Paraguay - Division ProfesionalEstadio Dr. Nicolás LeozData current as of October 17, 2026

Libertad vs Olimpia: match statistics

Libertad crest
Libertad
0 : 1half-time 0:1
Olimpia crest
Olimpia

Libertad vs Olimpia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Libertad played against Olimpia in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on September 28, 2026. Venue: Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Libertad has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Olimpia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Libertad scores 1.61 goals per game and allows 1.15. Olimpia scores 1.69 and allows 0.81. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 48% of Libertad's games and 50% of Olimpia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 50%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Olimpia has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.60 per game. Libertad takes 14.8 shots per game, while Olimpia takes 16.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Libertad leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.94 goals per game after halftime. Olimpia leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.13 after halftime.

When the teams score

Libertad's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Olimpia, it is minutes 61-75 (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Division Profesional games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Libertad have a clear home advantage: they win 63% of their home matches, average 1.94 goals scored and concede just 1.00 goal per game. The hosts also create slightly better chances, recording an average xG of 1.69 compared with Olimpia’s 1.67, while their shot conversion rate stands at 13% versus 9% for their opponents. Olimpia are nevertheless in excellent current form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 3. The visitors average only 1.38 goals away from home, whereas Libertad have a positive home goal difference of +15. A closely fought match is expected, but Libertad’s greater attacking output at home and superior finishing give the hosts a slight edge to win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Libertad have recorded BTTS in 56% of their matches, while Olimpia have done so in 44%; however, both teams have reached 60% over their last five games. The hosts score an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared with Olimpia’s 1.38, supported by solid chance-creation metrics: xG stands at 1.77 and 1.67 respectively. In their current form, Olimpia are scoring 2.2 goals per match, while Libertad are conceding 1.4, which clearly strengthens the visitors’ chances of finding the net. On the other hand, Olimpia have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their matches and have conceded just 0.6 goals per game over their last five, so the BTTS outlook is not decisive. Nevertheless, the high attacking activity from both sides, with each averaging more than 5 shots on target per match, points slightly towards a BTTS - Yes scenario.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Libertad create chances worth an average of 1.77 xG at home, while Olimpia average 1.67 xG away from home, indicating the potential for around 2.70 total goals. At the same time, both teams are defensively solid: Libertad concede an average of 0.75 goals, while Olimpia concede just 0.88 goals per match. Under 3.5 goals has landed in 75% of Libertad’s matches and as many as 94% of Olimpia’s, while Over 3.5 goals has occurred in only 25% and 6% of their respective matches. Olimpia have conceded just 3 goals in their last five matches, despite scoring 11, further limiting the risk of a very high-scoring game. The strongest pick is therefore Under 3.5 goals, as the data supports a match with 2–3 goals far more strongly than a scenario featuring at least four goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A Half-Time draw is the most likely outcome, as Libertad were level at the break in 8 of 16 matches, or 50%, while the average number of goals in their first halves is only 0.75. Both teams also tend to maintain defensive discipline before half-time: Libertad concede an average of 0.25 goals, compared with Olimpia’s 0.38, in this period. After the break, the advantage should shift towards the hosts, who score an average of 1.50 goals in second halves compared with Olimpia’s 0.75 and win this period in 69% of matches. Libertad also have a higher average points tally over the season, 2.31 versus 1.94, and score an average of 2.00 goals per match compared with Olimpia’s 1.38. The visitors’ strong current form, with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and an average of 2.20 goals, keeps the X/2 and 2/2 scenarios at a significant probability, but does not negate Libertad’s advantage after the break.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

49Possession (%)51
LibertadOlimpia
8Shots12
LibertadOlimpia
2Shots on target7
LibertadOlimpia
0.95xG1.52
LibertadOlimpia
3Corners5
LibertadOlimpia
42Dangerous attacks37
LibertadOlimpia
7Fouls17
LibertadOlimpia
3Cards3
LibertadOlimpia

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.61Goals scored / game1.69
LibertadOlimpia
1.15Goals allowed / game0.81
LibertadOlimpia
56%Average possession57%
LibertadOlimpia
5.18Shots on target / game5.34
LibertadOlimpia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.76Shots per game16.22
LibertadOlimpia
5.18Shots on target5.34
LibertadOlimpia
10.9%Shot conversion10.4%
LibertadOlimpia
56%Possession57%
LibertadOlimpia
1.6xG for1.72
LibertadOlimpia
1.2xG against1.11
LibertadOlimpia

Shooting quality

Libertad: DominantOlimpia: Dominant
LibertadOlimpia
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Olimpia is 63% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Libertad · 2.6 pts / game - Olimpia

Libertad
DLWWD
Season result split
48% W18% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-6-11
1.64 pts / game · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-4-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Olimpia
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
66% W16% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
21-5-6
2.13 pts / game · goal difference +28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
10-1-5
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Olimpia is 5% better for: goals scored per game.

