Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Correcaminos UAT: match statistics
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara present significantly better form and home statistics, winning 56% of home matches with an average of 1.89 goals per game. In their last five matches, the hosts have earned 1.8 points per game, winning three of them. Correcaminos UAT is in dreadful away form, losing as many as 50% of away matches and conceding an average of 2.63 goals while scoring just 1. In their last five games, the visitors have not achieved a single victory, earning only 0.2 points per match and scoring a mere 1 goal. The goal difference (+7 for the hosts at home versus -13 for the visitors away) and the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.85 vs 0.99) further confirm the clear superiority of Leones Negros. Considering all parameters, a home win is the most probable scenario for this fixture.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Correcaminos UAT: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara played against Correcaminos UAT in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Correcaminos UAT has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.44 goals per game and allows 1.44. Correcaminos UAT scores 1.00 and allows 2.56. Games in this league average 2.96 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's games and 63% of Correcaminos UAT's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 63%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.17 per game. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara takes 11.9 shots per game, while Correcaminos UAT takes 9.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Correcaminos UAT leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Correcaminos UAT, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.96 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara present significantly better form and home statistics, winning 56% of home matches with an average of 1.89 goals per game. In their last five matches, the hosts have earned 1.8 points per game, winning three of them. Correcaminos UAT is in dreadful away form, losing as many as 50% of away matches and conceding an average of 2.63 goals while scoring just 1. In their last five games, the visitors have not achieved a single victory, earning only 0.2 points per match and scoring a mere 1 goal. The goal difference (+7 for the hosts at home versus -13 for the visitors away) and the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.85 vs 0.99) further confirm the clear superiority of Leones Negros. Considering all parameters, a home win is the most probable scenario for this fixture.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 800% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.2 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 44% better for: goals scored per game.
1.44 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 78% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.44 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 2.56 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 meczów).
Correcaminos UAT scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 412% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.25 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Correcaminos UAT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Liga | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.89 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.56 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Carlos Ernesto Cisneros BarajasOff: Juan Jesús Brigido Chen
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Raúl Erasmo Camacho LastraOff: Édson Ulises Rivera Vargas
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Correcaminos UAT. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Correcaminos UAT?
The Ascenso MX match finished Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 0:0 Correcaminos UAT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Correcaminos UAT?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara score 1.44 goals per game on average and Correcaminos UAT 1.00. The Ascenso MX average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's matches and 63% of Correcaminos UAT's.
What form are Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Correcaminos UAT in?
Over the last 5 games Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Correcaminos UAT 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Correcaminos UAT?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.