Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Progreso: match statistics
Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Liverpool FC Montevideo played against Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Liverpool FC Montevideo has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Progreso has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Liverpool FC Montevideo scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 0.93. Progreso scores 0.83 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 2.37 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Liverpool FC Montevideo's games and 43% of Progreso's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 43%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Liverpool FC Montevideo has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.18 per game. Liverpool FC Montevideo takes 11.6 shots per game, while Progreso takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Liverpool FC Montevideo leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Progreso leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Liverpool FC Montevideo's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Progreso, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.37 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Liverpool FC Montevideo have won 3 of their last 5 matches, conceding just 4 goals, while Progreso have also recorded 3 wins but conceded 6. Home advantage favors the hosts: they average 1.21 goals scored and 0.86 conceded at home, whereas Progreso score 0.73 goals per game away and lose 60% of their away matches. Liverpool also create better chances, posting a home xG of 1.50 compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.15, while averaging 12 shots per match against Progreso’s 8.4. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 64% of their home matches, while the visitors fail to score in 47% of their away games, further boosting Liverpool’s chances. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as Liverpool have shared the points in 36% of their home matches, but their attacking and defensive records point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 47% of Liverpool’s matches and 40% of Progreso’s, below the league average of 51% in both cases. The strongest argument against both teams scoring is their attacking output: the hosts average 0.93 goals per game and the visitors just 0.73; they failed to score in 40% and 47% of their matches, respectively. The last 5 matches offer more support for BTTS - Yes, with the teams averaging 1.4 and 1.2 goals, while Progreso recorded BTTS in 60% of those games. Despite this improvement, the season-long frequency of matches in which at least one side failed to score makes BTTS - No the more likely pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 80% of Liverpool Montevideo’s matches and 93% of Progreso’s. Both teams score fewer than one goal per game this season—the hosts average 0.93 and the visitors 0.73—limiting the chances of a very high-scoring game. Their average xG figures are 1.22 and 1.15, respectively, while the league average is 2.37 goals, close to the 2.35 projected here. Some caution is warranted given their form over the last five matches, in which both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 60% of games; however, the 3.5 line provides extra breathing room even if three goals are scored.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is a realistic scenario: Liverpool were level after 45 minutes in 40% of their matches and kept a clean sheet in the first half in four of their last five. Progreso averaged just 0.27 first-half goals this season, although their three leads at the break in their last five matches mean a draw cannot be taken for granted. After the break, recent form favors the home side: they averaged 1.0 goals to Progreso’s 0.6, while conceding 0.4 compared with their opponents’ 0.6. Liverpool also collected 10 points in their last five matches, compared with Progreso’s 9, and conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match against the visitors’ 1.2. Therefore, a half-time draw followed by a home win is marginally more likely than the hosts leading from start to finish.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Liverpool FC Montevideo | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Progreso is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 2.4 pts / game - Progreso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liverpool FC Montevideo is 57% better for: goals scored per game.
1.3 goals / game - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 0.83 goals / game - Progreso
Liverpool FC Montevideo is 54% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.93 goals / game - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1.43 goals / game - Progreso
Liverpool FC Montevideo scores in 73% of games (22 of 30 games), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 games).
Progreso scores in 57% of games (17 of 30 games), while Liverpool FC Montevideo keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Liverpool FC Montevideo
Over / Under - Progreso
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Liverpool FC Montevideo is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 0.97 pts / game - Progreso
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liverpool FC Montevideo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Liverpool FC Montevideo
Progreso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Liverpool FC Montevideo | Liga | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.23 | 2.37 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 43% | 44% | • 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 29% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Liverpool FC Montevideo's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Progreso. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Progreso?
The Primera División match finished Liverpool FC Montevideo 3:2 Progreso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool FC Montevideo and Progreso?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Liverpool FC Montevideo won 2, Progreso won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Progreso?
Liverpool FC Montevideo score 1.30 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.83. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Liverpool FC Montevideo's matches and 43% of Progreso's.
What form are Liverpool FC Montevideo and Progreso in?
Over the last 5 games Liverpool FC Montevideo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Progreso 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Progreso?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Progreso: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.