Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz: match statistics
Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lipno Stęszew play Unia Swarzędz in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match date is 30 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Lipno Stęszew: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Unia Swarzędz: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lipno Stęszew scores 1.38 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Unia Swarzędz scores 1.38 and concedes 1.21. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lipno Stęszew 50%, Unia Swarzędz 41%. Over 2.5: Lipno Stęszew 50%, Unia Swarzędz 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Unia Swarzędz has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.46. Lipno Stęszew: 9.3 shots per match, Unia Swarzędz: 11.4.
Match halves
Lipno Stęszew: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.71. Unia Swarzędz: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Lipno Stęszew: 0-15 (13 goals). Unia Swarzędz: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back 2 — a win for Unia Swarzędz. The visitors have clearly superior recent form: Unia won 4 of their last 5 and drew 1, scoring 10 and conceding only 2, while Lipno over their last 5 won 3 and lost 2, scoring 7 and conceding 8. In home match stats Lipno averages 1.19 goals and xG 1.41, whereas Unia away average is higher with 1.50 goals and xG 1.63; the visitors also register more shots (14.42 vs 11.23) and slightly more shots on target (4.5 vs 4.15). Defensively the season favors Unia — across the season Unia conceded 37 goals versus Lipno’s 51, and their goals conceded per away match is 1.13 compared to Lipno’s 1.31 at home. The hosts, however, have a higher clean sheet rate at home (44% vs 38% for Unia) and fewer matches without scoring (19% vs 31%), which reduces the risk of Lipno completely failing in attack. Considering Unia’s edge in form (an average of 2.6 points per game over the last 5 vs 1.8 for Lipno), higher xG and shot volume, I assign a 60% probability to the visitors’ win, 20% to a draw and 20% to a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lipno Stęszew | Unia Swarzędz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Unia Swarzędz is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew · 2.4 pts / match - Unia Swarzędz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Unia Swarzędz is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Lipno Stęszew · 1.21 goals / match - Unia Swarzędz
Lipno Stęszew scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Unia Swarzędz keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Unia Swarzędz scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Lipno Stęszew keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lipno Stęszew
Over / Under — Unia Swarzędz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lipno Stęszew - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Unia Swarzędz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lipno Stęszew
Unia Swarzędz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Lipno Stęszew | Liga | Unia Swarzędz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.97 | 3.02 | ▼ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lipno Stęszew 1 - 0 - 0 Unia Swarzędz. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Lipno Stęszew 4:3 Unia Swarzędz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz?
Lipno Stęszew score 1.38 goals per game on average and Unia Swarzędz 1.38. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lipno Stęszew's matches and 41% of Unia Swarzędz's.
What form are Lipno Stęszew and Unia Swarzędz in?
Over the last 5 games Lipno Stęszew have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Unia Swarzędz 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.