1–2), reflecting shared defensive weaknesses and low efficiency. Las Vegas have a better season and last-five scoring (5 vs 1 season, 6 vs 2 in last 5), giving home offensive advantage. Monterey Bay generate more shots and higher away xG (around 12 shots and xG 1.4) but poor conversion and high goals conceded limit them. Both teams conceded 9 goals in last 5 and form is unstable, so expect few goals and an even game. I give a slight edge to the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS signal: Monterey Bay 100% season BTTS; Las Vegas L5 BTTS 80%. xG averages (home 1.24, away 1.4) and high conceded rates (seasonConcededAVG_home 2.0, L5 ~1.8) indicate both create and allow chances. Las Vegas’ season shot efficiency is poor but they still produce chances; Monterey Bay converts reasonably (8%). League BTTS ~56% supports Goal/Goal. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive stats model indicates high scoring probability: home xG 1.24 and away 1.40 with average xG_against (1.39 home, 1.62 away) produce expected 1.43 home and 1.40 away (total ~2.83). League avg 2.74 supports Over1.5 and Over2.5 scenarios. Last-5 stats show high shot counts and goals on both sides and clear defensive issues (ga_l5: 9 each), boosting scoring chances. Higher away xG and conversion tilt the signal toward Over 1.5 as the strongest bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data point to a draw at Half-Time and an away win by Full-Time. Las Vegas Lights register a seasonal average of 0.0 goals and zero shot conversion with significant defensive losses, while Monterey Bay have higher xG and better efficiency. Both teams often draw at Half-Time (high drawingAtHT), and the second half yields a substantial share of goals (high over05_2hg_percentage), favoring a turnaround. Recent form indicates lack of host strength and relative visitor stability, so the most reliable signal is HT draw / FT away win (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Las Vegas Lights | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 18% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.63 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Las Vegas Lights is 406% better for: goals scored per game.
1.67 goals / game - Las Vegas Lights · 0.33 goals / game - Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.33 goals / game - Las Vegas Lights · 1.67 goals / game - Monterey Bay
Las Vegas Lights scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
Monterey Bay scores in 33% of games (1 of 3 meczów), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Las Vegas Lights
Over / Under - Monterey Bay
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Monterey Bay - second-half results
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Average goals per game | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Las Vegas Lights
Monterey Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Las Vegas Lights | Liga | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.00 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Las Vegas Lights's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss against Monterey Bay. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay?
The USL Championship match finished Las Vegas Lights 1:0 Monterey Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Las Vegas Lights and Monterey Bay?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Las Vegas Lights won 1, Monterey Bay won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay?
Las Vegas Lights score 1.67 goals per game on average and Monterey Bay 0.33. The USL Championship average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Las Vegas Lights's matches and 33% of Monterey Bay's.
What form are Las Vegas Lights and Monterey Bay in?
Over the last 5 games Las Vegas Lights have a 0-1-2 record (0.33 points per game) and Monterey Bay 0-1-2 (0.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.