Livorno vs Sassari Torres: match statistics

Livorno have shown better form in their last five matches, winning 3 games, drawing 1, and collecting 7 more points overall than Sassari Torres during the same period. The hosts have scored 9 goals, averaging 1.8 per match, while the visitors have managed just 5, indicating Livorno’s superior attacking efficiency. The defensive record is equally significant: Livorno have conceded 4 goals in their last five appearances, compared with 8 for Sassari Torres, an average of 1.6 per game. Sassari Torres’ record stands at 2 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, making their form less consistent than the hosts’ run. The lack of complete season data limits the confidence of the prediction, but Livorno’s current 9:4 goal difference compared with the visitors’ 5:8 record supports a home win.

The BTTS signal is inconclusive, but the scenario in which at least one team fails to score has a slight edge: BTTS occurred in 40% of Livorno’s and 60% of Sassari Torres’ last five matches. Livorno defended very well during this period, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per match, while Sassari Torres scored an average of 1.0 goal. The hosts are in better attacking form, having scored 9 goals in five matches at an average of 1.8 goals per game, while the visitors conceded 8 goals during that time, or 1.6 per match. Although the visitors’ xG stands at 1.15 and Livorno allows opponents an xG of 1.55, the hosts’ defensive efficiency and Torres’ moderate scoring output marginally increase the likelihood of a clean sheet for the visitors, meaning the match will end with at least one team failing to score.

Data from the last five matches points to an advantage for Livorno: the hosts scored an average of 1.8 goals, while Sassari Torres conceded 1.6 goals per game. The away side scored just 1.0 goal during this period, whereas Livorno allowed opponents an average of 0.8 goals, limiting the visitors’ attacking outlook. Average xG figures are more balanced, however, with Livorno creating chances worth 1.36 xG and Sassari Torres 1.15 xG, while allowing 1.55 and 1.46 xG respectively. The teams’ matches went Over 2.5 goals in 40% and 60% of their respective last five appearances, but reaching at least four goals would require clearly above-average finishing. Therefore, the strongest selection is Under 3.5 goals, with a projected total of 2.60 goals in the match.

Livorno have been in better form over their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded, while Sassari Torres have scored 1.0 goal and allowed 1.6. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 games, whereas the visitors have lost 2 of 5, further strengthening Livorno’s advantage from a full-match perspective. Before half-time, Livorno averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, taking the lead at the break in 40% of their matches. Torres, by contrast, scored just 0.4 goals in the first half and went into the interval trailing in as many as 40% of games. After the break, the hosts still look more stable, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.4 conceded, while Sassari Torres concede as many as 1.2 goals in this period. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is Livorno leading at the break and securing the win at full-time (1/1).