Lecce vs Parma: match statistics
This match promises to be tightly contested, justifying a draw prediction. As hosts, Lecce display poor form with only a 20% win rate at home and failing to score in 60% of matches, rendering their offense highly ineffective (0.6 goals per match). Parma performs slightly better away, with a 25% win rate and better recent form (1.4 points per match compared to Lecce's 0.8). Both teams have similar xG metrics (1.2 vs 1.23) and shot conversion rates (6%), suggesting comparable offensive potential. Parma's away defense is more solid (38% clean sheets, 1.0 goal conceded per match) than Lecce's home defense (1.3 goals conceded). Given the low efficiency of both teams and their table positions (16th and 15th), a low-scoring game or a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
Lecce vs Parma: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lecce played against Parma in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on January 11, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Lecce has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Parma has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Lecce scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 1.39. Parma scores 0.67 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Lecce's games and 39% of Parma's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 28%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Parma has the higher season xG average, 1.19 to 1.11 per game. Lecce takes 9.8 shots per game, while Parma takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Lecce leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.28 goals per game after halftime. Parma leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lecce's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Parma, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This match promises to be tightly contested, justifying a draw prediction. As hosts, Lecce display poor form with only a 20% win rate at home and failing to score in 60% of matches, rendering their offense highly ineffective (0.6 goals per match). Parma performs slightly better away, with a 25% win rate and better recent form (1.4 points per match compared to Lecce's 0.8). Both teams have similar xG metrics (1.2 vs 1.23) and shot conversion rates (6%), suggesting comparable offensive potential. Parma's away defense is more solid (38% clean sheets, 1.0 goal conceded per match) than Lecce's home defense (1.3 goals conceded). Given the low efficiency of both teams and their table positions (16th and 15th), a low-scoring game or a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lecce | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Parma is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Lecce · 1.4 pts / game - Parma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Parma is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.39 goals / game - Lecce · 1.17 goals / game - Parma
Lecce scores in 50% of games (9 of 18 meczów), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
Parma scores in 50% of games (9 of 18 meczów), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lecce
Over / Under - Parma
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecce is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / game - Lecce · 1.06 pts / game - Parma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Parma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lecce
Parma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Lecce | Liga | Parma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.06 | 2.35 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 47% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 43% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 64% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Lecce's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Parma. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lecce vs Parma?
The Serie A match finished Lecce 1:2 Parma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lecce vs Parma?
Lecce score 0.67 goals per game on average and Parma 0.67. The Serie A average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Lecce's matches and 39% of Parma's.
What form are Lecce and Parma in?
Over the last 5 games Lecce have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Parma 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecce vs Parma?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lecce vs Parma: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.