Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlante: match statistics
Atlante demonstrates clearly better form and statistics than Leones Negros. The hosts have not secured a single win in their last five matches, averaging only 0.4 points per game, while the visitors have earned 1.4 points per game with two victories. Atlante has a significantly better goal difference this season (45 goals scored to 18 conceded) and an advantage in possession (60% vs 50%). The difference in efficiency is also evident in shot conversion – 16% for Atlante compared to 10% for the hosts. Although Leones Negros are playing at home, their poor form and negative goal balance in recent matches point towards an away win.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlante: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara played against Atlante in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Atlante has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.27 goals per game and allows 1.50. Atlante scores 2.05 and allows 0.82. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's games and 41% of Atlante's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlante has the higher season xG average, 1.96 to 1.56 per game. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara takes 12.4 shots per game, while Atlante takes 17.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Atlante leads at halftime in 36% and scores 1.23 after halftime.
When the teams score
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Atlante, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlante demonstrates clearly better form and statistics than Leones Negros. The hosts have not secured a single win in their last five matches, averaging only 0.4 points per game, while the visitors have earned 1.4 points per game with two victories. Atlante has a significantly better goal difference this season (45 goals scored to 18 conceded) and an advantage in possession (60% vs 50%). The difference in efficiency is also evident in shot conversion – 16% for Atlante compared to 10% for the hosts. Although Leones Negros are playing at home, their poor form and negative goal balance in recent matches point towards an away win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlante is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.4 pts / game - Atlante
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlante is 61% better for: goals scored per game.
1.27 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 2.05 goals / game - Atlante
Atlante is 83% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.82 goals / game - Atlante
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 meczów).
Atlante scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 meczów), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Over / Under - Atlante
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlante is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.45 pts / game - Atlante
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlante - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Atlante
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Liga | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.77 | 2.91 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 27% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraGoalJoél Gustavo Pérez ValleAssist: Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Édson Ulises Rivera VargasOff: Joél Gustavo Pérez Valle
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Juan Jesús Brigido ChenOff: Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Atlante. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlante?
The Ascenso MX match finished Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1:1 Atlante. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlante?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara score 1.27 goals per game on average and Atlante 2.05. The Ascenso MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's matches and 41% of Atlante's.
What form are Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Atlante in?
Over the last 5 games Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Atlante 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlante?
The statistical background for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlante — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.