Lille vs Olympique Marseille: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lille play Olympique Marseille in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 5 December 2025 at 21:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Lille: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Olympique Marseille: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lille scores 1.53 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Olympique Marseille scores 1.85 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lille 38%, Olympique Marseille 50%. Over 2.5: Lille 38%, Olympique Marseille 62%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Olympique Marseille has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.60. Lille: 13.6 shots per match, Olympique Marseille: 15.1.

Match halves

Lille: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.09. Olympique Marseille: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.09.

Goals by minute

Lille: 76-90+ (23 goals). Olympique Marseille: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
LilleOlympique Marseille
5Shots6
LilleOlympique Marseille
2Shots on target2
LilleOlympique Marseille
0.71xG0.95
LilleOlympique Marseille
2Corners5
LilleOlympique Marseille
33Dangerous attacks58
LilleOlympique Marseille
9Fouls11
LilleOlympique Marseille
1Cards1
LilleOlympique Marseille

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

LilleOlympique Marseille
1.53Goals scored / match1.85
LilleOlympique Marseille
1.09Goals conceded / match1.32
LilleOlympique Marseille
56%Average possession57%
LilleOlympique Marseille
4.62Shots on target / match5.71
LilleOlympique Marseille

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.59Shots per match15.09
LilleOlympique Marseille
4.62Shots on target5.71
LilleOlympique Marseille
11.3%Shot conversion12.3%
LilleOlympique Marseille
56%Possession57%
LilleOlympique Marseille
1.6xG for1.72
LilleOlympique Marseille
1.07xG against1.17
LilleOlympique Marseille

Shooting quality

Lille: BalancedOlympique Marseille: Dominant
LilleOlympique Marseille
Accuracy (shots on target)34%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lille is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Lille · 1.4 pts / match - Olympique Marseille

Lille
DWDWL
Season result split
53% W21% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-7-9
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-5-4
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 0.77BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
Olympique Marseille
LDLWW
Season result split
53% W15% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-5-11
1.74 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-1-9
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.96Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Olympique Marseille is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - Lille · 1.85 goals / match - Olympique Marseille

Lille is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Lille · 1.32 goals / match - Olympique Marseille

Lille scoring profile: very strong

Lille scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

Olympique Marseille scoring profile: strong

Olympique Marseille scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

52Goals scored (season)63
LilleOlympique Marseille
37Goals conceded (season)45
LilleOlympique Marseille
2.62Average goals in match3.18
LilleOlympique Marseille
3Goals scored (last 5)5
LilleOlympique Marseille
3Goals conceded (last 5)7
LilleOlympique Marseille

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal76%
LilleOlympique Marseille
32%2 goals47%
LilleOlympique Marseille
21%3 goals32%
LilleOlympique Marseille
15%4 goals15%
LilleOlympique Marseille

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal74%
LilleOlympique Marseille
29%2 goals47%
LilleOlympique Marseille
15%3 goals6%
LilleOlympique Marseille
3%4 goals3%
LilleOlympique Marseille

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Olympique Marseille - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 34 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time12%
LilleOlympique Marseille
6%BTTS in both halves9%
LilleOlympique Marseille
24%Scored in both halves32%
LilleOlympique Marseille

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
LilleOlympique Marseille
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
LilleOlympique Marseille
20%BTTS - last 540%
LilleOlympique Marseille

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
LilleOlympique Marseille
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
LilleOlympique Marseille
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
LilleOlympique Marseille

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
LilleOlympique Marseille
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
LilleOlympique Marseille
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time41%
LilleOlympique Marseille

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Olympique Marseille is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Lille · 1.59 pts / match - Olympique Marseille

Lille - half-time state
32% leading41% draw26% trailing
Olympique Marseille - half-time state
41% leading35% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.59
LilleOlympique Marseille
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.76
LilleOlympique Marseille
0.41Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
LilleOlympique Marseille
0.85Average goals (1st half)1.18
LilleOlympique Marseille
65%Clean sheet before half-time65%
LilleOlympique Marseille
62%No goal before half-time53%
LilleOlympique Marseille

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.5
LilleOlympique Marseille
1.09Goals scored (2nd half)1.09
LilleOlympique Marseille
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.91
LilleOlympique Marseille
1.76Average goals (2nd half)2
LilleOlympique Marseille
50%Clean sheet after half-time32%
LilleOlympique Marseille
44%No goal after half-time38%
LilleOlympique Marseille

Lille - second-half results

35% W41% R24% P
47
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding166%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Olympique Marseille - second-half results

41% W26% R32% P
54
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lille - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Olympique Marseille - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lille
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
5
7
31-45
9
9
46-60
5
7
61-75
23
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (23 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.

Olympique Marseille
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
10
6
16-30
7
3
31-45
10
10
46-60
10
6
61-75
17
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lille

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

Olympique Marseille

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
149%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

LilleLigaOlympique Marseille
Average goals in match 2.622.83 3.18
Both teams scored 38%51% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%53% 62%
Clean sheets 38%28% 26%
Goal before half-time 65%70% 71%
Goal after half-time 74%79% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Lille 1 - 0 - 0 Olympique Marseille. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Lille vs Olympique Marseille?

The Ligue 1 match finished Lille 1:0 Olympique Marseille. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lille vs Olympique Marseille?

Lille score 1.53 goals per game on average and Olympique Marseille 1.85. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Lille's matches and 50% of Olympique Marseille's.

What form are Lille and Olympique Marseille in?

Over the last 5 games Lille have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Olympique Marseille 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lille vs Olympique Marseille?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.