Lecce vs Inter Milan: match statistics
Inter Milan, as the clear league leader with 20 wins and only 4 losses this season, holds a decisive advantage over Lecce, who sit 17th in the table. The quality gap is evident in every aspect: Inter has an 83% away win rate, while Lecce wins only 23% of their home games. Offensive statistics are particularly telling – Inter scores an average of 2 goals per away match compared to Lecce's mere 0.69 goals per home game. Lecce also shows poor form, failing to score in 54% of their home matches, whereas Inter has not had a single goalless away game this season. Furthermore, the difference in goal difference (Lecce: -7 at home, Inter: +15 away) and the advantage in ball possession (60% vs 46%) point to a clear dominance by the visitors. Considering Inter Milan's impressive 12-match away run with just one defeat, they have all the assets to secure a confident victory.
Lecce vs Inter Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lecce played against Inter Milan in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Lecce has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Inter Milan has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Lecce scores 0.68 goals per game and allows 1.24. Inter Milan scores 2.40 and allows 0.84. Games in this league average 2.44 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 32% of Lecce's games and 44% of Inter Milan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 60%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inter Milan has the higher season xG average, 2.05 to 1.13 per game. Lecce takes 10.3 shots per game, while Inter Milan takes 18.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Lecce leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.32 goals per game after halftime. Inter Milan leads at halftime in 56% and scores 1.36 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lecce's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Inter Milan, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.44 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Milan, as the clear league leader with 20 wins and only 4 losses this season, holds a decisive advantage over Lecce, who sit 17th in the table. The quality gap is evident in every aspect: Inter has an 83% away win rate, while Lecce wins only 23% of their home games. Offensive statistics are particularly telling – Inter scores an average of 2 goals per away match compared to Lecce's mere 0.69 goals per home game. Lecce also shows poor form, failing to score in 54% of their home matches, whereas Inter has not had a single goalless away game this season. Furthermore, the difference in goal difference (Lecce: -7 at home, Inter: +15 away) and the advantage in ball possession (60% vs 46%) point to a clear dominance by the visitors. Considering Inter Milan's impressive 12-match away run with just one defeat, they have all the assets to secure a confident victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lecce | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Inter Milan is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Lecce · 3 pts / game - Inter Milan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 253% better for: goals scored per game.
0.68 goals / game - Lecce · 2.4 goals / game - Inter Milan
Inter Milan is 48% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.24 goals / game - Lecce · 0.84 goals / game - Inter Milan
Lecce scores in 48% of games (12 of 25 meczów), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 52% (13 of 25 meczów).
Inter Milan scores in 96% of games (24 of 25 meczów), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lecce
Over / Under - Inter Milan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / game - Lecce · 2 pts / game - Inter Milan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lecce
Inter Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Lecce | Liga | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.92 | 2.44 | ▲ 3.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 46% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 32% | 32% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 65% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Lecce's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Inter Milan. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lecce vs Inter Milan?
The Serie A match finished Lecce 0:2 Inter Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lecce vs Inter Milan?
Lecce score 0.68 goals per game on average and Inter Milan 2.40. The Serie A average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Lecce's matches and 44% of Inter Milan's.
What form are Lecce and Inter Milan in?
Over the last 5 games Lecce have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Inter Milan 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecce vs Inter Milan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.