France - Ligue 1Stade Pierre-MauroyData current as of October 16, 2026

Lille vs Brest: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Lille vs Brest: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Lille plays Brest in Ligue 1 (France). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Recent form

Lille has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Brest has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Lille scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 0.67. Brest scores 2.00 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Lille's games and 83% of Brest's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 83%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Brest has the higher season xG average, 1.93 to 1.38 per game. Lille takes 11.5 shots per game, while Brest takes 19.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Lille leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Brest leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Lille's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Brest, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligue 1 games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.59)
(4.58)
(5.91)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.5Goals scored / game2
LilleBrest
0.67Goals allowed / game1.5
LilleBrest
47%Average possession48%
LilleBrest
5.5Shots on target / game6.33
LilleBrest

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.5Shots per game19.17
LilleBrest
5.5Shots on target6.33
LilleBrest
13%Shot conversion10.4%
LilleBrest
47%Possession48%
LilleBrest
1.38xG for1.93
LilleBrest
1.73xG against1.28
LilleBrest

Shooting quality

Lille: Counter-attackingBrest: Attacking
LilleBrest
Accuracy (shots on target)48%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lille is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Lille · 1.4 pts / game - Brest

Lille
DWWLW
Season result split
67% W17% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Brest
DWLLW
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
DWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Brest is 33% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Lille · 2 goals / game - Brest

Lille is 124% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.67 goals / game - Lille · 1.5 goals / game - Brest

Lille scoring profile: very strong

Lille scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 games).

Brest scoring profile: mixed

Brest scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 games).

9Goals scored (season)12
LilleBrest
4Goals conceded (season)9
LilleBrest
2.17Average goals per game3.5
LilleBrest
7Goals scored (last 5)10
LilleBrest
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
LilleBrest

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal83%
LilleBrest
50%2 goals67%
LilleBrest
0%3 goals17%
LilleBrest
0%4 goals17%
LilleBrest

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal100%
LilleBrest
33%2 goals50%
LilleBrest
0%3 goals0%
LilleBrest
0%4 goals0%
LilleBrest

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
LilleBrest
0%BTTS in both halves33%
LilleBrest
33%Scored in both halves67%
LilleBrest

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS83%
LilleBrest
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LilleBrest
40%BTTS - last 580%
LilleBrest

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
LilleBrest
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
LilleBrest
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
LilleBrest

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
LilleBrest
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
LilleBrest
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
LilleBrest

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lille is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.17 pts / game - Lille · 1.83 pts / game - Brest

Lille - half-time state
67% leading17% draw17% trailing
Brest - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.17Points per game (1st half)1.83
LilleBrest
0.83Goals scored (1st half)1.33
LilleBrest
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
LilleBrest
1Average goals (1st half)1.83
LilleBrest
83%Clean sheet before half-time50%
LilleBrest
33%No goal before half-time17%
LilleBrest

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)0.83
LilleBrest
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
LilleBrest
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1
LilleBrest
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.67
LilleBrest
67%Clean sheet after half-time17%
LilleBrest
33%No goal after half-time33%
LilleBrest

Lille - second-half results

33% W50% D17% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Brest - second-half results

0% W83% D17% L
11
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Lille - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.60
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Brest - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.80
Goals scored / game1.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game1.81.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Lille
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Brest
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+41%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Lille

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Brest

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

LilleLigaBrest
Average goals per game▼ 2.172.91▲ 3.50
Both teams scored▼ 33%61%▲ 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%61%▲ 83%
Clean sheets▲ 67%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%70%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%81%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per game
61%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / game
1.24
Away goals / game
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Lille's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Brest. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Lille OSC Métropole
1 : 1
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
3 : 3
Lille OSC Métropole

FAQ

When do Lille and Brest play?

Lille face Brest on October 17, 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Brest?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lille won 0, Brest won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Lille vs Brest?

Lille score 1.50 goals per game on average and Brest 2.00. The Ligue 1 average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Lille's matches and 83% of Brest's.

What form are Lille and Brest in?

Over the last 5 games Lille have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Brest 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lille vs Brest?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lille vs Brest: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.