Lorient vs Metz: match statistics
Lorient displays significantly better form, particularly in home matches where they have won 50% of fixtures and achieved a positive goal difference (+3). The hosts have secured an impressive 2.2 points per game in their last five outings, winning three matches, which confirms their good disposition. Metz, on the other hand, is in a dire situation, sitting in 18th place with an 88% loss rate away from home and a catastrophic goal difference (-17). The visitors have lost all of their last five away matches, conceding an average of 3.38 goals per game. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts: Lorient records 1.51 xG in home matches compared to a mere 1.0 xG for Metz on the road. Taking all statistics into account, a decisive victory for Lorient is the most probable scenario for this match.
Lorient vs Metz: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lorient played against Metz in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on January 4, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Lorient has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Metz has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Lorient scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 1.75. Metz scores 1.06 and allows 2.31. Games in this league average 2.85 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Lorient's games and 50% of Metz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 63%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lorient has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.03 per game. Lorient takes 11.9 shots per game, while Metz takes 8.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Lorient leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Metz leads at halftime in 6% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lorient's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Metz, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.85 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lorient displays significantly better form, particularly in home matches where they have won 50% of fixtures and achieved a positive goal difference (+3). The hosts have secured an impressive 2.2 points per game in their last five outings, winning three matches, which confirms their good disposition. Metz, on the other hand, is in a dire situation, sitting in 18th place with an 88% loss rate away from home and a catastrophic goal difference (-17). The visitors have lost all of their last five away matches, conceding an average of 3.38 goals per game. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts: Lorient records 1.51 xG in home matches compared to a mere 1.0 xG for Metz on the road. Taking all statistics into account, a decisive victory for Lorient is the most probable scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lorient | Metz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lorient is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Lorient · 0.6 pts / game - Metz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lorient is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - Lorient · 1.06 goals / game - Metz
Lorient is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.75 goals / game - Lorient · 2.31 goals / game - Metz
Lorient scores in 63% of games (10 of 16 meczów), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).
Metz scores in 63% of games (10 of 16 meczów), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lorient
Over / Under - Metz
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lorient is 126% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / game - Lorient · 0.69 pts / game - Metz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lorient - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Metz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lorient
Metz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lorient | Liga | Metz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.94 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 29% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Lorient vs Metz?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lorient 1:1 Metz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lorient vs Metz?
Lorient score 1.19 goals per game on average and Metz 1.06. The Ligue 1 average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lorient's matches and 50% of Metz's.
What form are Lorient and Metz in?
Over the last 5 games Lorient have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Metz 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lorient vs Metz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lorient vs Metz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.