Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: match statistics
Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Louisville City play Tampa Bay Rowdies in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 31 May 2026 at 01:00. Venue: Lynn Family Stadium. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Tampa Bay Rowdies: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Louisville City scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 1.56 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Louisville City 56%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%. Over 2.5: Louisville City 50%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Louisville City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.77. Louisville City: 16.5 shots per match, Tampa Bay Rowdies: 16.0.
Match halves
Louisville City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00. Tampa Bay Rowdies: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). Tampa Bay Rowdies: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The favorite appears to be Tampa Bay Rowdies; the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 10 goals while conceding only 2, whereas Louisville City have 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5, also 10 scored but as many as 11 conceded; the points average over the last 5 matches is 2.6 for Rowdies versus 0.6 for Louisville. The visitors’ defense makes the difference: Tampa have conceded 5 goals this season and average 0.4 goals conceded away, with clean sheets on the road at 60%, while Louisville have conceded 17 goals this season and average 1.4 at home. Louisville can, however, create more chances at home — average xG 2.27 and 19.4 shots with 6.2 on target translating to 1.8 goals per home game, versus xG 1.51, 14 shots and 3 on target for Rowdies away (average 1.0 goal). Additionally, Rowdies remain unbeaten away this season (7 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses), while Louisville have a 60% home win rate and simultaneously 40% home loss rate, which demonstrates greater stability for the visitors. Considering the defensive edge and current form (points average in the last 5 matches 2.6 vs 0.6), I forecast a victory for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Louisville City | Tampa Bay Rowdies | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Louisville City is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Louisville City · 1 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 93% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Louisville City · 0.81 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Louisville City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Louisville City
Over / Under — Tampa Bay Rowdies
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 127% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Louisville City · 2 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Louisville City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Louisville City | Liga | Tampa Bay Rowdies | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.19 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Louisville City 3 - 0 - 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The USL Championship match finished Louisville City 0:2 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Louisville City and Tampa Bay Rowdies?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 3, Tampa Bay Rowdies won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Louisville City score 1.63 goals per game on average and Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.56. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Louisville City's matches and 44% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's.
What form are Louisville City and Tampa Bay Rowdies in?
Over the last 5 games Louisville City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The statistical background for Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.