Lorient vs Toulouse: match statistics
Lorient vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lorient played against Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on September 12, 2026. Venue: Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Lorient has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.33 points per game. Toulouse has 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 0.33 points per game.
Scoring records
Lorient scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 0.67. Toulouse scores 0.67 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 3.00 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Lorient's games and 33% of Toulouse's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 33%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toulouse has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.20 per game. Lorient takes 11.0 shots per game, while Toulouse takes 15.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Lorient leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Toulouse leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lorient's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Toulouse, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 3.00 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lorient have a clear edge in chance creation at home, averaging 15 shots, including 6 on target, with an xG of 1.60, while Toulouse manage just 6 shots and an xG of 0.56 away from home. The hosts also dominate possession, recording 67% compared with the visitors’ 49%, which should allow them to control the course of the match more frequently. Toulouse’s defense concedes an average xG of 2.39 away from home and allows 2 goals per match, so Lorient should create plenty of scoring opportunities. Both teams are on poor runs of form, but Lorient have scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches, while Toulouse have managed only 3 and lost 4 of those fixtures. The hosts also concede 2 goals per match at home, making a draw a realistic outcome, but the quality of their attacking play points towards a Lorient victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Lorient have averaged only 0.8 goals across their last 5 matches, while Toulouse have managed just 0.6. The hosts have failed to score in 100% of their matches so far this season, while their finishing rate stands at 0% despite a high xG of 2.16 per match, clearly undermining their consistency in front of goal. Toulouse have conceded 10 goals in their last five outings, but Lorient have simultaneously recorded an average of just 1.06 xG during this period, meaning the visitors’ defensive weakness does not necessarily have to result in a goal for the hosts. BTTS has landed in 60% of Lorient’s and 40% of Toulouse’s last five matches, both below the league average of 63%, while the low attacking output of both teams increases the risk that at least one side will fail to score. The most likely scenario is therefore one in which goals are scored by only one team, or at least one team keeps a clean sheet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have conceded heavily in their last five matches: Lorient 1.6 and Toulouse 2.0 per game. During the same period, matches involving both teams ended with at least three goals in 60% of cases, supporting a scenario with a minimum of two goals. Lorient created plenty of chances at home, averaging 2.16 xG and 6 shots on target, while Toulouse allowed opponents 2.39 xG away from home. The visitors have scored just 0.6 goals per game in their last five appearances, but their average xG stands at 1.37, while Lorient allows opponents 1.62 xG. The projected 2.50 goals indicate moderate risk on the 2.5 line, whereas Over 1.5 goals offers a clearly greater margin of safety.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: in their last five matches, Lorient were level after 45 minutes in 75% of games, compared with 60% for Toulouse, while averaging only 1.0 and 0.8 goals respectively in the first halves. Lorient have greater second-half potential, as their xG stands at 2.16 versus just 0.56 for Toulouse, while the hosts average 20.5 shots and 6 on target, compared with 6 and 2 respectively for the visitors. Toulouse concede an average of 2.0 goals per match, and their average xG against is as high as 2.39, clearly favouring a turnaround in the hosts’ favor. However, Lorient remain an inefficient side, averaging just 0.8 goals across their last five appearances, which is why the X/1 option is only marginally preferred over a draw in the full-time result. In second halves, Lorient have collected more points than Toulouse—1.75 compared with 0.4 over their last five matches—which further supports the scenario of a draw at half-time followed by a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lorient | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lorient is 303% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / game - Lorient · 0.33 pts / game - Toulouse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lorient is 149% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Lorient · 1.67 goals / game - Toulouse
Lorient scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 games).
Toulouse scores in 33% of games (1 of 3 games), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lorient
Over / Under - Toulouse
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toulouse is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / game - Lorient · 1 pts / game - Toulouse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lorient - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Toulouse - second-half results
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Average goals per game | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 0% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lorient
Toulouse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lorient | Liga | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.33 | 3.00 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 62% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 69% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Lorient's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Toulouse. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lorient vs Toulouse?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lorient 2:2 Toulouse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lorient and Toulouse?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lorient won 0, Toulouse won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lorient vs Toulouse?
Lorient score 0.67 goals per game on average and Toulouse 0.67. The Ligue 1 average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Lorient's matches and 33% of Toulouse's.
What form are Lorient and Toulouse in?
Over the last 5 games Lorient have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Toulouse 0-1-2 (0.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lorient vs Toulouse?
The statistical background for Lorient vs Toulouse — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.