1.61 goals / game - Libertad · 1.69 goals / game - Olimpia

Olimpia is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.15 goals / game - Libertad · 0.81 goals / game - Olimpia

Libertad scoring profile: strong

Libertad scores in 76% of games (25 of 33 games), while Olimpia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 games).

Olimpia scoring profile: very strong

Olimpia scores in 84% of games (27 of 32 games), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 games).

53Goals scored (season)54
LibertadOlimpia
38Goals conceded (season)26
LibertadOlimpia
2.76Average goals per game2.5
LibertadOlimpia
8Goals scored (last 5)11
LibertadOlimpia
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
LibertadOlimpia

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal84%
LibertadOlimpia
39%2 goals53%
LibertadOlimpia
21%3 goals22%
LibertadOlimpia
12%4 goals6%
LibertadOlimpia

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal63%
LibertadOlimpia
33%2 goals16%
LibertadOlimpia
12%3 goals3%
LibertadOlimpia
0%4 goals0%
LibertadOlimpia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time6%
LibertadOlimpia
9%BTTS in both halves3%
LibertadOlimpia
39%Scored in both halves34%
LibertadOlimpia

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
LibertadOlimpia
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
LibertadOlimpia
60%BTTS - last 560%
LibertadOlimpia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
LibertadOlimpia
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
LibertadOlimpia
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LibertadOlimpia

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
LibertadOlimpia
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
LibertadOlimpia
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
LibertadOlimpia

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Olimpia is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.36 pts / game - Libertad · 1.53 pts / game - Olimpia

Libertad - half-time state
27% leading55% draw18% trailing
Olimpia - half-time state
38% leading41% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.36Points per game (1st half)1.53
LibertadOlimpia
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.56
LibertadOlimpia
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
LibertadOlimpia
1.21Average goals (1st half)0.88
LibertadOlimpia
61%Clean sheet before half-time72%
LibertadOlimpia
48%No goal before half-time56%
LibertadOlimpia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.64Points per game (2nd half)1.97
LibertadOlimpia
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)1.13
LibertadOlimpia
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
LibertadOlimpia
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.63
LibertadOlimpia
58%Clean sheet after half-time53%
LibertadOlimpia
36%No goal after half-time25%
LibertadOlimpia

Libertad - second-half results

45% W27% D27% L
45
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding178%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Olimpia - second-half results

56% W28% D16% L
49
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
63
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding174%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 66%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Libertad - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Olimpia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.00
Goals scored / game1.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game1.61.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+6+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Libertad
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
8
5
16-30
11
7
31-45
11
3
46-60
10
9
61-75
10
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Olimpia
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
5
3
16-30
8
6
31-45
9
3
46-60
14
8
61-75
13
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Libertad

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Olimpia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
158%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).

Teams vs league

LibertadLigaOlimpia
Average goals per game▲ 2.762.45• 2.50
Both teams scored▼ 48%52%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 48%46%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 30%28%▲ 38%
Goal before half-time• 64%64%▲ 66%
Goal after half-time• 82%81%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.45
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / game
1.07
Away goals / game
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. OlimpiaGoalFranco Alfonso
  2. OlimpiaYellow cardMateo Gamarra
  3. OlimpiaYellow cardEduardo Delmás
  4. LibertadYellow cardChristian Martinez

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Libertad's perspective: 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss against Olimpia. Games average 2.29 goals, and both teams scored in 57% of them.

Olimpia
0 : 1
Libertad
Libertad
3 : 2
Olimpia
Olimpia
1 : 0
Libertad
Club Libertad
2 : 2
Club Olimpia
Club Olimpia
0 : 0
Club Libertad
Club Olimpia
1 : 1
Club Libertad
Club Libertad
2 : 1
Club Olimpia

FAQ

What was the result of Libertad vs Olimpia?

The Division Profesional match finished Libertad 0:1 Olimpia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Libertad and Olimpia?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Libertad won 3, Olimpia won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Libertad vs Olimpia?

Libertad score 1.61 goals per game on average and Olimpia 1.69. The Division Profesional average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Libertad's matches and 50% of Olimpia's.

What form are Libertad and Olimpia in?

Over the last 5 games Libertad have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Olimpia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Libertad vs Olimpia?

The statistical background for Libertad vs Olimpia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.