Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin: match statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb presents solid home form with 50% wins and only 25% losses at their own stadium, which constitutes a significant advantage over Varaždin. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, while the visitors concede an average of 1.42 goals away and have won only 33% of their away matches. Varaždin is in poor form with just 0.8 points per match in the last five meetings, whereas Lokomotiva has 1.4 points. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 33% of away matches, which, given their negative goal difference (-4) in away games, speaks in favor of the hosts. Considering all statistics, Lokomotiva Zagreb has a clear advantage, although Varaždin may put up resistance, justifying a moderate probability of a home victory.
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiva Zagreb play Varaždin in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 17:15. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Varaždin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.11 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Varaždin scores 1.31 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiva Zagreb 64%, Varaždin 61%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiva Zagreb 42%, Varaždin 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Varaždin has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.31. Lokomotiva Zagreb: 10.2 shots per match, Varaždin: 11.5.
Match halves
Lokomotiva Zagreb: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.56. Varaždin: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-15 (8 goals). Varaždin: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Lokomotiva Zagreb presents solid home form with 50% wins and only 25% losses at their own stadium, which constitutes a significant advantage over Varaždin. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, while the visitors concede an average of 1.42 goals away and have won only 33% of their away matches. Varaždin is in poor form with just 0.8 points per match in the last five meetings, whereas Lokomotiva has 1.4 points. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 33% of away matches, which, given their negative goal difference (-4) in away games, speaks in favor of the hosts. Considering all statistics, Lokomotiva Zagreb has a clear advantage, although Varaždin may put up resistance, justifying a moderate probability of a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Varaždin is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.4 pts / match - Varaždin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varaždin is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.31 goals / match - Varaždin
Varaždin is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.28 goals / match - Varaždin
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
Varaždin scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 19% (7 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lokomotiva Zagreb
Over / Under — Varaždin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varaždin is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.44 pts / match - Varaždin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Varaždin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Liga | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.56 | 2.66 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 28% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 - 1 - 1 Varaždin. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin?
The Prva HNL match finished Lokomotiva Zagreb 1:1 Varaždin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lokomotiva Zagreb and Varaždin?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Lokomotiva Zagreb won 1, Varaždin won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin?
Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.11 goals per game on average and Varaždin 1.31. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's matches and 61% of Varaždin's.
What form are Lokomotiva Zagreb and Varaždin in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiva Zagreb have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Varaždin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.