Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Las Vegas Lights played against Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on August 2, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Las Vegas Lights has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Phoenix Rising has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Las Vegas Lights scores 1.53 goals per game and allows 1.73. Phoenix Rising scores 1.44 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of Las Vegas Lights's games and 56% of Phoenix Rising's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 50%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Phoenix Rising has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.32 per game. Las Vegas Lights takes 10.7 shots per game, while Phoenix Rising takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Las Vegas Lights leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.87 goals per game after halftime. Phoenix Rising leads at halftime in 25% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Las Vegas Lights's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Phoenix Rising, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Las Vegas Lights are the favorites for this fixture: at home they average 1.29 goals per match with xG 1.39 and have a home goal difference of +2, while Phoenix Rising average 1.00 goal away with xG 1.08 and have an away goal difference of -4. In the last 5 matches Las Vegas scored 9 goals and won 3 of 5 (3-0-2), which translates to an average of 1.8 points per match in that period, whereas Phoenix have 8 goals in their last 5 with only 1 win and an average of 0.8 points. The hosts generate materially more chances: 11.86 shots and 4.0 on target per home match versus 8.75 shots and 2.63 on target away for the visitors, with similar shot conversion rates around 11%. Defensively Las Vegas concede 1.0 goal per home match and keep clean sheets in 43% of home games, while Phoenix concede 1.5 goals on the road and have just 25% clean sheets; their xG against is 1.41 versus the hosts’ 1.25. Considering the higher volume and quality of chances, better defensive metrics and clearly superior recent form, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The scenario of Both Teams To Score is more likely: seasonal BTTS is 56% for Las Vegas and 50% for Phoenix, and in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 80% of cases. Las Vegas averages 1.67 goals per match (24 goals in the season) with xG 1.93, Phoenix averages 1.00 goals per match (23 goals) with xG 1.08 for the season, but in the last 5 fixtures Phoenix has xG 1.88 and scores 1.6 goals, indicating recent offensive improvement. Both teams concede more than 1 goal per game: Las Vegas 1.33 (last 5: 1.6), Phoenix 1.5 (last 5: 2.2), and clean sheets are only 33% and 25%, which increases the risk of conceding. Las Vegas averages 6.78 shots on target versus Phoenix 2.63, giving them a creation advantage, but the low number of clean sheets and a high league BTTS rate of 56% plus a league average of 2.74 goals suggest a match with goals from both sides. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 70% vs 30% and recommend selecting "BTTS - Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and opponent defenses yields: home xG 1.93 vs away xG 1.08 and xG against 1.18 (home) and 1.41 (away), translating to expected 1.67 goals for Las Vegas and 1.13 for Phoenix, total 2.80. Using a Poisson distribution for a total of 2.80, base probabilities are roughly 77% for ≥2 goals (Over 1.5), 53% for ≥3 (Over 2.5) and 31% for ≥4 (Over 3.5). Seasonal and form signals boost these values: Las Vegas have 89% of matches Over 1.5, Phoenix 88%, and in the last 5 games both teams had 80% of matches Over 2.5, scoring on average 1.8 (Las Vegas) and 1.6 (Phoenix) goals. Additionally, the home side generates significantly more chances (16.44 shots and 6.78 on target vs 8.75/2.63), therefore I recommend a bet on Over 1.5 (strongest signal) with an estimated confidence of 88%, with Over 2.5 ≈ 60% and Over 3.5 ≈ 31%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Las Vegas holds a clear offensive edge: xG 1.93 versus Phoenix Rising’s 1.08, with an average of 6.78 shots on target per match for the hosts versus 2.63 for the visitors, and a season goals-per-game of 1.67 for the home side compared to 1.00 for the away team. At half-time a draw is most common — hosts are level at the break in 44% of matches and visitors in 50%, with average first-half goals of 0.56 for the home team and only 0.25 for the away team; combined with a low proportion of both teams scoring before the interval (11% and 13%), this points to a draw at the break. In the second half Las Vegas noticeably accelerates: they have scored 7 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 1 for the visitors and register second-half goals of 1.11 compared to Phoenix’s 0.75, suggesting a home advantage after the break. Considering recent form over the last five matches (Las Vegas 60% wins vs Phoenix 20%) and season average points per game of 1.44 versus 1.00, the most likely scenario is a half-time draw with a home win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Las Vegas Lights | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Las Vegas Lights is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Las Vegas Lights · 0.8 pts / game - Phoenix Rising
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Las Vegas Lights is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.53 goals / game - Las Vegas Lights · 1.44 goals / game - Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising is 15% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.73 goals / game - Las Vegas Lights · 1.5 goals / game - Phoenix Rising
Las Vegas Lights scores in 93% of games (14 of 15 games), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 games).
Phoenix Rising scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 games), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Las Vegas Lights
Over / Under - Phoenix Rising
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Phoenix Rising is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Las Vegas Lights · 1.19 pts / game - Phoenix Rising
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Las Vegas Lights
Phoenix Rising
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Las Vegas Lights | Liga | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.27 | 2.79 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Phoenix RisingYellow cardJaethan Irwin
Head-to-head
Record from Las Vegas Lights's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss against Phoenix Rising. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
The USL Championship match finished Las Vegas Lights 1:1 Phoenix Rising. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Las Vegas Lights and Phoenix Rising?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Las Vegas Lights won 1, Phoenix Rising won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
Las Vegas Lights score 1.53 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.44. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Las Vegas Lights's matches and 56% of Phoenix Rising's.
What form are Las Vegas Lights and Phoenix Rising in?
Over the last 5 games Las Vegas Lights have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.