United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of November 07, 2026

Lexington vs Orange County SC: match statistics

Lexington crest
Lexington
6 : 0half-time 4:0
Orange County SC crest
Orange County SC

Lexington vs Orange County SC: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Lexington played against Orange County SC in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on September 19, 2026. Final score: 6:0.

Recent form

Lexington has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Orange County SC has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Lexington scores 1.54 goals per game and allows 1.25. Orange County SC scores 1.42 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 2.74 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of Lexington's games and 63% of Orange County SC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 42%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Lexington has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.18 per game. Lexington takes 12.7 shots per game, while Orange County SC takes 10.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Lexington leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Orange County SC leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.92 after halftime.

When the teams score

Lexington's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Orange County SC, it is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

USL Championship games average 2.74 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 3 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Lexington have a clear home advantage: they have won 58% of their home matches, average 1.58 goals scored there, and keep a clean sheet in 50% of games. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 13.83 shots and 4.42 shots on target per match, with an xG of 1.56 compared with Orange County SC’s 1.23 away from home. The visitors have failed to win any of their last five matches, scoring just 5 goals while conceding 12, which points to a clear decline in both finishing efficiency and defensive stability. However, Orange County SC are capable of picking up points on the road, having lost only 8% of their away matches and drawn as many as 50%, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. Lexington’s advantage in the quality of chances created, combined with the visitors’ weaker current form, nevertheless supports a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Orange County SC has a very high season-long BTTS rate of 83%, while the figure has remained at 80% across their last five matches. Lexington has recorded BTTS in 42% of games this season, but their current run has been notably more open: 60%, with 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. The hosts have recently created chances worth an average of 1.60 xG, while Orange County SC has allowed opponents 1.65 xG and conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game across their last five appearances. The visitors should also create opportunities against a Lexington defense that concedes an average of 1.50 goals and allows opponents 1.58 xG. The only risk to the pick is Orange County SC’s recent average of just 1.0 goal scored, but their zero-percent season rate of matches without scoring strengthens the BTTS - Yes scenario.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as at least two goals were scored in 75% of Lexington’s matches and 83% of Orange County SC’s games. Lexington have significantly improved their attacking output in their last five appearances, averaging 1.8 goals with an xG of 1.60, while Orange County’s opponents conceded as many as 2.4 goals per match during this period. The visitors have scored in 100% of their matches this season, although their current scoring average has dropped to 1.0 goal per game over the last five rounds. Both defenses allow opponents to create quality chances: the average xG against Lexington is 1.58, compared with 1.81 against Orange County. The projected total of 2.90 goals also supports Over 2.5, but the 1.5 line has significantly higher coverage and is the safest signal.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest HT/FT scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Lexington victory, as the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Orange County were trailing at that stage in as many as 4 of their last 5 games. In the same sample, Lexington conceded just 0.2 goals per match before half-time, whereas the visitors failed to score a single goal and conceded an average of 1.0. After the interval, the hosts clearly increase their intensity, having scored an average of 1.6 goals recently, while the second half produced at least two goals in 80% of their five matches. Orange County have a better season record, averaging 1.75 goals scored compared with Lexington’s 1.08, but the visitors’ current form is poor: they have failed to win any of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 2.4 goals in those games.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

4 : 0
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

54Possession (%)46
LexingtonOrange County SC
26Shots6
LexingtonOrange County SC
14Shots on target1
LexingtonOrange County SC
3.15xG0.67
LexingtonOrange County SC
5Corners4
LexingtonOrange County SC
76Dangerous attacks30
LexingtonOrange County SC
10Fouls16
LexingtonOrange County SC
1Cards1
LexingtonOrange County SC

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

LexingtonOrange County SC
1.54Goals scored / game1.42
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.25Goals allowed / game1.42
LexingtonOrange County SC
50%Average possession46%
LexingtonOrange County SC
4.21Shots on target / game3.25
LexingtonOrange County SC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.67Shots per game10.13
LexingtonOrange County SC
4.21Shots on target3.25
LexingtonOrange County SC
12.2%Shot conversion14%
LexingtonOrange County SC
50%Possession46%
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.47xG for1.18
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.4xG against1.7
LexingtonOrange County SC

Shooting quality

Lexington: BalancedOrange County SC: Counter-attacking
LexingtonOrange County SC
Accuracy (shots on target)33%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lexington is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Lexington · 0.4 pts / game - Orange County SC

Lexington
WLLLW
Season result split
42% W17% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-10
1.42 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-4
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Orange County SC
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
38% W38% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-9-6
1.50 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-6-1
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WDDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lexington is 8% better for: goals scored per game.

