Londrina vs Atlético GO: match statistics

Atlético GO sit 8th, while Londrina are only 17th, and the gap is further highlighted by their current form: the visitors are unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins and 2 draws), whereas the hosts have failed to win any of their last five games, scoring just 3 goals in the process. Atlético GO’s defense has conceded only 2 goals during this period, while Londrina have allowed their opponents to score 8 times. At home, the hosts do create more chances, averaging 1.53 xG and 14.7 shots per match, but their recent lack of efficiency clearly undermines the reliability of these figures. Atlético GO’s away matches are often closely contested, as reflected by a 40% draw rate and an average of just 2 total goals, so a draw remains a realistic alternative; however, the visitors’ more consistent form points to a narrow win.

Seasonal BTTS indicators are elevated, standing at 55% for Londrina and 60% for Atlético GO; however, current form clearly reduces the hosts’ chances of scoring. Londrina have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 per game, while Atlético GO have conceded only 2 goals during this period, or 0.4 per match. The visitors have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their league games, and their recent defensive performance is considerably more solid than the seasonal average of 1.1 goals conceded suggests. Atlético GO should create chances against a Londrina side that has recently conceded an average of 1.6 goals, but the scenario of the hosts failing to score is more likely than both teams finding the net. In addition, Atlético GO’s BTTS rate has fallen to 40% across their last five appearances, supporting the BTTS - No pick, meaning that at least one team is expected not to score.

The match profile indicates a limited risk of a high-scoring outcome: 82% of Londrina’s matches and as many as 100% of Atlético GO’s games finished with under 3.5 goals. Atlético GO concede an average of just 1.10 goals away from home, while in their last 5 matches they have allowed opponents only 0.4 goals per game. Londrina do have a high home xG of 1.75 and average 15.91 shots, but they have scored just 3 goals in their last five outings, equating to 0.6 per match. The visitors have been more effective recently, averaging 1.2 goals, but their matches went Over 2.5 goals in only 20% of their last five games. The projected 2.15 goals is clearly below the 3.5 line, making Under 3.5 the best option.

Recent form strongly favors Atlético GO: the visitors have collected 11 points from their last five matches, won 60% of them, and remain unbeaten, while Londrina have managed just 2 points, recorded a 0% win rate, and suffered three consecutive defeats. In the first halves during this period, Londrina have averaged only 0.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, compared with Atlético GO’s averages of 0.6 scored and 0.4 conceded. The hosts were trailing at half-time in 80% of their last five matches, whereas the visitors were leading at the break in 40%, reinforcing the prospect of Atlético GO taking the lead before half-time. Atlético GO have also kept a clean sheet after the break in 100% of their last five matches, while Londrina score only 0.4 goals per game in the second half. Therefore, the most likely outcome is for the visitors to maintain their lead through to full-time.