Libertad vs Nacional Asunción: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Libertad displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive goal difference of 16:9, as well as an excellent run of three wins in their last five matches. Nacional Asunción, on the other hand, remains unbeaten away this season (50% wins, 50% draws) and has not recorded a single match without scoring on the road. A key factor is Libertad's advantage in possession (61% vs 51%) and higher xG (1.52 vs 1.16), suggesting greater control of the game. However, Nacional's recent results (four consecutive draws) and their reliability in scoring away (FTS% 0%) point towards a difficult-to-predict outcome. Considering the home strength of the hosts and the defensive solidity and unbeaten away record of the visitors, a draw appears to be the most probable result of this encounter.
Libertad vs Nacional Asunción: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Libertad played against Nacional Asunción in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on March 18, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Libertad has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Nacional Asunción has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Libertad scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 0.90. Nacional Asunción scores 1.70 and allows 0.90. Games in this league average 2.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 30% of Libertad's games and 70% of Nacional Asunción's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 40%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Libertad has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.19 per game. Libertad takes 14.7 shots per game, while Nacional Asunción takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Libertad leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Nacional Asunción leads at halftime in 30% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Libertad's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Nacional Asunción, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.21 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Libertad displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive goal difference of 16:9, as well as an excellent run of three wins in their last five matches. Nacional Asunción, on the other hand, remains unbeaten away this season (50% wins, 50% draws) and has not recorded a single match without scoring on the road. A key factor is Libertad's advantage in possession (61% vs 51%) and higher xG (1.52 vs 1.16), suggesting greater control of the game. However, Nacional's recent results (four consecutive draws) and their reliability in scoring away (FTS% 0%) point towards a difficult-to-predict outcome. Considering the home strength of the hosts and the defensive solidity and unbeaten away record of the visitors, a draw appears to be the most probable result of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Libertad | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Libertad is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Libertad · 1.4 pts / game - Nacional Asunción
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional Asunción is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.6 goals / game - Libertad · 1.7 goals / game - Nacional Asunción
Libertad scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 meczów), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 meczów).
Nacional Asunción scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 meczów), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Libertad
Over / Under - Nacional Asunción
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Libertad
Nacional Asunción
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Libertad | Liga | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.50 | 2.21 | ▲ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 45% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 30% | 31% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 31% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Libertad's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Nacional Asunción. Games average 2.25 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Libertad vs Nacional Asunción?
The Division Profesional match finished Libertad 2:1 Nacional Asunción. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Libertad and Nacional Asunción?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2, Nacional Asunción won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Libertad vs Nacional Asunción?
Libertad score 1.60 goals per game on average and Nacional Asunción 1.70. The Division Profesional average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Libertad's matches and 70% of Nacional Asunción's.
What form are Libertad and Nacional Asunción in?
Over the last 5 games Libertad have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nacional Asunción 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Libertad vs Nacional Asunción?
The statistical background for Libertad vs Nacional Asunción — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.