Levadiakos vs Aris: match statistics
Levadiakos vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Levadiakos played against Aris in Super League (Greece). The game was played on April 5, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Levadiakos has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Aris has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Levadiakos scores 1.96 goals per game and allows 1.42. Aris scores 0.77 and allows 1.04. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Levadiakos's games and 46% of Aris's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 27%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Aris has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.31 per game. Levadiakos takes 11.1 shots per game, while Aris takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Levadiakos leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 1.15 goals per game after halftime. Aris leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Levadiakos's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Aris, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Super League games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Levadiakos win (1), primarily due to their home attacking edge. Levadiakos average 2.46 goals per home match, with 5.08 shots on target and 58% possession, whereas Aris average only 0.77 goals away, 3.08 shots on target and 51% possession. The efficiency gap is notable: home conversion rate is 19% versus 7% for Aris, and average xG is 1.48 vs 1.17, indicating higher-quality chances created by Levadiakos. However, Levadiakos are in poor form — only one win in the last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 12 goals (2.4 conceded per game), reducing their points per game to 0.6 in this period. Considering home advantage, the clear scoring differential (2.46 vs 0.77) and lower share of scoreless home games (15% vs 31%), I assign Levadiakos a 60% chance, 20% for a draw and 20% for an Aris win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back No BTTS, as despite season BTTS rates of 46% and 46% (league 45%), recent form points against both teams scoring. In the last 5 matches Levadiakos has only 20% BTTS, scored 2 goals in 5 (0.4 avg) and conceded 12 (2.4 per game); Aris has 40% BTTS, also 2 goals in 5 (0.4) and 6 conceded (1.2 per game). Despite season xG of 1.69 for Levadiakos and 1.17 for Aris and average shots on target 4.54 vs 3.08, actual season goal averages are only 0.77 and 0.77 with low shot conversion rates of 5% and 7%, indicating significant finishing inefficiency. Additionally Levadiakos has 38% clean sheets, Aris 31%, while the league clean sheet trend is 63%, so combined with the low recent goal output the probability that at least one team fails to score increases. I assess BTTS at 30% for 'Yes' and 70% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.22 goals for Levadiakos and 1.00 for Aris, totaling 2.22 expected goals. Calculation is based on xG and seasonal scoring averages: matchup xG for the home side is (1.69 + 1.34)/2 = 1.515, for the away side (1.17 + 1.15)/2 = 1.16, then I applied a 60% weight to xG and 40% to the seasonal goals-scored average (0.77 for both teams). Despite Levadiakos’s relatively high xG, both teams convert chances poorly (conversion 5% for Levadiakos and 7% for Aris), which reduces expected goals versus raw xG. Additionally, Levadiakos conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches (2.4 avg), and Aris has xG_for 1.77 in their last 5, which together raise the likelihood of at least two goals in the match—therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (≈65%), while Over 2.5 I estimate at ~38% and Over 3.5 at ~19%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: Levadiakos were level at the break in 62% of matches and Aris in 46%, yielding an average probability of roughly 54% for HT=X. A full-time draw also carries significant weight — Levadiakos finished matches level in 69% of games and Aris in 23%, averaging about a 46% chance for FT=X. The home side, however, creates more chances (xG 1.69 vs 1.17, 16.0 shots vs 10.69 and 4.54 shots on target vs 3.08), so when the score is level at the break the probability increases that Levadiakos will push for and can secure a win after the interval (hence X/1 17% vs X/2 12%). For these reasons the strongest signal is HT=X and FT=X (X/X 26%), with other plausible scenarios being X/1 17% and 1/X 12%. Leading at the break is uncommon for either side (home and away leads both 23%), and the home team’s shot conversion rate is only 5% versus 7% for the visitors, limiting their ability to produce a decisive turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Levadiakos | Aris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Levadiakos is 155% better for: goals scored per game.
1.96 goals / game - Levadiakos · 0.77 goals / game - Aris
Aris is 37% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.42 goals / game - Levadiakos · 1.04 goals / game - Aris
Levadiakos scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 meczów).
Aris scores in 62% of games (16 of 26 meczów), while Levadiakos keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Levadiakos
Over / Under - Aris
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Levadiakos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Aris - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Levadiakos
Aris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Levadiakos | Liga | Aris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.38 | 2.55 | ▼ 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 46% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 49% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 31% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 72% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Levadiakos's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Aris. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Levadiakos vs Aris?
The Super League match finished Levadiakos 1:1 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Levadiakos and Aris?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Levadiakos won 0, Aris won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Levadiakos vs Aris?
Levadiakos score 1.96 goals per game on average and Aris 0.77. The Super League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Levadiakos's matches and 46% of Aris's.
What form are Levadiakos and Aris in?
Over the last 5 games Levadiakos have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Aris 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Levadiakos vs Aris?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Levadiakos vs Aris: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.