1.54 goals / game - Lexington · 1.42 goals / game - Orange County SC

Lexington is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.25 goals / game - Lexington · 1.42 goals / game - Orange County SC

Lexington scoring profile: very strong

Lexington scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 games), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 games).

Orange County SC scoring profile: very strong

Orange County SC scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 games), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 games).

37Goals scored (season)34
LexingtonOrange County SC
30Goals conceded (season)34
LexingtonOrange County SC
2.79Average goals per game2.83
LexingtonOrange County SC
9Goals scored (last 5)5
LexingtonOrange County SC
7Goals conceded (last 5)12
LexingtonOrange County SC

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal83%
LexingtonOrange County SC
42%2 goals42%
LexingtonOrange County SC
25%3 goals13%
LexingtonOrange County SC
13%4 goals4%
LexingtonOrange County SC

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal75%
LexingtonOrange County SC
38%2 goals42%
LexingtonOrange County SC
17%3 goals17%
LexingtonOrange County SC
4%4 goals4%
LexingtonOrange County SC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time21%
LexingtonOrange County SC
0%BTTS in both halves17%
LexingtonOrange County SC
21%Scored in both halves25%
LexingtonOrange County SC

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
LexingtonOrange County SC
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
LexingtonOrange County SC
60%BTTS - last 580%
LexingtonOrange County SC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

54%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
LexingtonOrange County SC
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
LexingtonOrange County SC
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LexingtonOrange County SC

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
LexingtonOrange County SC
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
LexingtonOrange County SC
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
LexingtonOrange County SC

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lexington is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / game - Lexington · 1.13 pts / game - Orange County SC

Lexington - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Orange County SC - half-time state
21% leading50% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per game (1st half)1.13
LexingtonOrange County SC
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.5
LexingtonOrange County SC
0.46Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
LexingtonOrange County SC
1Average goals (1st half)1.04
LexingtonOrange County SC
71%Clean sheet before half-time50%
LexingtonOrange County SC
67%No goal before half-time58%
LexingtonOrange County SC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per game (2nd half)1.58
LexingtonOrange County SC
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
LexingtonOrange County SC
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.79Average goals (2nd half)1.79
LexingtonOrange County SC
42%Clean sheet after half-time42%
LexingtonOrange County SC
38%No goal after half-time33%
LexingtonOrange County SC

Lexington - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
30
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding168%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Orange County SC - second-half results

42% W33% D25% L
27
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding181%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Lexington - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.21.6
Goals allowed / game0.21.2
Average goals per game0.42.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Orange County SC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.201.00
Goals scored / game0.01.0
Goals allowed / game1.01.4
Average goals per game1.02.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Lexington
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
4
5
16-30
4
3
31-45
7
2
46-60
7
8
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Orange County SC
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
6
3
16-30
3
5
31-45
10
6
46-60
6
5
61-75
6
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.81
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Lexington

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Orange County SC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-1.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

LexingtonLigaOrange County SC
Average goals per game• 2.792.74• 2.83
Both teams scored• 54%55%▲ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 54%50%▼ 42%
Clean sheets▲ 33%27%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 54%66%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%79%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.74
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LexingtonGoalMarcus EppsAssist: Elio Nicolas Firmino
  2. LexingtonGoalPhillip GoodrumAssist: Blaine Ferri
  3. LexingtonGoalElio Nicolas FirminoAssist: Malcolm Fry
  4. Orange County SCSubstitutionOn: Jerome CarterOff: Mataeo Bunbury
  5. Orange County SCYellow cardTyson Espy
  6. LexingtonGoalPhillip GoodrumAssist: Marcus Epps
  7. LexingtonYellow cardJacob Greene
  8. Orange County SCSubstitutionOn: Marcelo PalominoOff: Ousmane Sylla
  9. LexingtonSubstitutionOn: Milo YosefOff: Marcus Epps
  10. Orange County SCSubstitutionOn: Mouhamadou WarOff: Sydney Wathuta
  11. LexingtonGoalMacielo Tschantret

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Lexington's perspective: 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses against Orange County SC. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Orange County SC
0 : 0
Lexington
Lexington SC
1 : 1
Orange County SC
Orange County SC
2 : 2
Lexington SC

FAQ

What was the result of Lexington vs Orange County SC?

The USL Championship match finished Lexington 6:0 Orange County SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Lexington and Orange County SC?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Lexington won 0, Orange County SC won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Lexington vs Orange County SC?

Lexington score 1.54 goals per game on average and Orange County SC 1.42. The USL Championship average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Lexington's matches and 63% of Orange County SC's.

What form are Lexington and Orange County SC in?

Over the last 5 games Lexington have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Orange County SC 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lexington vs Orange County SC?

The statistical background for Lexington vs Orange County SC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.