Linfield vs Carrick Rangers: match statistics
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Linfield played against Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on September 5, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Linfield has 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.25 points per game. Carrick Rangers has 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.25 points per game.
Scoring records
Linfield scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.00. Carrick Rangers scores 1.75 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Linfield's games and 25% of Carrick Rangers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carrick Rangers has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.66 per game. Linfield takes 12.8 shots per game, while Carrick Rangers takes 14.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Linfield leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Carrick Rangers leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Linfield's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). For Carrick Rangers, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrick Rangers sit 2nd, while Linfield are fifth, with the visitors scoring 7 goals and conceding just 3 in their four matches this season. Away from home, Carrick Rangers have won every game so far, averaging 3 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match, for a positive goal difference of +5. The quality of chances created also favors the visitors: their average xG stands at 1.98 compared with Linfield’s 1.61, while they allow chances worth just 0.67 xG, compared with 1.03 for the hosts. Linfield have a 67% home win rate, but average only 1 goal per match, have failed to score in 33% of their home games and concede 1.33 goals per game. Home advantage could help the hosts remain competitive during certain phases of the match, but Carrick Rangers’ away conversion rate of 19%, compared with Linfield’s 8%, points to a greater likelihood of an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Linfield score an average of just 0.5 goals in their home data and fail to score in 50% of such matches. The hosts have not recorded a single BTTS game at home, while Carrick Rangers have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their away fixtures and concede only 0.5 goals per match on the road. Recent form has been slightly more goal-oriented, with both teams recording BTTS in 40% of their last five matches, and Linfield scoring 1.4 goals in those games, but this is not a majority trend. Carrick Rangers have a high average away xG of 1.98, against 0.67 xG conceded, which increases the likelihood of them scoring; however, the more probable scenario remains one in which at least Linfield fail to find the net. Additionally, the league records BTTS in only 33% of matches, further supporting the BTTS - No selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as Carrick Rangers average 3.0 goals away from home, while Linfield concede 1.0 goal per home match. Both sides’ attacking potential also points towards goals: Linfield’s average xG is 1.62, compared with 1.98 for Carrick Rangers. Across their last five matches, the teams scored 1.4 and 1.6 goals per game respectively, with each side recording at least three total goals in 60% of their matches. Linfield kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home fixtures, but the visitors have not failed to score in a single match and average 4.5 shots on target. The 2.5 line is more finely balanced due to Linfield’s defensive data from the start of the season, so Over 1.5 offers the safer edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Carrick Rangers have a clearly superior seasonal record: they have won 100% of their matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded, while Linfield average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The visitors led at the break in both matches played so far, scoring an average of 1.5 goals before half-time, whereas Linfield drew at half-time in 100% of their two home matches and failed to score a single first-half goal. Carrick Rangers’ superiority is also evident in their attacking quality: their average xG stands at 1.98 compared with the hosts’ 1.62, while their shot conversion rate is 19%, against just 4% for Linfield. Caution is warranted based on the last five matches, in which both teams won 60% of the time, while Carrick drew at half-time in 60% of cases. The most likely scenario is therefore a balanced start, followed by the more clinical visitors capitalising on their attacking advantage to win by the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Linfield | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Linfield · 1.75 goals / game - Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Linfield · 0.75 goals / game - Carrick Rangers
Linfield scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 games), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 games).
Carrick Rangers scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 games), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Linfield
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrick Rangers is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / game - Linfield · 2 pts / game - Carrick Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Linfield - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Linfield
Carrick Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Linfield | Liga | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.25 | 2.50 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 36% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Linfield's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Carrick Rangers. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Linfield 1:0 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Linfield and Carrick Rangers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Linfield won 1, Carrick Rangers won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
Linfield score 1.25 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.75. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Linfield's matches and 25% of Carrick Rangers's.
What form are Linfield and Carrick Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Linfield have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.