United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of September 19, 2026

Lexington vs Orange County SC: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Lexington vs Orange County SC: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Lexington plays Orange County SC in USL Championship (United States). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026.

Recent form

Lexington has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Orange County SC has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Lexington scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 1.43. Orange County SC scores 1.56 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of Lexington's games and 63% of Orange County SC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 38%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Lexington has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.20 per game. Lexington takes 12.2 shots per game, while Orange County SC takes 10.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Lexington leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Orange County SC leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.88 after halftime.

When the teams score

Lexington's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Orange County SC, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

USL Championship games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 3 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.58)
(4.00)
(4.90)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

LexingtonOrange County SC
1.57Goals scored / game1.56
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.43Goals allowed / game1.13
LexingtonOrange County SC
51%Average possession45%
LexingtonOrange County SC
4.36Shots on target / game3.5
LexingtonOrange County SC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.21Shots per game10.5
LexingtonOrange County SC
4.36Shots on target3.5
LexingtonOrange County SC
12.9%Shot conversion14.9%
LexingtonOrange County SC
51%Possession45%
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.43xG for1.2
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.34xG against1.62
LexingtonOrange County SC

Shooting quality

Lexington: BalancedOrange County SC: Counter-attacking
LexingtonOrange County SC
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lexington
LWWWL
Season result split
36% W21% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-6
1.29 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Orange County SC
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
44% W44% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-2
1.75 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-1
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Orange County SC is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.43 goals / game - Lexington · 1.13 goals / game - Orange County SC

Lexington scoring profile: very strong

Lexington scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 games), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 games).

Orange County SC scoring profile: very strong

Orange County SC scores in 88% of games (14 of 16 games), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 games).

22Goals scored (season)25
LexingtonOrange County SC
20Goals conceded (season)18
LexingtonOrange County SC
3Average goals per game2.69
LexingtonOrange County SC
12Goals scored (last 5)11
LexingtonOrange County SC
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
LexingtonOrange County SC

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal88%
LexingtonOrange County SC
36%2 goals44%
LexingtonOrange County SC
29%3 goals19%
LexingtonOrange County SC
14%4 goals6%
LexingtonOrange County SC

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal69%
LexingtonOrange County SC
43%2 goals38%
LexingtonOrange County SC
21%3 goals6%
LexingtonOrange County SC
7%4 goals0%
LexingtonOrange County SC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time31%
LexingtonOrange County SC
0%BTTS in both halves25%
LexingtonOrange County SC
21%Scored in both halves31%
LexingtonOrange County SC

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
LexingtonOrange County SC
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LexingtonOrange County SC
80%BTTS - last 5100%
LexingtonOrange County SC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
LexingtonOrange County SC
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
LexingtonOrange County SC
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LexingtonOrange County SC

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
LexingtonOrange County SC
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
LexingtonOrange County SC
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
LexingtonOrange County SC

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lexington - half-time state
36% leading29% draw36% trailing
Orange County SC - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.36Points per game (1st half)1.38
LexingtonOrange County SC
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.69
LexingtonOrange County SC
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.13
LexingtonOrange County SC
64%Clean sheet before half-time56%
LexingtonOrange County SC
57%No goal before half-time44%
LexingtonOrange County SC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per game (2nd half)1.69
LexingtonOrange County SC
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
LexingtonOrange County SC
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.56
LexingtonOrange County SC
36%Clean sheet after half-time50%
LexingtonOrange County SC
43%No goal after half-time38%
LexingtonOrange County SC

Lexington - second-half results

21% W43% D36% L
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Orange County SC - second-half results

44% W38% D19% L
22
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Lexington - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game1.01.4
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.62.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Orange County SC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game1.01.2
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.62.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Lexington
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
4
6
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Orange County SC
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
0
16-30
3
5
31-45
6
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Lexington

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Orange County SC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

LexingtonLigaOrange County SC
Average goals per game 3.002.79 2.69
Both teams scored 64%58% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%52% 38%
Clean sheets 29%26% 31%
Goal before half-time 71%67% 69%
Goal after half-time 79%80% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Lexington's perspective: 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses against Orange County SC. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Orange County SC
0 : 0
Lexington SC
Lexington SC
1 : 1
Orange County SC
Orange County SC
2 : 2
Lexington SC

FAQ

When do Lexington and Orange County SC play?

Lexington face Orange County SC on September 19, 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Lexington and Orange County SC?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Lexington won 0, Orange County SC won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Lexington vs Orange County SC?

Lexington score 1.57 goals per game on average and Orange County SC 1.56. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Lexington's matches and 63% of Orange County SC's.

What form are Lexington and Orange County SC in?

Over the last 5 games Lexington have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Orange County SC 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lexington vs Orange County SC?

The statistical background for Lexington vs Orange County SC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.