Leopards vs Tusker: match statistics
Leopards are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and securing 2.6 PPG. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 60% win rate and only a 10% loss rate, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding just 0.7 goals per game. Tusker, despite a decent away record (58% win rate), shows greater instability with a 33% away loss rate and worse form over their last five games (1.8 PPG). The difference in goal difference is clear - Leopards are at +9 in home matches, while Tusker is only at +3 away. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (0.76 vs 0.7 for the visitors), and Leopards fail to score less frequently at home (30% FTS) than Tusker does on the road. Considering Leopards' superiority in form, home efficiency, and defensive stability, a home win is the most probable scenario.
Leopards vs Tusker: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Leopards played against Tusker in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Leopards has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Tusker has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Leopards scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.75. Tusker scores 0.96 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Leopards's games and 42% of Tusker's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 33%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tusker has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.40 per game. Leopards takes 8.8 shots per game, while Tusker takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Leopards leads at halftime in 4% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Tusker leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Leopards's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (21 goals). For Tusker, it is minutes 0-15 (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leopards are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and securing 2.6 PPG. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 60% win rate and only a 10% loss rate, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding just 0.7 goals per game. Tusker, despite a decent away record (58% win rate), shows greater instability with a 33% away loss rate and worse form over their last five games (1.8 PPG). The difference in goal difference is clear - Leopards are at +9 in home matches, while Tusker is only at +3 away. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (0.76 vs 0.7 for the visitors), and Leopards fail to score less frequently at home (30% FTS) than Tusker does on the road. Considering Leopards' superiority in form, home efficiency, and defensive stability, a home win is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Leopards | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tusker is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Leopards · 1.8 pts / game - Tusker
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leopards is 39% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Leopards · 0.96 goals / game - Tusker
Leopards is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Leopards · 1 goals / game - Tusker
Leopards scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 meczów).
Tusker scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leopards
Over / Under - Tusker
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tusker is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Leopards · 1.13 pts / game - Tusker
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leopards - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 4% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (21 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Leopards
Tusker
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Leopards | Liga | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.08 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 21% | 23% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 29% | 25% | • 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Leopards's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Tusker. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Leopards vs Tusker?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Leopards 1:0 Tusker. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leopards vs Tusker?
Leopards score 1.33 goals per game on average and Tusker 0.96. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Leopards's matches and 42% of Tusker's.
What form are Leopards and Tusker in?
Over the last 5 games Leopards have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tusker 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leopards vs Tusker?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.