Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Las Vegas Lights played Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Las Vegas Lights: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Phoenix Rising: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Las Vegas Lights scores 1.53 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Phoenix Rising scores 1.44 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Las Vegas Lights 80%, Phoenix Rising 56%. Over 2.5: Las Vegas Lights 67%, Phoenix Rising 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Phoenix Rising has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.32. Las Vegas Lights: 10.7 shots per match, Phoenix Rising: 12.4.
Match halves
Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.87. Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (6 goals). Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Las Vegas Lights are the favorites for this fixture: at home they average 1.29 goals per match with xG 1.39 and have a home goal difference of +2, while Phoenix Rising average 1.00 goal away with xG 1.08 and have an away goal difference of -4. In the last 5 matches Las Vegas scored 9 goals and won 3 of 5 (3-0-2), which translates to an average of 1.8 points per match in that period, whereas Phoenix have 8 goals in their last 5 with only 1 win and an average of 0.8 points. The hosts generate materially more chances: 11.86 shots and 4.0 on target per home match versus 8.75 shots and 2.63 on target away for the visitors, with similar shot conversion rates around 11%. Defensively Las Vegas concede 1.0 goal per home match and keep clean sheets in 43% of home games, while Phoenix concede 1.5 goals on the road and have just 25% clean sheets; their xG against is 1.41 versus the hosts’ 1.25. Considering the higher volume and quality of chances, better defensive metrics and clearly superior recent form, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The scenario of Both Teams To Score is more likely: seasonal BTTS is 56% for Las Vegas and 50% for Phoenix, and in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 80% of cases. Las Vegas averages 1.67 goals per match (24 goals in the season) with xG 1.93, Phoenix averages 1.00 goals per match (23 goals) with xG 1.08 for the season, but in the last 5 fixtures Phoenix has xG 1.88 and scores 1.6 goals, indicating recent offensive improvement. Both teams concede more than 1 goal per game: Las Vegas 1.33 (last 5: 1.6), Phoenix 1.5 (last 5: 2.2), and clean sheets are only 33% and 25%, which increases the risk of conceding. Las Vegas averages 6.78 shots on target versus Phoenix 2.63, giving them a creation advantage, but the low number of clean sheets and a high league BTTS rate of 56% plus a league average of 2.74 goals suggest a match with goals from both sides. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 70% vs 30% and recommend selecting "BTTS - Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and opponent defenses yields: home xG 1.93 vs away xG 1.08 and xG against 1.18 (home) and 1.41 (away), translating to expected 1.67 goals for Las Vegas and 1.13 for Phoenix, total 2.80. Using a Poisson distribution for a total of 2.80, base probabilities are roughly 77% for ≥2 goals (Over 1.5), 53% for ≥3 (Over 2.5) and 31% for ≥4 (Over 3.5). Seasonal and form signals boost these values: Las Vegas have 89% of matches Over 1.5, Phoenix 88%, and in the last 5 games both teams had 80% of matches Over 2.5, scoring on average 1.8 (Las Vegas) and 1.6 (Phoenix) goals. Additionally, the home side generates significantly more chances (16.44 shots and 6.78 on target vs 8.75/2.63), therefore I recommend a bet on Over 1.5 (strongest signal) with an estimated confidence of 88%, with Over 2.5 ≈ 60% and Over 3.5 ≈ 31%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Las Vegas holds a clear offensive edge: xG 1.93 versus Phoenix Rising’s 1.08, with an average of 6.78 shots on target per match for the hosts versus 2.63 for the visitors, and a season goals-per-game of 1.67 for the home side compared to 1.00 for the away team. At half-time a draw is most common — hosts are level at the break in 44% of matches and visitors in 50%, with average first-half goals of 0.56 for the home team and only 0.25 for the away team; combined with a low proportion of both teams scoring before the interval (11% and 13%), this points to a draw at the break. In the second half Las Vegas noticeably accelerates: they have scored 7 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 1 for the visitors and register second-half goals of 1.11 compared to Phoenix’s 0.75, suggesting a home advantage after the break. Considering recent form over the last five matches (Las Vegas 60% wins vs Phoenix 20%) and season average points per game of 1.44 versus 1.00, the most likely scenario is a half-time draw with a home win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Las Vegas Lights | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Las Vegas Lights is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights · 0.8 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Las Vegas Lights is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.44 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.5 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Las Vegas Lights scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Phoenix Rising scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Las Vegas Lights
Over / Under — Phoenix Rising
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Phoenix Rising is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.19 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Las Vegas Lights
Phoenix Rising
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Las Vegas Lights | Liga | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.27 | 2.79 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Phoenix RisingYellow cardJaethan Irwin
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Las Vegas Lights 1 - 2 - 1 Phoenix Rising. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
The USL Championship match finished Las Vegas Lights 1:1 Phoenix Rising. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Las Vegas Lights and Phoenix Rising?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Las Vegas Lights won 1, Phoenix Rising won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
Las Vegas Lights score 1.53 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.44. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Las Vegas Lights's matches and 56% of Phoenix Rising's.
What form are Las Vegas Lights and Phoenix Rising in?
Over the last 5 games Las Vegas Lights have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.