Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin: match statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb presents solid home form with 50% wins and only 25% losses at their own stadium, which constitutes a significant advantage over Varaždin. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, while the visitors concede an average of 1.42 goals away and have won only 33% of their away matches. Varaždin is in poor form with just 0.8 points per match in the last five meetings, whereas Lokomotiva has 1.4 points. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 33% of away matches, which, given their negative goal difference (-4) in away games, speaks in favor of the hosts. Considering all statistics, Lokomotiva Zagreb has a clear advantage, although Varaždin may put up resistance, justifying a moderate probability of a home victory.
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lokomotiva Zagreb played against Varaždin in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Lokomotiva Zagreb has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Varaždin has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 1.54. Varaždin scores 1.25 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's games and 63% of Varaždin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 54%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.36 per game. Lokomotiva Zagreb takes 10.5 shots per game, while Varaždin takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Lokomotiva Zagreb leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Varaždin leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lokomotiva Zagreb's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). For Varaždin, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prva HNL games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lokomotiva Zagreb presents solid home form with 50% wins and only 25% losses at their own stadium, which constitutes a significant advantage over Varaždin. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, while the visitors concede an average of 1.42 goals away and have won only 33% of their away matches. Varaždin is in poor form with just 0.8 points per match in the last five meetings, whereas Lokomotiva has 1.4 points. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 33% of away matches, which, given their negative goal difference (-4) in away games, speaks in favor of the hosts. Considering all statistics, Lokomotiva Zagreb has a clear advantage, although Varaždin may put up resistance, justifying a moderate probability of a home victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varaždin is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.54 goals / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.46 goals / game - Varaždin
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
Varaždin scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Over / Under - Varaždin
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 29%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Varaždin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Liga | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.75 | 2.69 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Lokomotiva Zagreb's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Varaždin. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin?
The Prva HNL match finished Lokomotiva Zagreb 1:1 Varaždin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lokomotiva Zagreb and Varaždin?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lokomotiva Zagreb won 1, Varaždin won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin?
Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.21 goals per game on average and Varaždin 1.25. The Prva HNL average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's matches and 63% of Varaždin's.
What form are Lokomotiva Zagreb and Varaždin in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiva Zagreb have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Varaždin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.