Livingston vs Kilmarnock: match statistics
Livingston vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Livingston play Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Tony Macaroni Arena. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Livingston: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Kilmarnock: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Livingston scores 1.05 and concedes 1.97 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 1.32 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Livingston 66%, Kilmarnock 55%. Over 2.5: Livingston 63%, Kilmarnock 66%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Kilmarnock has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.17. Livingston: 9.8 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 11.4.
Match halves
Livingston: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.61. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Livingston: 76-90+ (10 goals). Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I forecast a Kilmarnock (2) win. The visitors show clearly superior short-term form — 3 wins in their last 5 matches and 11 goals in that span (2.2 goals per game) and 2 points per game in this run, versus 1 point for Livingston. Livingston at home displays slightly better chance quality: average xG 1.27 vs 1.10 for Kilmarnock, more shots per game (10.71 vs 9.06) and more shots on target (3.76 vs 3.44), as well as a lower FTS (12% vs 28%). However, the visitors’ edge in recent finishing (11 goals vs 6) and a better season win record (9 vs 2), plus Livingston’s tendency to draw at home (47% draws), lead to a higher probability for the away side, with an expected open game — both teams concede close to 2 goals per game (1.88 for Livingston and 2.17 for Kilmarnock).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Livingston | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kilmarnock is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Livingston · 2.4 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kilmarnock is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Livingston · 1.32 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.97 goals / match - Livingston · 1.79 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Livingston scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Kilmarnock scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Livingston keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Livingston
Over / Under — Kilmarnock
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kilmarnock is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Livingston · 1.42 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Livingston - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 5%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Livingston
Kilmarnock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Livingston | Liga | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.03 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Livingston 0 - 2 - 1 Kilmarnock. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
The Premiership match finished Livingston 1:4 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Livingston and Kilmarnock?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Livingston won 0, Kilmarnock won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
Livingston score 1.05 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.32. The Premiership average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Livingston's matches and 55% of Kilmarnock's.
What form are Livingston and Kilmarnock in?
Over the last 5 games Livingston have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kilmarnock 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Livingston vs Kilmarnock: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.